Topics
Administration
Congress
Democrats
Elections
Ethics
Governor -- Alabama
Governor -- Alaska
Governor -- Arizona
Governor -- California
Governor -- Colorado
Governor -- Connecticut
Governor -- Delaware
Governor -- Florida
Governor -- Georgia
Governor -- Hawaii
Governor -- Illinois
Governor -- Indiana
Governor -- Iowa
Governor -- Kentucky
Governor -- Louisiana
Governor -- Maryland
Governor -- Massachusetts
Governor -- Michigan
Governor -- Minnesota
Governor -- Missouri
Governor -- Montana
Governor -- Nevada
Governor -- New Hampshire
Governor -- New Jersey
Governor -- New Mexico
Governor -- New York
Governor -- North Carolina
Governor -- North Dakota
Governor -- Ohio
Governor -- Oregon
Governor -- Pennsylvania
Governor -- Rhode Island
Governor -- South Carolina
Governor -- Texas
Governor -- Utah
Governor -- Vermont
Governor -- Virginia
Governor -- Washington
Governor -- Wyoming
Governors
Health Care
House
House -- Alabama -- 02
House -- Alabama -- 03
House -- Alabama -- 05
House -- Alaska
House -- Arizona -- 01
House -- Arizona -- 03
House -- Arizona -- 05
House -- Arizona -- 08
House -- Arkansas -- 01
House -- Arkansas -- 02
House -- California -- 04
House -- California -- 12
House -- California -- 26
House -- California -- 32
House -- California -- 50
House -- Colorado -- 02
House -- Colorado -- 04
House -- Connecticut -- 04
House -- Connecticut -- 05
House -- Florida -- 06
House -- Florida -- 08
House -- Florida -- 13
House -- Florida -- 15
House -- Florida -- 16
House -- Florida -- 18
House -- Florida -- 19
House -- Florida -- 21
House -- Florida -- 24
House -- Florida -- 25
House -- Georgia -- 05
House -- Georgia -- 10
House -- Georgia -- 12
House -- Idaho -- 01
House -- Illinois -- 01
House -- Illinois -- 03
House -- Illinois -- 05
House -- Illinois -- 06
House -- Illinois -- 10
House -- Illinois -- 11
House -- Illinois -- 14
House -- Illinois -- 18
House -- Indiana -- 03
House -- Indiana -- 07
House -- Indiana -- 09
House -- Iowa -- 03
House -- Iowa -- 04
House -- Kansas -- 02
House -- Kentucky -- 02
House -- Kentucky -- 03
House -- Louisiana -- 01
House -- Louisiana -- 02
House -- Louisiana -- 04
House -- Louisiana -- 06
House -- Maine -- 01
House -- Maryland -- 01
House -- Maryland -- 04
House -- Massachusetts -- 05
House -- Michigan -- 01
House -- Michigan -- 07
House -- Michigan -- 09
House -- Michigan -- 13
House -- Minnesota -- 01
House -- Minnesota -- 03
House -- Minnesota -- 06
House -- Mississippi -- 01
House -- Mississippi -- 03
House -- Missouri -- 09
House -- Nevada -- 02
House -- Nevada -- 03
House -- New Hampshire -- 01
House -- New Hampshire -- 02
House -- New Jersey -- 03
House -- New Jersey -- 05
House -- New Jersey -- 07
House -- New Mexico -- 01
House -- New Mexico -- 02
House -- New York -- 13
House -- New York -- 15
House -- New York -- 20
House -- New York -- 21
House -- New York -- 23
House -- New York -- 24
House -- New York -- 25
House -- New York -- 26
House -- New York -- 29
House -- North Carolina -- 03
House -- North Carolina -- 08
House -- North Carolina -- 10
House -- North Dakota
House -- Ohio -- 01
House -- Ohio -- 02
House -- Ohio -- 05
House -- Ohio -- 07
House -- Ohio -- 10
House -- Ohio -- 15
House -- Ohio -- 16
House -- Oklahoma -- 05
House -- Oregon -- 05
House -- Pennsylvania -- 03
House -- Pennsylvania -- 04
House -- Pennsylvania -- 06
House -- Pennsylvania -- 10
House -- Pennsylvania -- 11
House -- Pennsylvania -- 12
House -- Pennsylvania -- 15
House -- South Carolina -- 01
House -- South Carolina -- 02
House -- South Carolina -- 05
House -- South Dakota
House -- Tennessee -- 07
House -- Tennessee -- 08
House -- Tennessee -- 09
House -- Texas -- 07
House -- Texas -- 10
House -- Texas -- 14
House -- Texas -- 22
House -- Utah -- 03
House -- Virginia -- 01
House -- Virginia -- 05
House -- Virginia -- 09
House -- Virginia -- 11
House -- Washington -- 08
House -- West Virginia -- 02
House -- Wisconsin -- 08
House -- Wyoming
Inauguration 2009
International
Issues
Judiciary
Local Elections
Media
Miscellaneous
Morning Thoughts
Politics Weekly
Polls
Rankings
Republicans
Senate
Senate -- Alaska
Senate -- Arizona
Senate -- Arkansas
Senate -- California
Senate -- Colorado
Senate -- Connecticut
Senate -- Delaware
Senate -- Florida
Senate -- Georgia
Senate -- Idaho
Senate -- Illinois
Senate -- Indiana
Senate -- Iowa
Senate -- Kansas
Senate -- Kentucky
Senate -- Louisiana
Senate -- Maine
Senate -- Massachusetts
Senate -- Minnesota
Senate -- Mississippi
Senate -- Missouri
Senate -- Montana
Senate -- Nebraska
Senate -- Nevada
Senate -- New Hampshire
Senate -- New Jersey
Senate -- New Mexico
Senate -- New York
Senate -- North Carolina
Senate -- North Dakota
Senate -- Ohio
Senate -- Oklahoma
Senate -- Oregon
Senate -- Pennsylvania
Senate -- South Carolina
Senate -- South Dakota
Senate -- Tennessee
Senate -- Texas
Senate -- Utah
Senate -- Virginia
Senate -- Wisconsin
Senate -- Wyoming
Sports
Supreme Court
WH 08
WH 08 -- Democrats
WH 08 -- Republicans
WH 12
WH 12 -- Republicans
White House

 

« New NH Polls | Blog Home Page | Durbin Cruising »

Strategy Memo: Ich Bin Ein Obama

Good Thursday morning. Thanks to Kyle Trygstad for filling in for a few days, but now the original author is off the disabled list, like it or not. Here's what Washington is watching this morning:

-- The Senate is back today debating a measure to provide home energy assistance to low-income residents, a program Northeastern Senators, regardless of party, virtually always support. The House will vote on a bill to release a certain kind of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and replace it with a different kind and is likely to pass a bill on AIDS relief around the world. President Bush will stop by the Ronald Reagan International Trade Center in downtown Washington to deliver remarks on the Freedom Agenda before participating in a photo op at the White House. Meanwhile, U.S. Trade Representative Susan Schwab is in Geneva for a new meeting of the World Trade Organization's Doha Round.

-- On the presidential trail, Barack Obama has finished the Middle East portion of his overseas trip, but not before stopping by one of the holiest sites in Judaism, Jerusalem's Western Wall, early this morning. Obama tucked a note inside a slot in the wall, reports AP's David Espo, and encountered only one heckler among the Orthodox men engaged in early morning prayer. Still, the trip to Israel was less about building a foundation than about wooing Jewish voters at home, Ha'aretz's Aluf Benn, a columnist more on McCain's side than Obama's, writes in today's paper.

-- Having met Tuesday and Wednesday with top Israeli, Palestinian and Jordanian officials after stopping in Iraq and Afghanistan over the weekend, Obama is through the most politically difficult part of his trip. Given the fawning media coverage and the non-stop attention, the visit was well worth the time away from the States. Without a major faux pas, and with photos of everyone from Hamid Karzai to Nouri al-Malaki to Shimon Peres, Obama covered his general foreign policy base, his Iraq and Afghanistan bases and his Israeli-Palestinian conflict base, all of which were seen as weaknesses at one point.

-- Is this evidence of the evolution of Karl Rove's strategy? We're not the first to suggest it, but Rove was bent on focusing on his opponent's biggest strength and turning it into a weakness. Version 2.0, it appears, could be turning one's own biggest weakness, in Obama's case a lack of experience in foreign policy, into a strength. Obama has yet to utter a single attack on John McCain while overseas, but the implications are clear, and the visuals alone are enough to make Republicans, who once thought doing battle over the war on terror and the war in Iraq was the only way McCain could win, pull their own hair out. We're not convinced it'll work, but watch the next poll in which respondents are asked who they trust most on Iraq. McCain once led by as many as five to ten points. If that goes the other way, he's in trouble.

-- Now, Obama embarks on the easier part of the trip, beginning today when he will deliver a big speech in Berlin that some have estimated could draw a crowd of over a million. Guaranteed to lead every nightly newscast and to front every major paper tomorrow, Republicans this year couldn't buy the kind of hype the media has heaped on Obama. With photos taken next to Angela Merkel, Nicholas Sarkozy and Gordon Brown during stops in Germany, France and England, Obama's coverage is only going to get easier over the coming days. Many, including Politics Nation, are curious to know where the same coverage was during McCain's almost identical tour a few months ago?

-- It is looking more and more like the election is Obama's to lose, as pollster Peter Hart put it to NBC's Mark Murray, which is better for the Democrat than for his Republican foe. The latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll calcifies the notion that the election will be a decision on Obama, not McCain, and that voters will pick the Republican only if they are convinced that Obama is too risky or too unlike themselves. McCain's team knows this, which is why messages from his campaign more often consist of contrasts with the Democrat than Obama's do. Every year, one candidate has to sow doubt about the other, and McCain is hard at work doing just that.

-- That this election is Obama's to lose is not terribly big news. Every year, one of the candidates should logically win, but the other sometimes pulls it out. In an era of prosperity and peace, the 2000 election should have gone to the party in power, but Republican George Bush beat Democrat Al Gore all the same. Arguably, 2004 should have been a shoo-in for John Kerry, after Bush's approval ratings started to slide, but the Republican won again. After two terms of an unpopular president, an unpopular war, a flagging economy and a Republican Party with an image more damaged than at virtually any time in history, it's a minor miracle that McCain is even somewhat competitive with Obama. His best strategy at the moment is to make the race about Obama, and then to explain to Americans why the Illinois Democrat is not right for the country.

-- Veep Buzz Of The Day: Increasing speculation that a vice presidential nomination is just around the corner is making politicos giddy with anticipation. Could one or both candidates pick their second in command before the start of the Olympics, on August 8? McCain's team increased the buzz with rumors that a meeting with Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal today, canceled due to bad weather, could lead to an announcement, and with Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty giving interviews and spending several hours at McCain's Arlington headquarters, as Marc Ambinder reported. Most analysts see Mitt Romney as McCain's front-runner, but Politics Nation will stick by its original prediction of Pawlenty, who we're not sure can be counted out just yet.

-- Today On The Trail: Obama's speech in Berlin comes at midday today from Tiergarten Park. Doors open at 10 a.m. Eastern Time. He sits down with NBC's Brian Williams for an interview to air on the Nightly News tonight. McCain has a fundraiser scheduled for New Albany, Ohio this afternoon before heading to Ohio State University for a health care town hall meeting alongside former Tour de France ace Lance Armstrong as part of the Livestrong Summit. Later, McCain and Armstrong will meet the media.