|Election 2006||Latest Polls||Senate Races||House Races||Governor Races|
|Poll||Date||Sample||Weldon (R)||Sestak (D)||Und.||Spread|
|Benenson Strat (D)||10/24 - 10/24||400 LV||43||50||--||Sestak +7|
|RT Strategies/CD||10/8 - 10/10||1017 LV||44||52||5||Sestak +8|
|Keystone Poll||9/22 - 9/27||363 LV||44||45||11||Sestak +1|
|Pub Op Str (R)||9/12 - 9/13||400 LV||52||33||15||Weldon +19|
|Democracy Corps (D)||5/10 - 5/16||607 LV||51||41||8||Weldon +10|
(September 3) Of all three vulnerable Philadelphia-area Republicans, 10-term veteran Curt Weldon is probably the safest due the fact that his roots in the district go deeper than either 1st termer Mike Fitzpatrick or 2nd termer Jim Gerlach. Don’t misunderstand, though: Weldon is not necessarily safe. His district, which includes most of Delaware County in the southeastern corner of the Commonwealth and is home to Swarthmore College, has been trending Democratic in the last few elections. Bush did worse here in 2004 than he did in 2000.
This year, Weldon has drawn a serious challenge from retired Navy Admiral Joe Sestak, who thus far has demonstrated a gift for fundraising. Since his first election back in 1986, Weldon has not faced a serious challenge. Will he be sharp enough for this contest? So far, Weldon has been touting his local roots and Sestak has been trying to tie Weldon to Bush. PA 07, therefore, gets to the big question of this election: will voters come to identify individual Republican members with what they do not like about Bush?
Weldon (R) 59
Scoles (D) 40
Kerry (D) 53
Bush (R) 47