Topics
Administration
Congress
Democrats
Elections
Ethics
Governor -- Alabama
Governor -- Alaska
Governor -- Arizona
Governor -- California
Governor -- Colorado
Governor -- Connecticut
Governor -- Delaware
Governor -- Florida
Governor -- Georgia
Governor -- Hawaii
Governor -- Illinois
Governor -- Indiana
Governor -- Iowa
Governor -- Kentucky
Governor -- Louisiana
Governor -- Maryland
Governor -- Massachusetts
Governor -- Michigan
Governor -- Minnesota
Governor -- Missouri
Governor -- Montana
Governor -- Nevada
Governor -- New Hampshire
Governor -- New Jersey
Governor -- New Mexico
Governor -- New York
Governor -- North Carolina
Governor -- North Dakota
Governor -- Ohio
Governor -- Oregon
Governor -- Pennsylvania
Governor -- Rhode Island
Governor -- South Carolina
Governor -- Texas
Governor -- Utah
Governor -- Vermont
Governor -- Virginia
Governor -- Washington
Governor -- Wyoming
Governors
Health Care
House
House -- Alabama -- 02
House -- Alabama -- 03
House -- Alabama -- 05
House -- Alaska
House -- Arizona -- 01
House -- Arizona -- 03
House -- Arizona -- 05
House -- Arizona -- 08
House -- Arkansas -- 01
House -- Arkansas -- 02
House -- California -- 04
House -- California -- 12
House -- California -- 26
House -- California -- 32
House -- California -- 50
House -- Colorado -- 02
House -- Colorado -- 04
House -- Connecticut -- 04
House -- Connecticut -- 05
House -- Florida -- 06
House -- Florida -- 08
House -- Florida -- 13
House -- Florida -- 15
House -- Florida -- 16
House -- Florida -- 18
House -- Florida -- 19
House -- Florida -- 21
House -- Florida -- 24
House -- Florida -- 25
House -- Georgia -- 05
House -- Georgia -- 10
House -- Georgia -- 12
House -- Hawaii -- 01
House -- Idaho -- 01
House -- Illinois -- 01
House -- Illinois -- 03
House -- Illinois -- 05
House -- Illinois -- 06
House -- Illinois -- 10
House -- Illinois -- 11
House -- Illinois -- 14
House -- Illinois -- 18
House -- Indiana -- 03
House -- Indiana -- 07
House -- Indiana -- 09
House -- Iowa -- 03
House -- Iowa -- 04
House -- Kansas -- 02
House -- Kentucky -- 02
House -- Kentucky -- 03
House -- Louisiana -- 01
House -- Louisiana -- 02
House -- Louisiana -- 04
House -- Louisiana -- 06
House -- Maine -- 01
House -- Maryland -- 01
House -- Maryland -- 04
House -- Massachusetts -- 05
House -- Michigan -- 01
House -- Michigan -- 07
House -- Michigan -- 09
House -- Michigan -- 13
House -- Minnesota -- 01
House -- Minnesota -- 03
House -- Minnesota -- 06
House -- Mississippi -- 01
House -- Mississippi -- 03
House -- Missouri -- 09
House -- Nevada -- 02
House -- Nevada -- 03
House -- New Hampshire -- 01
House -- New Hampshire -- 02
House -- New Jersey -- 03
House -- New Jersey -- 05
House -- New Jersey -- 07
House -- New Mexico -- 01
House -- New Mexico -- 02
House -- New York -- 13
House -- New York -- 15
House -- New York -- 20
House -- New York -- 21
House -- New York -- 23
House -- New York -- 24
House -- New York -- 25
House -- New York -- 26
House -- New York -- 29
House -- North Carolina -- 03
House -- North Carolina -- 08
House -- North Carolina -- 10
House -- North Dakota
House -- Ohio -- 01
House -- Ohio -- 02
House -- Ohio -- 05
House -- Ohio -- 07
House -- Ohio -- 10
House -- Ohio -- 15
House -- Ohio -- 16
House -- Oklahoma -- 05
House -- Oregon -- 05
House -- Pennsylvania -- 03
House -- Pennsylvania -- 04
House -- Pennsylvania -- 06
House -- Pennsylvania -- 10
House -- Pennsylvania -- 11
House -- Pennsylvania -- 12
House -- Pennsylvania -- 15
House -- South Carolina -- 01
House -- South Carolina -- 02
House -- South Carolina -- 05
House -- South Dakota
House -- Tennessee -- 07
House -- Tennessee -- 08
House -- Tennessee -- 09
House -- Texas -- 07
House -- Texas -- 10
House -- Texas -- 14
House -- Texas -- 22
House -- Utah -- 03
House -- Virginia -- 01
House -- Virginia -- 05
House -- Virginia -- 09
House -- Virginia -- 11
House -- Washington -- 08
House -- West Virginia -- 01
House -- West Virginia -- 02
House -- Wisconsin -- 07
House -- Wisconsin -- 08
House -- Wyoming
Inauguration 2009
International
Issues
Judiciary
Local Elections
Media
Miscellaneous
Morning Thoughts
Politics Weekly
Polls
Rankings
Republicans
Senate
Senate -- Alaska
Senate -- Arizona
Senate -- Arkansas
Senate -- California
Senate -- Colorado
Senate -- Connecticut
Senate -- Delaware
Senate -- Florida
Senate -- Georgia
Senate -- Idaho
Senate -- Illinois
Senate -- Indiana
Senate -- Iowa
Senate -- Kansas
Senate -- Kentucky
Senate -- Louisiana
Senate -- Maine
Senate -- Massachusetts
Senate -- Minnesota
Senate -- Mississippi
Senate -- Missouri
Senate -- Montana
Senate -- Nebraska
Senate -- Nevada
Senate -- New Hampshire
Senate -- New Jersey
Senate -- New Mexico
Senate -- New York
Senate -- North Carolina
Senate -- North Dakota
Senate -- Ohio
Senate -- Oklahoma
Senate -- Oregon
Senate -- Pennsylvania
Senate -- South Carolina
Senate -- South Dakota
Senate -- Tennessee
Senate -- Texas
Senate -- Utah
Senate -- Virginia
Senate -- Wisconsin
Senate -- Wyoming
Sports
Supreme Court
WH 08
WH 08 -- Democrats
WH 08 -- Republicans
WH 12
WH 12 -- Republicans
White House

 

« Week In Midterms: Who Will Capitalize On Voter Mood? | Blog Home Page | Blumenthal Camp: Vietnam Issue Behind Us »

The Week Ahead: Expecting The Unexpected

It ultimately was not a surprise, but the result is no less remarkable. For the first time since 1991, a Republican will hold a Congressional seat in Hawaii.

Charles Djou won the mail-in special election in the Aloha State's 1st Congressional District this weekend, with more than 39 percent of the vote. Democratic candidates won more than 58 percent of the vote, but it was split largely by two candidates: state Senate President Colleen Hanabusa with about 31 percent, and former 2nd District Rep. Ed Case with 28 percent. Still, that combined total is the lowest since former occupant, Neil Abercrombie, was re-elected with 50 percent in 1996.

Republicans will start the week crowing about their first Congressional special election win since early 2008, one that took place in a heavily Democratic seat where President Obama spent much of his youth. Democrats will argue that they can easily win it back in November, when just one of those Democrats will be on the ballot. But both parties should know by now: in this election year, there are no sure things.

Just look at another set of votes cast this weekend. In Colorado, it was another bad weekend for establishment candidates and incumbents. Challengers to Sen. Michael Bennet (D), top Senate recruit Jane Norton (R), and leading gubernatorial candidate Scott McInnis (R) all won votes at their respective party assemblies Saturday. These weren't binding votes, and all candidates will appear on the August primary ballot. But it's yet another sign of the shifting mood.

Bennet got 40 percent of the vote among Democrats, while former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff received 60 percent. In the GOP Senate race, Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck (R) won an overwhelming victory among GOP delegates; Norton had decided not to attend when a win by the tea party favorite seemed inevitable, and is instead seeking to make the ballot via petition.

In the gubernatorial race, former Rep. McInnis fell just short of businessman Dan Maes, another tea party favorite. Both candidates will appear on the primary ballot, but Maes' name on top. Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper will be the Democratic nominee, having been uncontested.

One more notable vote this weekend: Connecticut Republicans backed Linda McMahon at their state party convention. She topped former Rep. Rob Simmons among party delegates in a vote that took on added significance after the revelation that Democratic candidate Richard Blumenthal has publicly misstated his military service record. Simmons, a Vietnam vet, still plans to contest the August 10 primary but McMahon is solidified as frontrunner.

The White House: Today Obama's schedule reflects the realization of the administration that its response to the Gulf oil spill was being seen as inadequate, even to allies. This morning the president will take part in a regular conference call with Gulf Coast governors on the spill. Press secretary Robert Gibbs will be joined at his daily briefing by Coast Guard Commandant Thad Allen, after a few somewhat shaky performances as questions grew more antagonistic about the administration response. In his weekly address, Obama also announced a task force that will investigate the spill, led by former Florida Sen. Bob Graham. And the White House has signaled that it may take a more active role in overseeing the containment and cleanup efforts, acknowledging that BP's has been less than effective, shall we say.

Also today, Obama meets with Lebanon Prime Minister Saad Hariri. Later this week he welcomes Italian President Giorgio Napolitano, that nation's head of state, for a largely symbolic meeting to acknowledge the Italian role in NATO. On the economic front, Obama holds a small business event at the White House Tuesday. Wednesday he'll be in California to tour a solar panel manufacturing plant to again highlight the stimulus bill and further legislative efforts on jobs.

That trip to California also includes yet another event on behalf of Sen. Barbara Boxer (D). The California primary is just two weeks from Tuesday, and the result of the GOP primary for Senate will be a critical point as Democrats guard a marginal seat. That trip also benefits the DSCC. While he campaigns for his party, Obama this week also is scheduled to address the Senate GOP caucus.

And one other note of interest: the NCAA men's basketball champion Duke Blue Devils visit the hoops fan in chief Thursday. Obama's personal aide, Reggie Love, is a Duke alum and former player on Coach K's squad.

Capitol Hill: Now that the Senate has passed its version of financial regulation reform, both chambers of Congress will select members for a conference committee to meld the two bills. Democrats want a final bill on the president's desk before the Fourth of July recess. In the Senate, Elena Kagan will wait a month until going before the Judiciary Committee, with her confirmation hearing beginning June 28. This week, the Energy committee on Tuesday will look into raising the liability and financial responsibility for companies involved in offshore oil production. The House will vote to concur on the Senate amendments to jobs and defense spending bills.

Politics: After a busy stretch last week, just one primary is on the docket this week: Idaho voters go to the polls Tuesday. Gov. Butch Otter (R) faces some opposition as he looks to be renominated, but should emerge the winner and have no worries this November. Five Republicans are vying to challenge Rep. Walt Minnick (D) this November in the 1st Congressional District, a tossup seat on our Congressional map.

By Sunday the filing deadlines will have passed in three states: Arizona, Colorado and Wyoming.

**Poll Watch:
Obama Job Performance: Approve 48.0 / Disapprove 46.3 (+1.7)
Congress Job Performance: Approve 23.0 / Disapprove 70.8 (-47.8)
Generic Ballot Test: Democrats +0.6

In Case You Missed It: Another big story this weekend, which was hardly a surprise. On Saturday, New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D) finally announced his candidacy for governor, ending a drawn-out process that was set into motion with the resignation of Eliot Spitzer in 2008 and ultimately the decision by current Gov. David Paterson (D) not to run, under heavy pressure. His announcement came in the form of this more than 20-minute (!) Web video:

The Plan from Andrew Cuomo on Vimeo.

--Mike Memoli & Kyle Trygstad