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September 09, 2008

Pittsburgh Has 44% Hart

Former Pennsylvania Rep. Melissa Hart lost her 2006 race to Democrat Jason Altmire by four points, a margin close enough for Hart to give the race a second shot. A new poll conducted for the Republican's campaign shows the rematch will be just as close.

The survey, conducted 8/17-18 by Public Opinion Strategies for Hart's campaign and the National Republican Congressional Committee, surveyed 400 likely voters for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Altmire and Hart were tester.

General Election Matchup
Altmire.........49
Hart............44

Generic Dem.....40
Generic GOPer...37

McCain..........52
Obama...........39

Pennsylvania turned out to be one of the better states for Democratic pickups in 2006, but Republicans think they have serious opportunities in the Keystone State this year. And she'll have a tailwind provided by John McCain, who leads Barack Obama by a wider margin than the nine points by which President Bush won the district in 2004.

With Altmire so close to 50%, though, and in a significantly better financial position than he was in last cycle, when Hart outspent him more than two-to-one, Altmire's suburban Pittsburgh district will likely prove one of the GOP's tougher challenges.