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NV 03: Dueling Polls

Polls released by both candidates running in a south Clark County, Nevada district could show a bit of Republican panic. Though he leads the survey conducted for his own campaign, it's been a while since we've seen an incumbent brag about earning 41% in a survey.

The poll taken for Republican Rep. Jon Porter's campaign by Public Opinion Strategies surveyed 400 likely voters between 9/23-24 for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Porter and State Senator Dina Titus were tested.

General Election Matchup
Porter.......41
Titus........39

Democrat Titus released her own poll showing her significantly ahead. The survey, conducted for Titus' campaign by Anzalone Liszt Research, surveyed 500 likely voters between 9/21-24 for a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. Porter and Titus were tested.

General Election Matchup
Titus........46
Porter.......37

The district, which takes in most of the suburbs south of Las Vegas, is changing rapidly, and many voters know Porter as much as they know Titus, who ran unsuccessfully for governor in 2006 (and actually won the Third District by two points).

Both polls show Porter viewed favorably by a plurality of district residents -- 44% favorable to 41% unfavorable in Titus' poll, 40% favorable to 31% unfavorable in Porter's survey. The polls also agree that Porter needs help: Forget who conducted the poll, an incumbent who can't get more than 41% in a horse race is in serious trouble.