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January 30, 2009

Could Roland Burris get elected in 2010?

Illinois Sen. Roland Burris may have a decent shot at winning election, if a new poll is any indication.

A new Research 2000 survey commissioned for Daily Kos shows Burris leading Rep. Jan Schakowsky and State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias. The survey has Burris clocking in at 26 percent, with Schakowsky as 12 percent and Giannoulias at 11 percent.

A 51 percent majority were undecided.

Giannoulias is a longtime friend of President Obama’s, and has been seriously considering running against Burris in the primary.

Burris holds fairly respectable approval ratings, given that he was appointed by scandal-plagued former Gov. Rod Blagojevich. 35 percent of Illinois voters view him favorably, while 35 percent view him unfavorably.

The poll also shows Burris defeating prospective GOP opponent Rep. Mark Kirk, with Burris leading the Republican 37 percent to 30 percent in a prospective general election match-up.

Despite his success winning a Democratic-leaning suburban Chicago seat, many Illinois voters haven’t warmed up to Kirk. A 41 percent plurality of respondents held an unfavorable view of Kirk, while 37 percent viewed him favorably.

Rep. Peter Roskam, another potential GOP challenger, trails Burris 38 percent to 25 percent in a prospective general election race.

The survey of 400 likely voters, conducted Jan. 26-28, has an error margin of 4 percent for general election races and 5 percent for primary races.

-- Alex Isenstadt