Battlegrounds

UT, AZ and Black Turnout--All in Question

UT, AZ and Black Turnout--All in Question

Most politically aware Americans can tick off at least some of the quadrennial battleground states that determine the winner in close presidential elections.  ...(full article)

Battlegrounds: Latino, Union Voters Hold the Cards in Nevada

Battlegrounds: Latino, Union Voters Hold the Cards in Nevada

The eighth part in a weekly series LAS VEGAS  As a state that has been built on the gaming industry and tourism tied to it, Nevada knows odds. And the odds are now against Donald ...(full article)

Clinton Gains With Millennials, But Obstacles Remain

Clinton Gains With Millennials, But Obstacles Remain

At a focus group here Wednesday evening, eight suburban millennials of various backgrounds – most of them undecided in the presidential race – were asked to describe in...(full article)










Most Recent Articles

Why the AHCA Will Be Bad for Iowa - Kirk Norris, Des Moines Register

N.C. Redistricting: Political Warfare by Judicial Means - Paul Mirengoff, PowerLine

Modern voting rights cases involving redistricting can be thought of as a tale of two dilemmas -- one legal, one political. The legal dilemma is this: if a state legislature takes ...

Swamp Suburb: As Goes Fairfax County, So Goes VA? - Fred Barnes, Weekly Standard

Asked why Virginia has become a Democratic state or at least is Democratic-leaning, former governor Jim Gilmore had a one-word answer: Fairfax.Fairfax County, population 1.1 millio...

Voting for Obamacare Cost Him His Job. Now, a Ticket Back? - Tim Murphy, MJ

Why Tom Perriello thinks the Democrats' comeback starts in Virginia....

In Defense of New Hampshire - Scott Conroy, RealClearPolitics

At first blush, 2016 was a disaster for the New Hampshire primary. No result in the event's storied 100-year history challenged the foundations of its mythology quite like Donald T...

What the Virginia Governor Race May Portend for 2018 - David Byler

People often complain about how frequently the U.S. holds elections. That's understandable. Only six months after a national election in which 60 percent of eligible adults cast th...

A Wisconsin Lesson for Trump the Builder - Ben Brubeck, Wall Street Journal

Ben Brubeck writes that project labor agreements drive up costs on public-works projects....

You Can't Compromise Civil Rights. But North Carolina Just Did. - Steven Petrow, WP

The Bathroom Bill That Ate North Carolina - Elena Schneider, Politico

“We shouldn’t go down this road,” McGrady told Moore just over a year ago, as he gave his fellow legislator a lift home from a session while Moore’s car was...

Why I'm Moving Home to Ohio - J.D. Vance, New York Times

COLUMBUS, Ohio — In recent months, I’ve frequently found myself in places hit hard by manufacturing job losses, speaking to people affected in various ways. Sometimes, ...

Love and Hate in Ohio - Salena Zito, Washington Examiner

STEUBENVILLE, Ohio – One of the many things that the cosmopolitan class, living in and around Washington, New York or Silicon Valley, continues to misread about the peopl...

An Ohio Town Changed by Trump - Jeremy Borden, Christian Science Monitor

Springfield, Ohio, prided itself on its moderation. Now, residents are struggling with an unfamiliar question: How to heal a bruised sense of civility....

Why Democrats Lose in Ohio - John Russo, American Prospect

Ohio Democrats have suffered two decades of major defeats. Ohio Republicans have a 12-to-4 advantage in the U.S. House of Representatives; Democrats hold only nine seats in the 33-...

Ohio's Tiberi Tackles ACA, Mulls Senate Bid in Meantime - James Arkin

Will Rural Voters Who Swung to Trump Swing Back? - Craig Gilbert, Milwaukee JS

Donald Trump's victory in Wisconsin was built on huge gains among...

The Bogus Claim That North Carolina Is No Longer a Democracy - Andrew Gelman

Nick Stevenson directed me to a recent op-ed in the Raleigh News & Observer, where political science professor Andrew Reynolds wrote: In 2005, in the midst of a career of trave...

What White America's Already Forgotten After Trump's Win - Blake & Sambou, CNN

Here's how Trump's presidential victory becomes another Lost Cause. It starts with...

Wisconsin's Red Realignment - Salena Zito, Washington Examiner

Eight years ago, Wisconsin Democrats were in the catbird seat; they held the Governor's office, the majority in both chambers of the state legislature, two U.S. Senate seats, five ...

What's the Matter With North Carolina? - Karen Cox, New York Times

In recent days, folks from outside North Carolina have been asking me what, exactly, is wrong with my state. After a vicious governor’s race in which the Democrat, Roy Cooper...

Did Republicans Pull Off a North Carolina Coup? - Patricia Murphy, The Daily Beast

After Republican Gov. Pat McCrory finally conceded, the legislature that helped him pass the bathroom bill rushed through new measures stripping his successor of power....

Destroying Roe v. Wade in Ohio - Amanda Marcotte, Salon

President-elect Donald Trump repeatedly promised on the campaign trail that he would help criminalize abortion. In his postelection interview with Lesley Stahl of “...

Trump's Military-Heavy Picks for Top Posts Stir Debate - Rebecca Berg, RCP

President-elect Donald Trump has recruited a team of former generals to serve as Cabinet secretaries and advisers in his administration, with more such appointments and nominations...

The Year That Culture Disappeared - Ryu Spaeth, The New Republic

Getting to the Heart of Ohio's New Pro-Life Bill - Daniel Allott, Washington Examiner

The Ohio legislature Tuesday sent a bill to Gov. John Kasich that would outlaw most abortions when a fetal heartbeat can be detected, as early as six weeks into pregnancy but typic...

How to Win a Senate Race - Frank Bruni, New York Times

The Election's Over But Trump Is Still Campaigning - Caitlin Huey-Burns

What Dems and the GOP Learned in Pennsylvania - Emily Goodin

Not Your Grandmother's Wisconsin - Emma Roller, New York Times

Milwaukee — I love telling people I’m from Wisconsin. Maybe it’s my defense mechanism for when people accuse me of being a coastal elite, out of touch with Real A...

The Man Who Helped Deliver PA for Trump - Michael Smerconish, Philadelphia Inquirer

David Urban remembers when, despite the polling, he began to believe that Donald Trump would win Pennsylvania. It happened at a rally Oct. 10 inside the Ambridge High School gymnas...

Dems' Reckoning: Where Does the Party Go From Here? - Caitlin Huey-Burns & James Arkin

A Deep Dive Into the Trump and Clinton Coalitions - David Byler

New Lawmaker Was Once an Undocumented Immigrant - James Arkin

Trump Transition: So Far, a Mirror of His Rocky Campaign - Rebecca Berg

The God That Failed - Sean Trende

I Said Clinton Was in Trouble in MI. Dems Didn't Listen - Rep. Debbie Dingell, Wash Post

I was the crazy one. I predicted that Hillary Clinton was in trouble in Michigan during the Democratic primary. I observed that Donald Trump could win the Republican nomination for...

How Hillary Lost North Carolina: Most People Disliked Her - Michael Tracey, Medium

As the 7:30pm deadline in North Carolina approached, there was not a soul waiting on line at one Fayetteville, NC voting location. Earlier…...

Congress Begins Crafting Agenda for President Trump - James Arkin

Trump Advisers Start Building D.C. Team - Rebecca Berg

How Donald Trump Won - Carl M. Cannon

Trump Outsmarts the Experts All the Way to the White House - Rebecca Berg

Trump Gets a Republican Congress - James Arkin

The "Missing White Voters," Revisisted - Sean Trende

How the Senate Contest Could Shake Out - Sean Trende

Trump Makes Closing Argument in New Hampshire - James Arkin

How Deep Does the Blue Wave Go? - Jon Ralston, Reno Gazette-Journal

Predicting electoral outcomes in the Year of Trump is a task most suited to someone almost as narcissistic and obnoxious. I’m here for you. Nevada is notoriously difficult to...

Poll Position: Where Clinton, Trump Stand on Election Eve - David Byler

The Campaign We Didn't Deserve - Carl M. Cannon

Pennsylvania in Play? Campaigns Make Final Push - Rebecca Berg

Things We Know at a Moment of Uncertainty - A.B. Stoddard

Late Polling Shift? What the YouGov Survey Shows - David Brady & Carl M. Cannon

Why North Carolina Is So Important - Eric Bradner, CNN

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump each campaigned Thursday in North Carolina, which is emerging as perhaps the state on which the 2016 presidential race turns....

Clinton and Trump Go Negative - Alexis Simendinger & Caitlin Huey-Burns

Trump Banks on New Hampshire to Clinch Win - Huey-Burns & Berg, RealClearPolitics

Donald Trump will wrap up his presidential bid where it all began: New Hampshire....

Twenty Years of a Dictatorial Democracy - James Bovard, Washington Times

The 2016 election campaign is mortifying millions of Americans in part because the presidency has become far more dangerous in recent times. Since Sept. 11, 2001, we have lived in ...

Team Hillary's Pathetic Response to the FBI Bombshell - Jonah Goldberg, NY Post

The word of the weekend was “protocol.” In deciding to tell Congress about a new trove of emails that may or may not contain classified information and may or m...

Utah, Arizona and Black Turnout -- All in Question - Cannon, Berg, Arkin & Simendinger

Trump Banks on N.H. to Clinch Win - Caitlin Huey-Burns & Rebecca Berg

GOP Sees Wisconsin as Buffer for Senate Majority - James Arkin

A Fitting Final Chapter to 2016's Sleaze Sweepstakes - George Will, National Review

As the presidential campaigns sink to the challenge of demonstrating that there is no such thing as rock bottom, remember this: When the Clintons decamped from Washington in Januar...

Pro-Trump Group Targets Ad at Florida Women - Rebecca Berg

7 Days to Go, Nominees Buckle Down in Battlegrounds - Caitlin Huey-Burns

Early Voting a Poor Predictor of Final Results - Sean Trende

Hillary Clinton's Emailgate Is an Attack on Women - Robin Lakoff, Time

I am mad. I am mad because I am scared. And if you are a woman, you should be, too. Emailgate is a bitch hunt, but the target is not Hillary Clinton. It’s us. The only reason...

Clinton Eyes N.C., Ohio as Election Barometers - Caitlin Huey-Burns

Trump Expands Map; Clinton Team Swarms Battlegrounds - Rebecca Berg & Alexis Simendinger

House Picture Murky as GOP Aims to Limit Losses - James Arkin

The Hollowed Out Heart of America - Linda Tirado, The Guardian

Why Iowa's GOP Leaders Went All-in For Trump - Jason Noble, Des Moines Register

Iowa party leaders have embraced Trump's controversial candidacy even as others have backed away....

North Carolina Is the Real Bellwether State - Al Hunt, Bloomberg

Republicans and Democrats view both the presidential race and an open Senate seat as must-wins....

Battlegrounds: History of Ticket Splitting Keeps NH in Play - Caitlin Huey-Burns, RCP

The ninth part of a weekly seriesWith a dwindling number of days left in the presidential campaign and just a handful of states up for grabs, Hillary Clinton is spending valuable t...

Nev., N.C. Focus-Group Moms Expect Clinton Victory - Alexis Simendinger

Trump Pauses Campaign for D.C. Hotel Opening - Rebecca Berg

Imagine a Sane Donald Trump - Peggy Noonan, Wall Street Journal

You know he’s a nut. What if he weren’t? ...

Donald Trump vs. American Democracy - Charles Blow, New York Times

Trump Says He May Reject Election Results - Rebecca Berg, RealClearPolitics

LAS VEGAS  At the final debate of a historic presidential campaign, Donald Trump on Wednesday held fast to an unprecedented break with U.S. political tradition, casting doubt on w...

Bill Clinton, Young & Old, in New Hampshire - Benjamin Wallace-Wells, The New Yorker

Clinton is at once an emblem of the past and the future, so in his presence you tend to notice generations colliding with one another....

Trump Says He May Reject Election Result - Rebecca Berg

Battlegrounds: Latino, Union Voters May Hold Cards in Nevada - Rebecca Berg

Trump Misses Benchmarks, Is Running Out of Time - David Byler

Blunt, Bayh Face Similar Attacks in Senate Races - James Arkin

As Trump Flails, Election Focus Moves Down Ballot - Caitlin Huey-Burns & James Arkin

Why Pay Attention to the L.A. Times Poll? - Sean Trende

Donald Trump, Anarchist-in-Chief? - A.B. Stoddard

Where the Race Stands With 26 Days to Go - Sean Trende

"Unshackled" Trump Barnstorms Florida - James Arkin

Election Probabilities Made Clear - David Byler

Fear, Loathing and Turnout in Wisconsin - Tom Bevan

GOP Rep. Hartzler Still Stands by Trump - James Arkin

A number of Republican women have pulled their support from  Donald Trump after a 2005 audio recording surfaced Friday of him making lewd comments about women, including boast...

Amid Scandal Fallout, Trump Remains Defiant - Caitlin Huey-Burns & Rebecca Berg

The House May Be in Play - Sean Trende

No Outrage for the Lawless Left - Kelly Riddell, Washington Times

In the last two weeks, the lawlessness and corruption of the left has largely been ignored by the mainstream media in favor of parroting the latest (real or contrived) scandal of R...

Clinton-Trump Map Is Nearly Identical to Obama-Romney. How? - Jon Wiener, Nation

There’s never been a candidate like Donald Trump—but after all the outrage and anxiety he has aroused, it looks like the Trump-Clinton electoral map will be alm...

Trump's Dirty Talk Versus Hillary's Corruption - Jack Hellner, American Thinker

Could Clinton Lose Michigan? - Dennis Lennox, Detroit News

If Trump becomes the first GOP nominee to win Michigan since 1988 it will be because of blue-collar voters...

Where Donald Trump's Keystone Dream May Die - Jeff Greenfield, Politico

The traditional Republicans of the Main Line and other areas around Philadelphia hate his guts....

Clinton Struggles to Win Over College Students in Ohio - James Hohmann, Wash Post

Trump Really, Really Needs To Win Florida - Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight

For politics fans, it’s easy to get caught up in fun Electoral College scenarios — ones in which small states make a big difference or in which the House of Representat...

What Is Going On In Ohio? - Jay Cost, The Weekly Standard

Quinnipiac University released several swing state polls on Monday that were, on balance, good news for Hillary Clinton. She had leads in Florida, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania&...

Turmoil in New Hampshire - David Shribman, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

DURHAM, N.H.Just the other day this urgent message went out to Trump activists, organizers and supporters in New Hampshire:All indicators show that New Hampshire is absolutely crit...

Fed Up With Politics - Steve Sebelius, Las Vegas Review-Journal

Steve Sebelius...

Why Clinton Must Woo Weld - A.B. Stoddard

Battlegrounds: Iowa a Must-Win for Trump - Caitlin Huey-Burns, RealClearPolitics

The fifth in a 10-part weekly series It's Election Day in Iowa.Early voting officially begins Thursday in the Hawkeye State, a key battleground that President Obama won twice. This...

Battlegrounds: Iowa Is a Must-Win for Trump - Caitlin Huey-Burns

Donald Trump Has No Idea What He's Talking About - Matthew Yglesias, Vox

A baffling, foolish, bizarre performance....

The 'Intellectual Yet Idiot' Class Gets It Wrong Again - Newt Gingrich, FOX News

The first debate showcased a blunt, plain spoken businessman and a polished professional politician....

Iowa Is a Must-Win for Trump - Caitlin Huey-Burns, RealClearPolitics

Early voting officially begins Thursday in the Hawkeye State, a key battleground that President Obama won twice. This cycle, it could swing back toward Republicans with their unlik...

Pennsylvania's in Play and Donald Trump Can Win It - Sean Parnell, The Hill

OPINION The Keystone State looks increasingly like a Red State in November...

Rioting May Tip 2016 Scale in Crucial North Carolina - Margaret Newkirk, Bloomberg

Riots threaten to sway a deadlocked presidential race in race-riven North Carolina by pushing enough undecided voters toward Republican Donald Trump to over...

Battlegrounds: A Dual Strategy Is Key to Victory in PA - Emily Goodin, RealClearPolitics

Donald Trump campaign signs decorate the lawns along state Route 26, spots of blue peeping out in front of manufactured home after manufactured home, just a step up from the traile...

Trump Ducks Media as Questions Get Tough, Election Nears - Rebecca Berg

Do Presidential Debates Change the Polls? - David Byler

Battlegrounds: Dual Strategy Is Key to Pennsylvania Win - Emily Goodin

A Memo to GOP 'Never Trumpers' - Larry Elder, Investor's Business Daily

Donald Trump's Phantom Florida Ground Game - S.V. Date, Huffington Post

It’s a state he must win if he wants to be president, but his turnout operation there is far behind....

Campaigns Working to Court Detroit's Black Voters - Kathleen Gray, USA Today

The campaign for Hillary Clinton is counting on African-American votes to help pave her path to the White House....

Trump's Ohio Turnaround - Katie Glueck & Kyle Cheney, Politico

Despite Gov. John Kasich's refusal to back Donald Trump, a growing number of Ohio Republicans are willing to overlook their differences with the GOP nominee....

Democrats Pin Senate Hopes on Missouri - James Arkin

This Year's Most Consequential Senate Race - George Will, Washington Post

Ohio's Trumpiest Town Is Full of Former Democrats - Joshua Green, Bloomberg

This election might not be all about rage after all....

In Ohio, Trump Rallies the Deplorables - D.D. Guttenplan, The Nation

Canton, Ohio—The Donald Trump who strode onto the stage here at the Canton Memorial Civic Center last night was a Trump this reporter hadn’t seen before. The Ro...

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About the Series

RealClearPolitics is taking a deep dive into the issues and states that will have the final say in this election. Keep up each week by tuning in for our podcast, In the Arena, and catching RCP's new reports each Thursday.