Brit Hume: Actual College Rape Statistics Should Give "Pause" To Activists Claiming An "Epidemic"


BRIT HUME: A year ago last March, a Justice Department study found based on police data that between 1995 and 2010, the annual incident of sexual assaults on women in America a declined by 58% to a rate of 2.1 assaults per 1,000 women. You might think that such striking numbers would give pause to the activists including President Obama who have been claiming for years that one in five women will be sexually assaulted while at college. But no, activists continue to cite a study published seven years ago to support their claim. But that study was based on an online -- an online -- survey of two universities that included both attempted and actual assaults. Whose definition, by the way, included such things as forced kissing.

Something similar is now happening at my alma mater, the University of Virginia, since the collapse last week of Rolling Stone's magazine's sensational tale of a fraternity house gangrape there two years ago. University President Teresa Sullivan has not lifted her suspension of all UVA fraternities nor indicated she's the least bit bothered that one of those fraternities and members of it have been wrongly accused. The student newspaper, the Cavalier Daily, took forever to notice something was wrong with the Rolling Stone story and now editorializes it's sympathy for the woman who told the magazine her tall tale. Her story may have fallen apart, but at UVA, the stampede triggered like the claims of a national college rape epidemic continues anyway.

BRET BAIER, SPECIAL REPORT: Brit, there will be people out there who say, listen, there are a lot of these attacks, assaults that are unreported.

HUME: That's true. The data I cited, the police data that was data on reported rapes, and it compared the reported rapes of 1995 compared against the reported rapes in 2010 and found a big decline -- 58%. Now, that doesn't account for every assault that ever happened because as you say, a lot of them are unreported but it does show a trend.

In order to believe that there's an epidemic, you have to believe that while reported rapes were declining sharply during that period, that under reported rapes were exploding. I think that's a dubious claim. And you'd have to believe in the last four years since that study was concluded, that it's gone crazy again but I doubt that as well.

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