Polls
Florida: Trump vs. Biden
Key 2020 Races: FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-15 | FL-16 | FL-26 President: 2016: Trump +1.2 | 2012: Obama +0.9
Final 2016 RCP Average: Trump +0.2, Results: Trump +1.2 (Trump +1.0 Ahead of Polls)
Final 2016 RCP Average: Trump +0.2, Results: Trump +1.2 (Trump +1.0 Ahead of Polls)
Final 2016 RCP Average: Trump +0.2, Results: Trump +1.2 (Trump +1.0 Ahead of Polls)
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Biden (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 47.9 | 51.2 | Trump +3.3 |
| RCP Average | 10/28 - 11/2 | -- | -- | 47.9 | 47.0 | Biden +0.9 |
| FOX 35/InsiderAdvantage*FOX 35* | 11/2 - 11/2 | 400 LV | 4.4 | 47 | 48 | Trump +1 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/31 - 11/2 | 1003 LV | 2.9 | 47 | 49 | Trump +2 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/29 - 11/1 | 806 LV | -- | 51 | 48 | Biden +3 |
| Susquehanna*Susquehanna* | 10/29 - 11/1 | 400 LV | 4.9 | 46 | 47 | Trump +1 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/29 - 10/31 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 48 | 47 | Biden +1 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/28 - 11/1 | 1657 LV | 2.4 | 47 | 42 | Biden +5 |
| St. Pete PollsSt. Pete Polls | 10/29 - 10/30 | 2758 LV | 1.9 | 49 | 48 | Biden +1 |
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Biden (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 47.9 | 51.2 | Trump +3.3 |
| RCP Average | 10/28 - 11/2 | -- | -- | 47.9 | 47.0 | Biden +0.9 |
| FOX 35/InsiderAdvantage*FOX 35* | 11/2 - 11/2 | 400 LV | 4.4 | 47 | 48 | Trump +1 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/31 - 11/2 | 1003 LV | 2.9 | 47 | 49 | Trump +2 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/29 - 11/1 | 806 LV | -- | 51 | 48 | Biden +3 |
| Susquehanna*Susquehanna* | 10/29 - 11/1 | 400 LV | 4.9 | 46 | 47 | Trump +1 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/29 - 10/31 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 48 | 47 | Biden +1 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/28 - 11/1 | 1657 LV | 2.4 | 47 | 42 | Biden +5 |
| St. Pete PollsSt. Pete Polls | 10/29 - 10/30 | 2758 LV | 1.9 | 49 | 48 | Biden +1 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/27 - 11/1 | 610 LV | 5.0 | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| NY Times/Siena*NYT/Siena* | 10/27 - 10/31 | 1451 LV | 3.2 | 47 | 44 | Biden +3 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/29 - 10/30 | 849 LV | 3.3 | 51 | 45 | Biden +6 |
| The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill | 10/26 - 10/29 | 1148 LV | -- | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/25 - 10/28 | 1088 LV | 2.9 | 47 | 50 | Trump +3 |
| ABC News/Wash Post*ABC News/Wash Post* | 10/24 - 10/29 | 824 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 50 | Trump +2 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 10/24 - 10/28 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 51 | 45 | Biden +6 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC/Marist | 10/25 - 10/27 | 743 LV | 4.4 | 51 | 47 | Biden +4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/23 - 10/27 | 1324 LV | 2.7 | 45 | 42 | Biden +3 |
| Florida Atlantic UniversityFAU | 10/24 - 10/25 | 937 LV | 3.1 | 50 | 48 | Biden +2 |
| Susquehanna*Susquehanna* | 10/23 - 10/25 | 400 LV | 4.9 | 44 | 48 | Trump +4 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/21 - 10/27 | 704 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News | 10/20 - 10/23 | 1228 LV | 3.6 | 50 | 48 | Biden +2 |
| Florida St./YouGovFSU | 10/16 - 10/26 | 1200 LV | 3.2 | 48 | 46 | Biden +2 |
| St. Pete PollsSt. Pete Polls | 10/21 - 10/22 | 2527 LV | 2.0 | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/20 - 10/21 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 46 | 50 | Trump +4 |
| CNN*CNN* | 10/15 - 10/20 | 847 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/16 - 10/19 | 547 LV | -- | 50 | 45 | Biden +5 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/14 - 10/20 | 662 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| UNFUNF | 10/12 - 10/16 | 863 LV | 3.3 | 48 | 47 | Biden +1 |
| The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill | 10/12 - 10/15 | 965 LV | -- | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/11 - 10/13 | 1051 LV | 2.9 | 46 | 48 | Trump +2 |
| St. Pete PollsSt. Pete Polls | 10/11 - 10/12 | 2215 LV | 2.1 | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/10 - 10/12 | 690 LV | 3.7 | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/7 - 10/14 | 653 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| Mason-DixonMason-Dixon | 10/8 - 10/12 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 45 | Biden +3 |
| Florida Atlantic UniversityFAU | 10/9 - 10/10 | 644 LV | 3.8 | 51 | 47 | Biden +4 |
| FOX 35/InsiderAdvantage*FOX 35* | 10/6 - 10/7 | 400 LV | 4.9 | 43 | 46 | Trump +3 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 9/29 - 10/7 | 678 LV | 4.3 | 49 | 45 | Biden +4 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/2 - 10/4 | 560 LV | -- | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/1 - 10/5 | 1256 LV | 2.8 | 51 | 40 | Biden +11 |
| USA Today/Suffolk*USA Today* | 10/1 - 10/4 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 45 | 45 | Tie |
| UNFUNF | 10/1 - 10/4 | 3134 LV | 1.8 | 51 | 45 | Biden +6 |
| NY Times/Siena*NYT/Siena* | 9/30 - 10/1 | 710 LV | 4.2 | 47 | 42 | Biden +5 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 9/23 - 9/26 | 500 LV | 4.3 | 46 | 43 | Biden +3 |
| St. Pete PollsSt. Pete Polls | 9/21 - 9/22 | 2906 LV | 1.8 | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 9/18 - 9/20 | 702 LV | -- | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| ABC News/Wash PostABC/WP | 9/15 - 9/20 | 613 LV | 4.5 | 47 | 51 | Trump +4 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News | 9/15 - 9/18 | 1205 LV | -- | 48 | 46 | Biden +2 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 9/11 - 9/16 | 586 LV | 4.6 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| Florida Atlantic UniversityFAU | 9/11 - 9/12 | 631 RV | 3.8 | 50 | 50 | Tie |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 9/10 - 9/13 | 428 LV | 4.7 | 50 | 45 | Biden +5 |
| St. Pete PollsSt. Pete Polls | 9/7 - 9/8 | 2689 LV | 1.9 | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 9/4 - 9/6 | LV | -- | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC/Marist | 8/31 - 9/6 | 766 LV | 4.5 | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 9/1 - 9/3 | 1022 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 49 | Trump +3 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 8/28 - 9/1 | 1235 LV | 2.8 | 48 | 45 | Biden +3 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 8/21 - 8/23 | 1262 LV | -- | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 8/21 - 8/22 | 671 RV | 3.8 | 48 | 44 | Biden +4 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 8/7 - 8/9 | 469 LV | -- | 50 | 44 | Biden +6 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 7/24 - 7/26 | 685 LV | -- | 48 | 45 | Biden +3 |
| Mason-DixonMason-Dixon | 7/20 - 7/23 | 625 RV | 4.0 | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| CNNCNN | 7/18 - 7/24 | 880 RV | 3.8 | 51 | 46 | Biden +5 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 7/16 - 7/20 | 924 RV | 3.2 | 51 | 38 | Biden +13 |
| St. Pete Polls*St. Pete Polls* | 7/13 - 7/14 | 3018 LV | 1.8 | 50 | 44 | Biden +6 |
| GravisGravis | 7/13 - 7/13 | 529 RV | 4.3 | 53 | 43 | Biden +10 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 7/10 - 7/12 | 1128 LV | -- | 50 | 43 | Biden +7 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News | 7/7 - 7/10 | 1299 RV | 3.5 | 48 | 42 | Biden +6 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar | 6/29 - 7/2 | 1072 LV | 2.9 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 6/26 - 6/28 | 951 LV | -- | 50 | 45 | Biden +5 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 6/20 - 6/23 | 1010 RV | 3.0 | 49 | 40 | Biden +9 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 6/8 - 6/18 | 651 RV | 4.6 | 47 | 41 | Biden +6 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 6/12 - 6/14 | 731 LV | -- | 50 | 43 | Biden +7 |
| TIPPTIPP | 6/9 - 6/12 | 875 LV | -- | 51 | 40 | Biden +11 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 5/29 - 5/31 | 1186 LV | -- | 48 | 45 | Biden +3 |
| St. Pete PollsSt. Pete Polls | 5/26 - 5/27 | 4763 RV | 1.4 | 48 | 47 | Biden +1 |
| Florida Atlantic UniversityFAU | 5/8 - 5/12 | 928 RV | 3.1 | 53 | 47 | Biden +6 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 4/18 - 4/21 | 1004 RV | 3.0 | 46 | 43 | Biden +3 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 4/16 - 4/20 | 1385 RV | 2.6 | 46 | 42 | Biden +4 |
| St. Pete PollsSt. Pete Polls | 4/16 - 4/17 | 5659 RV | 1.3 | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| UNFUNF | 3/31 - 4/4 | 3244 RV | 1.7 | 46 | 40 | Biden +6 |
| UnivisionUnivision | 3/6 - 3/12 | 1071 LV | 3.0 | 45 | 48 | Trump +3 |
| Florida Atlantic UniversityFAU | 3/5 - 3/7 | 1216 RV | 2.7 | 49 | 51 | Trump +2 |
| UNFUNF | 2/10 - 2/18 | 725 RV | 3.6 | 49 | 48 | Biden +1 |
| Florida Atlantic UniversityFAU | 1/9 - 1/12 | 1285 RV | 2.6 | 51 | 49 | Biden +2 |
| Mason-DixonMason-Dixon | 12/11 - 12/16 | 625 RV | 4.0 | 47 | 45 | Biden +2 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 10/13 - 10/26 | 650 LV | 4.4 | 46 | 44 | Biden +2 |
| UNFUNF | 10/14 - 10/18 | 644 RV | 3.8 | 48 | 43 | Biden +5 |
| Florida Atlantic UniversityFAU | 9/12 - 9/15 | 934 RV | 3.1 | 49 | 50 | Trump +1 |
| St. Pete PollsSt. Pete Polls | 6/15 - 6/16 | 3095 LV | 1.8 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 6/12 - 6/17 | 1279 RV | 3.3 | 50 | 41 | Biden +9 |
| Florida Atlantic UniversityFAU | 5/16 - 5/19 | 1007 RV | 3.0 | 50 | 50 | Tie |
