Poll Has T. Udall Up
In what has to be the most polled race this side of the Iowa Democratic caucuses, a new Research 2000 poll taken for DailyKos shows Rep. Tom Udall handily defeating any Republican in his way to take the seat of retiring Sen. Pete Domenici. Reps. Steve Pearce and Heather Wilson, who are vying for the GOP nomination, each do much better against other Democrats, making Chuck Schumer's job of recruiting Udall all the more important.
The poll, conducted 11/5-7, surveyed 600 likely and regular voters throughout the state. The margin of error was +/- 4%. Along with Reps. Udall, Wilson and Pearce, Albuquerque Mayor Martin Chavez and Lieutenant Gov. Diane Denish, both Democrats, were also tested. 41% of the sample was Democrats, 31% Republicans and 28% were independents or backed other parties.
General Election Matchups
(All / Dem / GOP / Ind)
Udall 55 / 80 / 19 / 57
Wilson 38 / 10 / 79 / 35
Wilson 45 / 14 / 83 / 47
Chavez 42 / 70 / 6 / 41
Wilson 44 / 13 / 82 / 46
Denish 43 / 72 / 7 / 41
Udall 54 / 80 / 19 / 55
Pearce 37 / 10 / 78 / 32
Pearce 40 / 11 / 80 / 37
Chavez 39 / 65 / 6 / 37
Denish 45 / 74 / 8 / 44
Pearce 39 / 11 / 79 / 36
Fav/Unfav
Udall 51 / 28
Wilson 46 / 34
Denish 44 / 23
Chavez 42 / 32
Pearce 41 / 35
Udall's double-digit reach among Republicans, matched up with both Pearce and Wilson, is a big problem in a state where the GOP already has fewer voters than Democrats do. Wilson runs better than Pearce among independents, which fits with the moderate reputation she's built on Capitol Hill. Still, whether she can win a Republican primary with a moderate reputation remains to be seen.



