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August 25, 2008

Udall Leads Twice

As Democrats gather in Colorado, two new polls show one of the state's Senate seats is ripe for the party's taking. Rep. Mark Udall, the Democratic nominee to replace retiring Senator Wayne Allard, has consistently led former Rep. Bob Schaffer, the Republican nominee.

The first poll, conducted by independent firm Mason-Dixon for the Denver Post, surveyed 400 likely voters between 8/13-15 for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Udall and Schaffer were tested, along with Green Party candidate Bob Kinsey.

General Election Matchup
Udall..........47
Schaffer.......37
Kinsey..........2

Obama..........46
McCain.........43

More voters both know Udall and see him favorably. The Second District congressman has favorable ratings of 42%, compared with 23% who see him unfavorably. Schaffer, who lost the 2004 Senate primary to beer magnate Pete Coors, is viewed favorably by just 27% of voters, while 25% see him in a negative light.

Udall also leads a Suffolk University poll, conducted 8/21-24 among 450 likely voters for a margin of error of +/- 4.6%. Udall, Schaffer, Kinsey and American Constitution Party candidate Douglas Dayhorse Campbell were tested.

General Election Matchup
Udall..........39
Schaffer.......31
Campbell........4
Kinsey..........2

Obama..........44
McCain.........39

In virtually every poll, save a Quinnipiac University survey that showed the two tied, Udall has opened a small but significant lead. Still, it's not an insurmountable lead by any means, as Schaffer is running closer to Udall than many expected. National Republicans looking for a place to make a stand could pick Colorado.