Tom Bevan: Expect A "Trump Tsunami," Only Question Is How High Will The Water Rise


RCP executive editor Tom Bevan updates MSNBC's Morning Joe on the latest Super Tuesday polls, where Donald Trump is set to win almost every state on the board.

TOM BEVAN, REALCLEARPOLITICS: The only state that [Trump] is not winning is the state of Texas where Ted Cruz has a pretty solid lead there. We have good data out of Texas. Six polls taken in the last ten days show Cruz with about a nine-point lead.

Every other state, virtually on the docket, especially states with polling data, Trump has double-digit leads. The only place where he's under double digits is Oklahoma and he's 8.6%.

He is in solid shape. It will be a Trump tsunami. The question is how high has the water will rise. To the point chuck made earlier as far as the delegate totals go in the congressional districts where the vote shakes out.

JOE SCARBOROUGH: So if you are Marco Rubio and you are the Republican establishment firmly esconced in Washington, D.C., on K Street, and you're praying to the Gods that Marco Rubio does well tonight so he can keep moving forward, and you've staked your reputation on the fact that the guy can lose the first 15 states and still continue forward... where does Marco Rubio look in all those states you've been looking at for possible wins, to win enough delegates to get out of this and survive? >>

TOM BEVAN: Well, I mean, we don't have any data in Minnesota. We have one poll that was taken in January, which is like ten years ago, in the way that this race has progressed, that showed Rubio up a couple of points. His campaign is focused there. They're focused in the suburbs of Northern Virginia. They've been focused in the Suburbs of Atlanta to try to pick up delegates out of Georgia. And in Tennessee. Rubio is solidly behind Trump in all the states.

The question is whether he can pick up enough delegates and maybe steal something in Minnesota. We don't know the statuses of of the race there, to get out of this thing with enough delegates and credibility, I guess you could say, to get him all the way to March 15th.

Show commentsHide Comments

Latest Political Videos

Video Archives