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Blog Home Page --> Governor -- Arizona

The Maverick Looks Safe In 2010

All signs point to another six years in the Senate for John McCain, should he stick to his word and seek a fifth term. Public Policy Polling (D) finds that his race against Minuteman Project founder Chris Simcox is a better storyline than it is a race.

Senate Primary Matchups
McCain 67
Simcox 17
Undecided 17

About one in four likely Republican voters disapprove of the job McCain is doing, compared to 65 who approve. A more intriguing race is in the Republican gubernatorial primary, where Gov. Jan Brewer, who took office after Janet Napolitano became Homeland Security Secretary, struggles in several hypothetical matchups.

Gubernatorial Primary Matchups
Brewer 39 - Symington 31 - Und 30
Martin 37 - Brewer 26 - Und 37
Symington 34 - Martin 26 - Brewer 22 - Und 19

We noted that Democratic Attorney General Terry Goddard lead all three potential Republican candidates in general election matchups.

The survey of 400 likely primary voters was conducted September 18-21, and had a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percent.

PPP (D): Democrat Early Favorite In AZ-Gov Race

Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer (R), who took over this January when Janet Napolitano joined President Obama's Cabinet, looks vulnerable as she considers whether to seek a new term in 2010. State Attorney General Terry Goddard (D) leads Brewer and other potential Republican candidates -- former Gov. Fife Symington and state Treasurer Dean Martin -- in a new Public Policy Polling (D) survey.

General Election Matchups
Goddard 46 - Brewer 36 - Undecided 17
Goddard 45 - Martin 37 - Undecided 18
Goddard 52 - Symington 29 - Undecided 18

Brewer's job approval rating is at just 26 percent, with 43 percent disapproving. Even among Republicans, Brewer has a net -9 percent rating.

Favorability Ratings
Goddard 44 / 22
Martin 27 / 19
Symington 17 / 54

The automated telephone survey of 617 voters was conducted September 18-21, and had a margin of error of +/-3.9 percent.