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« AK: Begich +3 | Blog Home Page | Strategy Memo: Obsession For Media »

CO: Udall +1

It's been a week since Democrats gathered in Denver for their national convention, and despite the free press Rep. Mark Udall didn't benefit at all, according to a new poll conducted for the National Republican Senatorial Committee. Instead, as has been the case all year, a large portion of voters have yet to make up their mind in the race to replace retiring Senator Wayne Allard.

The poll, conducted for the NRSC by The Tarrance Group, surveyed 495 likely voters between 9/2-3 for a margin of error of +/- 4.5%. Udall, the Democratic nominee, and former Rep. Bob Schaffer, the Republican standard-bearer, were tested.

General Election Matchup
Udall.............40
Schaffer..........39

Generic Dem.......44
Generic GOPer.....42

McCain............47
Obama.............45

Udall and Schaffer have run neck and neck for months, though most political observers think the Democrat is farther ahead than polls indicate. Still, independent voters have yet to seriously tune in, despite the five head-to-head debates in which both candidates have already participated.

The tightness of the race serves as a reminder that Colorado, and the Mountain West as a whole remains a Democratic target, but any gains the party makes will not come easily.