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September 08, 2008

Sununu Still Weak In GOP Poll

New Hampshire Republican Senator John Sununu trails former Democratic Governor Jeanne Shaheen by two points in his bid for a second term, a new survey for the National Republican Senatorial Committee finds. But having trailed by double digits throughout the cycle, Sununu's campaign has to be happy with anything approaching a deficit within the margin of error.

The poll, conducted for the NRSC by Public Opinion Research, surveyed 500 likely voters between 9/2-3 for a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. Sununu, Shaheen and Libertarian Ken Blevens were tested.

General Election Matchup

Both Shaheen and Sununu enjoy good favorable ratings. The Democrat is seen favorably by 53% of voters, while 37% see her unfavorable; Sununu has a 50% favorable to 36% unfavorable rating.

Public Opinion Strategies' polling memo suggests the fundamentals of the race have changed now that both candidates are advertising on television (Sununu waited for a long time before unleashing his first ads).

But there's no getting around the fact that the Republican poll shows significantly different results than other non-partisan polls. If Sununu's advertisements start to move forthcoming independent polls, national Republicans may become more confident about a seat that once looked almost out of reach.