Both Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders have new momentum tonight after beating their opposition by wide margins in Wisconsin.
The media running wild with speculation about what the vote really means.
Let's calm down.
First of all Bernie Sanders will not defeat Hillary Clinton for the presidential nomination.
Wisconsin is a largely white state and minority voters are breaking big for Mrs. Clinton, who will win the New York primary with room to spare.
Senator Sanders is waging a spirited campaign, but the fix is in. The super-delegates, who can vote for anyone they want, are large for Hillary.
End of story.
On the Republican side it's a bit different.
Donald Trump remains the frontrunner and will also do well in New York.
That might re-charge his campaign, but maybe not.
Last night after losing in Wisconsin, Mr. Trump issued a statement calling Ted Cruz names.
Not presidential, not a smart move.
It seems the Trump campaign is confused.
We were hoping the candidate would appear on The Factor this evening. We negotiated with his team for days, but he declined.
That of course is his prerogative.
Apparently there is angst in the Trump campaign because Charles Krauthammer in particular sometimes hammers the candidate on The Factor.
But each time Charles addresses Mr. Trump, I put someone like Newt Gingrich who has been kind to Trump on to balance the presentation.
We have been very fair to Donald Trump on this program, but that does not mean we will not critique him or cancel guests who have a dim view of him.
We provide balance and Charles Krauthammer is challenged, as are all the guests.
It's ironic because just last night I stuck up for Donald Trump on the race issue:
TAVIS SMILEY, TALK SHOW HOST: “It took Mr. Trump too long to come around to denouncing one David Duke and others …”
O'REILLY: “But Tavis, you make mistakes and so do I. That doesn't mean …”
SMILEY: “Bill, that's not a mistake. That's not a mistake.”
O'REILLY: “All I can tell you is that, I have known the man a long time and I have never seen him cast aspersions at any group at all.”
Now I have said over and over that you do not call someone a racist based on a rhetorical mistake.
Trump has defined his position on Duke, and we should accept the explanation unless there is direct evidence of racism on Trump's part, which there is not.
As Talking Points has stated, it is not racist to support a wall on the border or stringent vetting of Muslims entering the USA from terrorist precincts.
I would hope the Trump campaign would notice how fair we have been and stop the nonsense.
Perhaps they will after tonight because the more tough questions Mr. Trump faces directly, the more voters may be persuaded to back him.
His current level of support is not enough to secure the White House.
To be completely fair, Donald Trump is right to be cautious with the media.
Here's a vivid example:
CHRIS JANSING, MSNBC CORRESPONDENT: “You don't feel ill-served to go on, for example a very popular talk radio show, and you said you didn't know that they had been leading an anti-Trump …”
DONALD TRUMP: “No, because if you listen to that - I don't mind that, you go into the enemy camp sometimes. You have to take on the enemy. He's not a very smart guy, not a very bright guy, and if you listen to the entire show, you would say Donald Trump won that debate. ((EDIT)) So sometimes you go into unfriendly territory, that's part of the game.”
CHRIS JANSING: “And that's what you consider Wisconsin to be?”
DONALD TRUMP: “No, you said about a radio talk show host. That's what I mean about the dishonest media.”
CHRIS JANSING: “I'm asking you a question and allowing you to answer.”
TRUMP: “Excuse me. You're asking me about a show host. And I said that he was unfriendly territory. And you said, is that Wisconsin? That's so dishonest. You know what that's called? Dishonest media. That’s called dishonest reporting.”
Trump is correct, but that would never happen on this program and he knows it.
On the other side we are also awaiting Bernie Sanders entering the No Spin Zone.
He used to chat with us all the time before he became famous.
Last night I closely watched the senator's victory speech:
SEN. BERNIE SANDERS, DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: “I am not naive. I know the power of Wall Street and their endless supplies of money. I know that corporate America will shut down plants in America and move to Mexico or China if they can make another $5 in profit. I know that billionaires are funding candidates whose job it is to represent the wealthy and the powerful.”
Sanders basically gives the same speech every time, but gives it passionately.
He really believes what he is doing is noble, listing a litany of imperfections that working-class folks face.
Sanders is tapping into the same anger Trump is tapping into, only from a different place.
He promises to make life better for working people by slapping around corporations and rich Americans.
He promises an endless series of entitlements, most of which would be free for those not making much money.
The problem is Bernie Sanders does not have solutions to vexing problems that are far more important than giveaways.
Islamic terrorism? Bernie says Sunni Muslims should take care of it.
Putin? Bernie has nothing.
Illegal immigration? Looks like Bernie supports the open border policy espoused by many on the far left … anyone should be able to enjoy the benefits of America without restraint.
Crime? Bernie laments that so many criminals are in prison even though violent crime in the USA has dramatically fallen once tough felony sentencing was put into place.
A national debt of $20 trillion? Bernie has no problem adding to it.
Job creation? Bernie wants the federal government to mandate salaries and provide jobs for everyone … taxation through the roof for American corporations and the wealthy.
Of course that would lead to a huge contraction in the private sector, as business would stop expanding.
Senator Sanders says free health care is a human right and many corporations provide generous health benefits right now.
But they would not if the government is going to provide health care and demand higher corporate taxes.
On the plus side Senator Sanders is perhaps the most sincere politician in the presidential race. He walks the walk.
Problem is the walk leads nowhere as serious problems mount.
If we have to depend on the Sunnis to protect us from terror killers, if we are willing to double the national debt and risk an economic collapse, if we say to the entire world, “hey come on over and get some free stuff.”
If we are aiming for all that we are doomed.
Finally, the bold prediction I promised in the open:
Ted Cruz will offer John Kasich the vice president slot before the Republican convention begins. It's a delegate and Ohio play.