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« VA Gov Poll: Deeds Gain, Still Trails | Blog Home Page | FDU Poll: Corzine Claims First Lead Since January »

NH Sen Poll: Ayotte Holds Lead Over Hodes

A new University of New Hampshire WMUR Granite State poll shows that former Attorney General Kelly Ayotte (R) maintains a lead over Rep. Paul Hodes (D) in the battle for the state's open Senate seat.

General Election Matchup
Ayotte 40 (+1 from last poll, 7/2)
Hodes 33 (-2)
Undecided 25 (+1)

That last poll was taken just before Ayotte resigned and announced her Senate candidacy. It hasn't been the easiest road for her since then, but she still appears to be the strongest Republican candidate against Hodes. The caveat is that only 14 percent of voters have definitely decided on who they'll vote for in one year, or are leaning toward someone.

Hodes 37 -- Lamontagne 28 -- Und 33
Hodes 37 -- Mahoney 28 -- Und 33

Favorable Rating
Hodes 30 / 26
Ayotte 37 / 8
Lamontagne 11 / 7
Mahoney 5 / 3

Gregg 56 / 23
Shaheen 51 / 36

After the jump, favorable ratings for the candidates for New Hampshire's Congressional races.

First District
Shea Porter (D-Inc) 42 / 31
Guinta (R) 28 / 11
Stephen (R) 18 / 10

Second District
Kuster (D) 6 / 2
Swett (D) 12 / 17
Horn (R) 13 / 10
Bass (R) 39 / 22

The survey of 503 voters was conducted September 25 to October 2, and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percent. The Senate subsample of 466 likely voters has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percent. The First District subsample of 251 adults had a margin of error of +/- 6.2 percent, and the 2nd district subsample of 253 voters had the same.