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August 08, 2008

Dreier Leads Dem Poll

California Rep. David Dreier leads by a healthy margin in a poll conducted for his Democratic opponent, but the fourteen-term incumbent did not break the 50% mark, giving businessman Russ Warner at least a chance to make a competitive race in the Rancho Cucamonga-based district.

The poll, conducted for Warner's campaign by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, surveyed 400 likely voters between 7/15-16 for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Dreier and Warner were tested.

General Election Matchup


Dreier could worry about his future given that Obama is running so close to McCain in a district that gave President Bush an eleven-point margin. Hispanic voters are becoming a larger part of the district's population, and down the line Democrats could play here.

Still, Dreier won with 54% in 2004 and with 57% in 2006, and his job approval rating is still a healthy 45% to 33% who disapprove. Warner has a ways to go, especially given that even after respondents were given information about both candidates, Dreier still led by a 47%-44% margin.