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July 29, 2008

MI 07: Dueling Polls, Sort Of

Republican Rep. Tim Walberg's poll has been on The Scorecard for all of three hours before Democratic rival Mark Schauer put out his own survey showing a much closer race nearly three months ago. Then again, a lot can change in three months.

The Myers Research & Strategic Services poll, conducted 5/8-15 for Schauer's campaign, surveyed 600 likely voters for a margin of error of +/- 4%. Walberg and Schauer were tested.

General Election Matchup
Walberg..........40
Schauer..........37

The polling memo reports that just 35% of respondents say they would vote to re-elect the incumbent, while a nearly equal 33% said they prefer someone new. Walberg's job approval rating is an upside down 34% excellent or good to 42% fair to poor.

Republicans will argue that the nearly three month-old survey is out of date, and offered only in response to Walberg's own more recent internal poll that shows him leading by sixteen points. They have a point.