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Blog Home Page --> House -- Florida -- 19

Dem Favored In First Election Since Health Care Vote

If it's Tuesday, someone somewhere is voting. Well, today that's in South Florida for a special election to replace a retired Democratic congressman and in Waco, Texas, where two Republicans are battling in a primary runoff for the nomination and chance to take on a potentially vulnerable Democratic incumbent.

Here's a look inside the two races:

Florida 19th Congressional District Special Election

Republican Ed Lynch hopes to win the first congressional election since the health care reform bill was signed into law last month. However, despite the bill's unpopularity nationwide, few expect a majority of Florida's 19th Congressional District voters to be swayed by his special election campaign that's centered on repealing the new health care reform law.

Lynch is running against Democrat Ted Deutch, who represents Palm Beach County in the state Senate and is heavily favored to retain the seat left vacant by the retirement of Democrat Robert Wexler. Through March 24, Deutch had spent nearly $1.2 million, more than 14 times as much as Lynch's $83,000.

This is not Lynch's first go at the district. Wexler defeated him in November 2008 by a 66 percent to 27 percent margin.

This Palm Beach- and Broward County-based district also gave President Obama a 66 percent win. It has one of the highest percentages of Jewish voters and ranks second in the number of Social Security recipients, according to the Almanac of American Politics.

The district gave John Kerry an identical percentage, while Al Gore and Joe Lieberman scored 73 percent of the vote in 2000.

Obama did better here than in Massachusetts, the bluest of blue states that surprisingly voted Republican Scott Brown into the late Edward Kennedy's Senate seat in January. That win galvanized Republicans nationwide, but the national GOP has lower expectations here.

Telling for how competitive both national parties think this district is: Neither the National Republican Congressional Committee or its Democratic counterpart spent much if any money here.

Continue reading "Dem Favored In First Election Since Health Care Vote" »