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« NH: Shaheen +12 | Blog Home Page | Strategy Memo: Ad It All Up »

NM: Udall +16

He almost didn't run. Now, Democratic Rep. Tom Udall looks like he's cruising toward picking up a Republican-held Senate seat. According to a new poll, Udall has all but wrapped up the race to replace New Mexico Senator Pete Domenici.

The poll, conducted by Myers Research and Grove Insight for Project New West, surveyed 600 likely voters between 9/10-12 for a margin of error of +/- 4%. Udall and Republican Rep. Steve Pearce were tested.

General Election Matchup
Udall.......57
Pearce......41

The news gets worse for Pearce. An at-times ugly primary between Pearce and fellow Rep. Heather Wilson sapped the Hobbs Republican's bank account, and earlier this month the National Republican Senatorial Committee canceled more than $2 million in reserved television time in the state.

Udall, who faced no significant opposition in his own primary, has led every poll matching up the two contenders.