InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research
Florida Presidential Primary Poll
06.08.07

InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Poll: Florida Presidential Primary: Thompson moves into second place; Obama and Clinton remain in relatively close battle

 

An InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion survey of 500 Republican and 500 Democrats who said they would vote in their respective party’s primary if such a primary were held today yielded the following results.

 

Q.  Of the following potential candidates, if the primary were held today, which one candidate would you vote for?

 

Democrats

Clinton

40%

Obama

35%

Edwards

14%

Richardson

6%

Biden

2%

Dodd

0%

No opinion

3%

 

Republicans

 

Giuliani

32%

Thompson

21% 

Romney

17%

McCain

12%

Hunter

3%

Paul

1%

Brownback

1%

Huckabee

0%

Gilmore

0%

No opinion

13%

 

 

Both surveys had a sample size of 500 registered voters and they were weighted for age, race, and gender.  The surveys were conducted by telephone on June 6th and June 7th.  InsiderAdvantage (publisher of the Southern Political Report) CEO and nationally syndicated columnist (Florida Times Union-Creators Syndicate) Matt Towery had the following comments on the survey: “The Thompson jump to second place reflects the same movement which we found in our national survey of a week ago.  The Clinton/Obama race continues to be a relatively tight one as more African Americans in Florida begin to drift towards Senator Obama.  However, Senator Clinton has an overall strength among a broad group of voters and she continues to lead the field in the sunshine state.”

 

 

 

  1. If Democrat: Of the following potential candidates, if the primary were held today, which one candidate would you vote for?

 

 

 

Race

Gender

Age

 

Total

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

 (Base)

(500)

(428)

(44)

(14)

(14)

(152)

(348)

(21)

(46)

(180)

(253)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Clinton

40.1

52.2

26.3

66.7

100.0

50.0

52.3

30.7

29.4

30.8

51.1

Obama

34.6

16.7

52.6

16.7

.0

19.7

19.2

12.7

53.7

38.8

29.9

Edwards

13.5

14.5

15.8

16.7

.0

12.1

15.2

5.8

13.6

19.6

9.8

Richardson

5.7

4.8

5.3

.0

.0

7.6

3.3

47.3

.0

3.8

2.8

Biden

1.8

3.2

.0

.0

.0

4.5

2.0

.0

.0

3.2

1.5

Dodd

.4

.5

.0

.0

.0

1.5

.0

.0

.0

1.1

.0

No opinion

3.9

8.1

.0

.0

.0

4.5

7.9

3.5

3.3

2.6

5.0

 

 


 

 

  1. If Republican: Of the following potential candidates, if the primary were held today, which one candidate would you vote for?

 

 

 

Race

Gender

Age

 

Total

White

Black

Hisp-anic

Other

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

 (Base)

(500)

(470)

(10)

(15)

(5)

(180)

(320)

(30)

(30)

(180)

(260)

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

 

Giuliani

31.4

30.9

.0

33.3

.0

44.4

21.9

47.5

.0

36.3

29.4

Thompson

20.6

20.2

50.0

.0

.0

22.2

18.8

35.8

30.9

21.1

17.1

Romney

17.2

13.8

50.0

33.3

100.0

13.9

17.2

16.7

.0

21.5

16.3

McCain

12.4

13.8

.0

33.3

.0

8.3

17.2

.0

26.9

7.0

16.2

Hunter

2.9

3.2

.0

.0

.0

2.8

3.1

.0

.0

3.6

3.2

Paul

1.3

1.1

.0

.0

.0

2.8

.0

.0

.0

3.6

.0

Brownback

.8

1.1

.0

.0

.0

.0

1.6

.0

.0

.0

1.6

Huckabee

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

Gilmore

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

.0

No opinion

13.3

16.0

.0

.0

.0

5.6

20.3

.0

42.2

7.0

16.2