News & Election Videos

September 23, 2008

Poll Dump, Part II

A few more for perusal:

Minnesota Senate

Norm Coleman continues to lead satirist Al Franken, according to a Quinnipiac University poll conducted for WashingtonPost.com and the Wall Street Journal. The poll, conducted 9/14-21, surveyed 1,301 likely voters for a margin of error of +/- 2.7%. Coleman and Franken were tested, while Independent candidate Dean Barkley was not.

General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind / Men / Wom)
Coleman....49 / 11 / 93 / 50 / 51 / 48
Franken....42 / 84 / 4 / 38 / 42 / 43

Despite a significant investment by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, Coleman still has good relations with his state's independent voters. Still, Barkley is likely to pull at least some voters from Coleman, making it likely that the winner will not reach the 50% mark.

North Carolina Governor

A poll in one of the tightest races in the country finally shows the Republican in the lead. The Civitas Institute poll, conducted by TelOpinion Research, surveyed 600 likely voters between 9/17-20 for a margin of error of +/- 4.2%. Democratic Lieutenant Governor Bev Perdue and Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory, the Republican, were tested alongside Libertarian Michael Munger.

General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind / Men / Wom)
McCrory.....43 / 21 / 72 / 43 / 42 / 44 (+2 from last, 8/17)
Perdue......41 / 65 / 13 / 33 / 41 / 40 (-2)
Munger.......3 / 2 / 5 / 5 / 5 / 2 (no change)

North Carolina Senate

Another day, another poll showing Senator Elizabeth Dole running neck and neck with Democratic State Senator Kay Hagan. The Civitas Institute poll, conducted by TelOpinion Research, surveyed 600 likely voters between 9/17-20 for a margin of error of +/- 4.2%. Dole, Hagan and Libertarian nominee Chris Cole were tested.

General Election Matchup
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind / Men / Wom)
Dole.....43 / 22 / 74 / 36 / 43 / 43 (-1 from last, 8/17)
Hagan....41 / 65 / 12 / 38 / 42 / 41 (no change)
Cole......5 / 3 / 6 / 10 / 6 / 5 (+1)

Dole leads by ten points in the Charlotte area, and she could be aided by big turnout in Republican gubernatorial candidate Pat McCrory's hometown. Hagan's biggest lead comes in the southeast part of the state, where she has a 50%-33% advantage.