News & Election Videos

September 17, 2008

A GOP bounce

Congressional Republicans are as optimistic as they've been in quite some time about their November prospects, per my story in today's Politico.

Jay Love is at the forefront of the Republican bounce.

The businessman and state legislator, running in the Bible Belt state of Alabama, had been struggling to hold onto a seat that has long been in GOP hands. He emerged bloodied from a divisive primary, enthusiasm was lagging among the party faithful and public polling showed him trailing his well-known and well-liked Democratic opponent, Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright.

Fast-forward to September. His campaign office is teeming with willing volunteers, he has run out of yard signs because of high demand, and his internal polling numbers have shot up. All of a sudden, things are looking very promising for Love.

Love is not the only Republican whose fortunes appear to be turning. According to GOP pollsters, thanks to the party’s unadulterated support for more oil drilling and John McCain’s selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate, Republican candidates, particularly those running in conservative-minded parts of the country, have reason to be newly confident about their prospects.

To be sure, it would be near-impossible for Republicans to gain control of the House or Senate. Democrats' ability to recruit strong candidates across the country and stockpile cash during the Republicans’ year-long slump has given them an insurmountable advantages heading into Election Day

But there's much less talk about Democrats reaching a 60-seat filibuster-proof majority in the Senate, and worries about another Democratic landslide in the House have now dissipated.