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« OH AG Steps Down | Blog Home Page | Strategy Memo: Sweet Relevance »

Chambliss Leads Big

While some polls have showed bad news for their incumbents around the country, Georgia is a state where the Republican brand is doing just fine. A new survey from a Republican-leaning independent firm shows incumbent Senator Saxby Chambliss leading all his potential rivals by wide margins.

The poll, taken by Strategic Vision, surveyed 800 likely voters between 5/9-11 for a margin of error of +/- 3%. Chambliss was tested alongside DeKalb County CEO Vernon Jones, former television reporter Dale Cardwell, former State Rep. Jim Martin, and businessmen Rand Knight and Josh Lanier. A subsample of 400 likely Democratic primary voters pitted the Democrats against each other for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.

Primary Election Matchup
Jones 28
Cardwell 20
Martin 15
Knight 11
Lanier 5

General Election Matchups
Chambliss 58 (+1 from last, 12/9/07)
Jones 29 (+2)

Chambliss 57 (nc)
Cardwell 27 (+2)

Chambliss 57 (no trend)
Martin 27

Chambliss 58 (nc)
Knight 25 (+2)

Chambliss 57 (-1)
Lanier 24 (+2)

President Bush still has upside down approval numbers in the state, but most Georgia voters approve of Chambliss' job performance, by a 54%-32% margin. National Democrats were excited when Martin, the party's 2006 lieutenant governor candidate, jumped in the race, but early surveys don't show him with any breakout potential just yet.

While national Republicans struggle to get beyond their current unpopularity, it appears, so far, that Chambliss is not in jeopardy.

A side note that's interesting to observe: In every poll out of Georgia we've seen in the last four years, be it from Strategic Vision or from another organization, Chambliss is slightly less popular than his junior colleague, Johnny Isackson. Both are Republicans, and both were elected by wide margins. Anyone in Politics Nation from Georgia able to describe the phenomenon?