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August 18, 2008

Inhofe Leads Dem Poll

Republican Senator James Inhofe leads his Democratic opponent, but the two-term incumbent doesn't have an overwhelming lead, according to a new poll conducted for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.

The survey, conducted by Benenson Strategy Group, polled 600 likely voters between 8/12-14 for a margin of error of +/- 4%. Inhoff and State Senator Andrew Rice were tested.

General Election Matchup
Inhofe............50 (-3 from last, 6/11)
Rice...............41 (+8)

Inhofe's job performance numbers aren't stellar, with 46% saying he's doing an excellent or good job and 47% saying he's doing fairly or poorly. But an incumbent who reaches 50% remains in strong position. Given Inhofe's electoral history, it's not surprising that the race looks close; while Inhofe has bested his previous two opponents by a wide margin, he's never attracted the support of more than 57% of Sooner voters.

Despite Inhofe's lead, Democrats are clearly interested in the seat. The DSCC's expenditure is at least the third time Benenson has polled the Inhofe-Rice matchup for national Democrats. And because the state features inexpensive television time, relative to other states with longer-shot Democratic opportunities like North Carolina and Minnesota, national Democrats could decide that at least a few expenditures are justified.