|Election 2006||Latest Polls||Senate Races||House Races||Governor Races|
|Poll||Date||Sample||Drake (R)||Kellam (D)||Und.||Spread|
|Reuters/Zogby||10/24 - 10/29||500 LV||51||43||3||Drake +8|
|RT Strategies/CD||10/24 - 10/26||989 LV||45||50||5||Kellam +5|
|Mason-Dixon||10/23 - 10/24||400 LV||46||44||10||Drake +2|
|RT Strategies/CD||10/8 - 10/10||982 LV||48||46||6||Drake +2|
|Reuters/Zogby||9/25 - 10/2||500 LV||42||46||10||Kellam +4|
|RT Strategies/CD||8/27 - 8/29||1,021 RV||43||51||6||Kellam +8|
|McLaughlin & Associates (R)||8/28 - 8/28||300 LV||48||41||--||Drake +7|
Of concern for Republicans is the 2005 Virginia Governor’s race where the Democrat Tim Kaine carried the state by almost 6 points, 3 points higher than the final RCP Average in that race. Kaine was able to win the 2nd district by just over 3%, running about two points off his state wide pace.
That has to give the Drake campaign some concern. But the good news for Drake is she is polling one point better than George Allen in the district and at the end of the day Allen’s race with Webb is almost guaranteed to be closer than the Kaine race at least from the Republican perspective. Allen should be able to carry this district, so if Drake continues to stay ahead of Allen, she should be OK.
Drake (R) 55
Ashe (D) 45
Bush (R) 58
Kerry (D) 42