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August 12, 2008

Parnell Poll Has Him Ahead

Lieutenant Governor Sean Parnell is ahead of Republican Don Young just two weeks before Alaska's primary, a new poll conducted for his campaign shows. With the state's primary just two weeks away, the first-term Lieutenant Governor looks like he's in good position to knock off the seventeen-term incumbent.

The poll, conducted for Parnell's campaign by Maryland-based Basswood Research, surveyed 300 likely voters on 8/5 for a margin of error of +/- 5.7%. Young, Parnell and State Rep. Gabrielle LeDoux were tested.

General Election Matchup
Parnell...........42
Young...........38
LeDoux...........8

One-day polls are seen as less reliable than surveys conducted over several days, and the small sample size means Parnell's four-point lead is statistically insignificant. But to be an incumbent who trails his opponent and is under 50% with such a short amount of time left before the primary is to be in terrible political position. The poll comes after the release of another survey with a smaller sample showed Young leading by a small margin.