RCP Average 0 Days to Election Day				0 Days to Election Polls Underestimated	Adjusted 11/8 Poll Average Adjusted 11/8 Poll Average Adjusted 11/8 Poll Average Adjusted 11/8 Poll Average	RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8
State	RCP Average	2020	2018	2016	Polls Under- estimated
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Penn. PA	Oz +0.4 Oz +0.4 Oz +0.4 Oz +0.4	Biden +1.2 D +1.2 D +1.2	Casey +14.3 D +14.3 D +14.3	Clinton +1.9 D +1.9 D +1.9	GOP 1.3	Oz +1.7 Oz +1.7 Oz +1.7 Oz +1.7	GOP Hold
New Hampshire New Hampshire N.H. NH	Hassan +1.4 Hassan +1.4 Hassan +1.4 Hassan +1.4	Biden +9.0 D +9.0 D +9.0	- - -	Clinton +0.6 D +0.6 D +0.6	GOP 1.1	Hassan +0.3 Hassan +0.3 Hassan +0.3 Hassan +0.3	Dem Hold
Nevada Nevada Nevada NV	Laxalt +3.4 Laxalt +3.4 Laxalt +3.4 Laxalt +3.4	Biden +2.4 D +2.4 D +2.4	Tie Tie Tie	Trump +0.8 R +0.8 R +0.8	Dem 2.8	Laxalt +0.6 Laxalt +0.6 Laxalt +0.6 Laxalt +0.6	GOP Pick Up
Arizona Arizona Arizona AZ	Masters +0.3 Masters +0.3 Masters +0.3 Masters +0.3	Kelly +5.7 D +5.7 D +5.7	McSally +1.0 R +1.0 R +1.0	Trump +4.0 R +4.0 R +4.0	Dem 0.2	Masters +0.1 Masters +0.1 Masters +0.1 Masters +0.1	GOP Pick Up
Georgia Georgia Georgia GA	Walker +1.4 Walker +1.4 Walker +1.4 Walker +1.4	Trump +1.0 R +1.0 R +1.0	- - -	Trump +4.8 R +4.8 R +4.8	Dem 0.5	Walker +0.9 Walker +0.9 Walker +0.9 Walker +0.9	12/6 Runoff
Washington Washington Washington WA	Murray +3.0 Murray +3.0 Murray +3.0 Murray +3.0	Biden +21.5 D +21.5 D +21.5	- - -	Clinton +14.3 D +14.3 D +14.3	Dem 0.4	Murray +3.4 Murray +3.4 Murray +3.4 Murray +3.4	Dem Hold
Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin WI	Johnson +3.6 Johnson +3.6 Johnson +3.6 Johnson +3.6	Biden +6.7 D +6.7 D +6.7	Baldwin +10.6 D +10.6 D +10.6	Clinton +6.5 D +6.5 D +6.5	GOP 4.3	Johnson +7.9 Johnson +7.9 Johnson +7.9 Johnson +7.9	GOP Hold
North Carolina North Carolina N.C. NC	Budd +6.2 Budd +6.2 Budd +6.2 Budd +6.2	Trump +0.2 R +0.2 R +0.2	- - -	Trump +1.0 R +1.0 R +1.0	GOP 1.9	Budd +8.1 Budd +8.1 Budd +8.1 Budd +8.1	GOP Hold
Ohio Ohio Ohio OH	Vance +8.0 Vance +8.0 Vance +8.0 Vance +8.0	Trump +1.0 R +1.0 R +1.0	Brown +7.5 D +7.5 D +7.5	Trump +3.5 R +3.5 R +3.5	GOP 4.3	Vance +12.3 Vance +12.3 Vance +12.3 Vance +12.3	GOP Hold
Florida Florida Florida FL	Rubio +8.8 Rubio +8.8 Rubio +8.8 Rubio +8.8	Biden +0.9 D +0.9 D +0.9	Nelson +2.4 D +2.4 D +2.4	Trump +0.2 R +0.2 R +0.2	GOP 2.6	Rubio +11.4 Rubio +11.4 Rubio +11.4 Rubio +11.4	GOP Hold