Tucker Carlson asks what motivates people like Ezekial Emanuel to make declarations that people need to stay indoors for another 12 to 18 months. Carlson said if they were sincere in trying to help the country they would be interested in a vaccine or drug to solve the problem.
TUCKER CARLSON, FOX NEWS: On March 25, a researcher from the University of Massachusetts conducted a survey of 20 epidemiologists and public health experts and asked a simple question: How many Americans will die from this outbreak of the Coronavirus? The average estimate he got back was 245,000 people. As it happens, that number matched almost exactly the projection from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, the group that has created the most influential model of the pandemic. As recently as yesterday, some authorities were citing those numbers in public.
That estimate has changed dramatically. This morning, the I-H-M-E issued brand new numbers. Its researchers now project 60,000 deaths in this country by August. That’s one quarter of the original prediction. Numbers for individual states have changed too. In Virginia, which is currently suffering under a lockdown until June, the model now predicts a total of 891 deaths. Just a week ago, the IMHE projected 3,073 deaths in Virginia, more than three times what they’re now saying.
At this point, we shouldn’t be surprised the model got it so wrong. The IHME’s predictions of how many hospital beds we’d need turned out to be completely disconnected from reality. That matters quite a bit, because those numbers were the main justification for the lockdown we’re currently living through. Remember our efforts to “flatten the curve”? There was a good reason for that: We didn’t want our health care system to collapse under a flood of new Coronavirus patients. So far it hasn’t collapsed, and not because we prepared effectively. There were just far fewer people who needed inpatient medical treatment than we thought there would be.
For example, the model predicted that on April 4, New York would need 65,000 hospital beds. The actual number was 16,000. You’re hearing people say the spread between the prediction and the reality is due to social distancing. That’s untrue. Social distancing measures were factored into the model from the beginning. The prediction was four times larger than what actually happened. Social distancing didn’t do that. Something else skewed the numbers. We should find out what it is.
At the same time, the I-H-M-E has been far more accurate on death totals. In some cases, they’ve been significantly overstated, but not by 400 percent. Today, as we’ve told you, the I-H-M-E announced that a maximum of 60,000 Americans will die by the time the virus presumably recedes in the summer heat. That’s an awful lot of people. But it’s far from the largest death total we’ll see this year. For perspective, we’re going to read you a series of numbers. Some people may be offended by this, but there’s no reason to be. Accurate statistics aren’t offensive. They reflect reality, and reality should always be the baseline from which we make important decisions.
Here are a few: An estimated 60,000 Americans will die from the Coronavirus. According to the CDC, in 2018, 61,000 Americans died of the annual flu. That same year, more than 67,000 died from drug overdoses. Nearly 50,000 died from suicide. About 88,000 Americans died from alcohol abuse. Eighty three thousand died from diabetes. More than 606,000 died from cancer.
We could do on. But take just two of those numbers, overdoses and suicides, both of which disproportionately kill young people. Let’s say the I-H-M-E death projections are too low, and this would be the first time that’s happened. But for the sake of argument, let’s assume the real number is twice that, and 120,000 Americans will die in this outbreak. That would still be around as many people as die from overdoses and suicides — both of which our leaders essentially ignore. Deaths like those aren’t considered a government problem. Yet, in the last several weeks, in order to protect ourselves from the Wuhan Coronavirus, we’ve thrown an estimated 17 million people out of work, and spent more than two trillion dollars in borrowed money. And that’s just the response so far. We’re not going to tell you that what our leaders have done in the last month is disproportionate. You can decide that for yourself. But it’s definitely something to think about.
Many of our politicians don’t seem to be thinking about it. In the face of improving numbers, New Jersey governor Phil Murphy announced that his state would, quote: “if anything tighten, as opposed to loosen,” lockdown restrictions. Statements like that should make you wonder what’s really going on here. Is public health really the only consideration for them? Maybe not. Here’s Zeke Emanuel, who’s not only an academic but also a long time political hack, explaining on MSNBC this morning that America must remain in its current state for a year and a half. Keep in mind that, at almost the very moment he said this, the I-H-M-E was revising its total death rate down to just 60,000:
EMANUEL: I do think we’ll return to what we think of as normal – the pre-covid 19 situation – only with a vaccine or very preventative that everyone can take. This is 18 months away and we need to stay very very clear about that. We’re not getting that around the corner.
You have to wonder what motivates people to say things like that. If you were sincerely trying to help the country, you’d be focused on effective medical treatments for this disease. A drug that saved even half of patients heading toward death would change the landscape immediately and forever. In a situation like this, science is our hope. You’d think our media would be following every medical advance at least as closely as we follow the Final Four. But no. They’re doing the opposite: ignoring promising treatments, in favor of promoting ever-more-oppressive social controls. In the case of the drug hydroxychloroquine, which doctors are giving to thousands of Coronavirus patients right now, reporters who have no grounding science are telling us it’s unproven and risky — apparently in contrast to everything else we’re doing:
TOM COSTELLO, NBC NEWS: Fauci says the studies are not scientific and chloroquine also carries cardiovascular risks but the president continues to endorse the drug...
KAYLEE HARTUNG, ABC REPORTER: President Trump has asked: what do you have to lose? Medical experts say “your life."
HODA KOTB: What do you have to lose?
JOHN TORRES, NBC MEDICAL CORRESPONDENT: Well potentially you could lose your life...
DON LEMON, CNN HOST: Experts say there isn't enough clinical data to show its effective for coronavirus and it has some serious side effects...
DANA BASH, CNN CORRESPONDENT: He continued today to push hydroxychloroquinein a way that is baffling to medical professionals...
MIKA BRZEZINSKI, MSNBC HOST: Gene Robinson, you write in the Washington post, the one word that trump should not be president. What is it?
EUGENE ROBINSON, MSNBC CONTRIBUTOR: Hydroxychloroquine.
These people have no idea what they’re talking about. They’re launching a partisan political attack and pretending it’s medical advice. That’s a reckless and immoral thing to do in the middle of a pandemic. Save that tape.