Polls
2008 Generic Congressional Vote
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Republicans | Democrats | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 42.5 | 53.2 | Democrats +10.7 |
| RCP Average | 10/23 - 11/2 | -- | 38.6 | 47.6 | Democrats +9.0 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 11/1 - 11/2 | 1011 LV | 36 | 48 | Democrats +12 |
| GallupGallup | 10/31 - 11/2 | 2472 LV | 41 | 53 | Democrats +12 |
| Diageo/HotlineDiageo/Hotline | 10/31 - 11/2 | 887 LV | 39 | 44 | Democrats +5 |
| CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times | 10/25 - 10/29 | 1005 LV | 36 | 48 | Democrats +12 |
| GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground | 10/23 - 10/29 | 1000 LV | 41 | 45 | Democrats +4 |
38.6 Republicans |
47.6 Democrats +9.0 |
 |  |
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Republicans | Democrats | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 42.5 | 53.2 | Democrats +10.7 |
| RCP Average | 10/23 - 11/2 | -- | 38.6 | 47.6 | Democrats +9.0 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 11/1 - 11/2 | 1011 LV | 36 | 48 | Democrats +12 |
| GallupGallup | 10/31 - 11/2 | 2472 LV | 41 | 53 | Democrats +12 |
| Diageo/HotlineDiageo/Hotline | 10/31 - 11/2 | 887 LV | 39 | 44 | Democrats +5 |
| CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times | 10/25 - 10/29 | 1005 LV | 36 | 48 | Democrats +12 |
| GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground | 10/23 - 10/29 | 1000 LV | 41 | 45 | Democrats +4 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports | 10/20 - 10/26 | 7000 LV | 40 | 47 | Democrats +7 |
| CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times | 10/19 - 10/22 | 1146 RV | 36 | 48 | Democrats +12 |
| GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground | 10/16 - 10/22 | 1000 LV | 40 | 48 | Democrats +8 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 10/17 - 10/20 | 1159 RV | 38 | 49 | Democrats +11 |
| GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground | 10/9 - 10/15 | 1000 LV | 40 | 49 | Democrats +9 |
| LA Times/BloombergLA Times/Bloomberg | 10/10 - 10/13 | 1030 LV | 39 | 45 | Democrats +6 |
| CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times | 10/10 - 10/13 | 699 LV | 34 | 48 | Democrats +14 |
| USA Today/GallupUSA Today/Gallup | 10/10 - 10/12 | LV | 45 | 51 | Democrats +6 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 10/8 - 10/9 | 900 RV | 36 | 44 | Democrats +8 |
| GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground | 10/6 - 10/9 | 800 LV | 38 | 49 | Democrats +11 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 10/4 - 10/5 | 658 RV | 36 | 49 | Democrats +13 |
| Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D) | 10/1 - 10/5 | 1000 LV | 41 | 54 | Democrats +13 |
| Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D) | 9/28 - 9/30 | 1000 LV | 43 | 51 | Democrats +8 |
| Associated Press/GfK*Associated Press/GfK* | 9/27 - 9/30 | 808 LV | 36 | 49 | Democrats +13 |
| TimeTime | 9/26 - 9/29 | 1133 LV | 36 | 46 | Democrats +10 |
| GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground | 9/21 - 9/25 | 1000 LV | 41 | 46 | Democrats +5 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 9/19 - 9/22 | 1085 RV | 37 | 50 | Democrats +13 |
| LA Times/BloombergLA Times/Bloomberg | 9/19 - 9/22 | 838 LV | 41 | 51 | Democrats +10 |
| CNN/Opinion ResearchCNN/Opinion Research | 9/19 - 9/21 | 697 LV | 42 | 56 | Democrats +14 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 9/15 - 9/21 | 7000 LV | 38 | 45 | Democrats +7 |
| CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times | 9/12 - 9/16 | 1004 RV | 31 | 51 | Democrats +20 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 9/8 - 9/14 | 7000 LV | 38 | 44 | Democrats +6 |
| NewsweekNewsweek | 9/10 - 9/11 | 1038 RV | 41 | 49 | Democrats +8 |
| BattlegroundBattleground | 9/7 - 9/11 | 1000 LV | 40 | 48 | Democrats +8 |
| Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D) | 9/8 - 9/10 | 1000 LV | 45 | 50 | Democrats +5 |
| Associated Press/GfK*Associated Press/GfK* | 9/5 - 9/10 | 812 LV | 41 | 46 | Democrats +5 |
| CNN/OpinionResearchCNN/OpinionResearch | 9/5 - 9/7 | 942 RV | 46 | 49 | Democrats +3 |
| USA Today/GallupUSA Today/Gallup | 9/5 - 9/7 | 823 LV | 50 | 45 | Republicans +5 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 9/1 - 9/7 | 7000 LV | 37 | 45 | Democrats +8 |
| Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D) | 9/1 - 9/3 | 1000 LV | 45 | 50 | Democrats +5 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 8/25 - 8/31 | 7000 LV | 36 | 46 | Democrats +10 |
| USA Today/GallupUSA Today/Gallup | 8/21 - 8/23 | 765 LV | 42 | 51 | Democrats +9 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 8/19 - 8/20 | 900 RV | 38 | 45 | Democrats +7 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 8/15 - 8/18 | 1005 RV | 36 | 47 | Democrats +11 |
| BattlegroundBattleground | 8/10 - 8/14 | 1000 LV | 40 | 47 | Democrats +7 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 8/4 - 8/10 | 7000 LV | 37 | 45 | Democrats +8 |
| AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos | 7/31 - 8/4 | 833 RV | 35 | 53 | Democrats +18 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 7/28 - 8/3 | 7000 LV | 36 | 46 | Democrats +10 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 7/18 - 7/21 | 1003 RV | 36 | 49 | Democrats +13 |
| Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D) | 7/21 - 7/24 | 1004 LV | 42 | 50 | Democrats +8 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 7/14 - 7/20 | 7000 LV | 34 | 47 | Democrats +13 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 7/7 - 7/13 | 7000 LV | 36 | 46 | Democrats +10 |
| Pew ResearchPew Research | 6/18 - 6/29 | 1574 RV | 37 | 52 | Democrats +15 |
| Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D) | 6/22 - 6/25 | 2000 LV | 42 | 50 | Democrats +8 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 6/16 - 6/22 | 7000 LV | 34 | 47 | Democrats +13 |
| USA Today/GallupUSA Today/Gallup | 6/15 - 6/19 | 1310 LV | 42 | 52 | Democrats +10 |
| ABC News/Wash PostABC News/Wash Post | 6/12 - 6/15 | 1125 A | 38 | 53 | Democrats +15 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 6/9 - 6/15 | 7000 LV | 34 | 48 | Democrats +14 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 6/2 - 6/8 | 7423 LV | 34 | 47 | Democrats +13 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 5/21 - 5/22 | 800 LV | 39 | 47 | Democrats +8 |
| Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D) | 5/13 - 5/15 | 1014 LV | 42 | 52 | Democrats +10 |
| BattlegroundBattleground | 5/11 - 5/14 | 1018 LV | 40 | 49 | Democrats +9 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 4/28 - 4/29 | 800 LV | 41 | 46 | Democrats +5 |
| CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times | 4/25 - 4/29 | 956 RV | 32 | 50 | Democrats +18 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 4/25 - 4/28 | 1006 RV | 34 | 49 | Democrats +15 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 4/4 - 4/6 | -- | 37 | 43 | Democrats +6 |
| Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D) | 3/25 - 3/27 | -- | 40 | 53 | Democrats +13 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 3/12 - 3/13 | -- | 40 | 44 | Democrats +4 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 3/7 - 3/10 | -- | 35 | 49 | Democrats +14 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 1/14 - 1/15 | -- | 38 | 43 | Democrats +5 |
| USA Today/GallupUSA Today/Gallup | 12/14 - 12/16 | -- | 40 | 53 | Democrats +13 |
| BattlegroundBattleground | 12/9 - 12/12 | -- | 41 | 46 | Democrats +5 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 12/7 - 12/9 | -- | 36 | 46 | Democrats +10 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 11/1 - 11/5 | -- | 37 | 46 | Democrats +9 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 11/2 - 11/4 | -- | 35 | 46 | Democrats +11 |
| CNNCNN | 11/2 - 11/4 | -- | 42 | 53 | Democrats +11 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 10/4 - 10/4 | -- | 36 | 48 | Democrats +12 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl* | 9/10 - 9/12 | -- | 35 | 47 | Democrats +12 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 9/4 - 9/4 | -- | 32 | 50 | Democrats +18 |
| BattlegroundBattleground | 7/15 - 7/18 | -- | 40 | 48 | Democrats +8 |
| RasmussenRasmussen | 7/16 - 7/17 | -- | 37 | 46 | Democrats +9 |
| CNNCNN | 6/22 - 6/24 | -- | 41 | 53 | Democrats +12 |
All Commentary & News Stories
- Dear Liberals: 4 Yrs Ago, Conservatives Were Just as Depressed - Dennis Prager, IBD
- Clinton-Trump Map Is Nearly Identical to Obama-Romney. How? - Jon Wiener, Nation
- Obama Tries to Rewrite His Despicable Treatment of Romney - Andrew Clark, IJR
- Myth of the Stay-at-Home Republican - Karl Rove, Wall Street Journal
- How White House Learned to Be Liberal - Jonathan Chait, NY Magazine
- Mitt Romney in Denial After 2012 Defeat - Dan Balz, Changing Lanes
- N.C. Finds 35K Incidents of 'Double Voting' in 2012 - Andrew Johnson, NRO
- White House Delayed Policies Ahead of Election - Juliet Eilperin, Wash Post
- Double Down: The War of Umbrage - Michael Kinsley, New York Times
- How Much Does Voter Ignorance Mattter? - Sean Trende, Cato Unbound
- Romney Camp's Own Polls Showed It Would Lose - John Sides, Wash Post
- No Drama Obama's Dramatic 2012 Reelection - Richard Wolffe, Daily Beast
- Can Twitter Predict Elections? Not So Fast - Mark Blumenthal, Huff Post
- How Twitter Can Help Predict an Election - Fabio Rojas, Washington Post
- Yes, the Missing White Voters Matter - Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics
- Case of the Missing White Voters, Revisited - Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics
- Why Republicans Lost the Vote But Kept the House - Sean Trende, RCP
- Sweeping Conclusions From CPS Data Are a Mistake - Sean Trende, RCP
- Black Turnout, GOP Denial Both High - Michael Tomasky, The Daily Beast
- Not Every GOP Approach Will Work Everywhere - Jim Geraghty, The Corner
- Did Dems Get Lucky in the Electoral College? - Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight
- Better Technology Won't Save the GOP - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED
- Why Stuart Stevens is Right - Chris Cillizza, The Fix
- Why Black Voters Are Critical to the GOP - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED
- Republicans Shouldn't Be Too Reasonable - Jonathan Tobin, Commentary
- The Republican Renewal - Yuval Levin, The Corner
- Long Voting Lines & Democratic Cities - Hans von Spakovsky, The Foundry
- A Lot of Cooks in the GOP Kitchen - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog
- Are Democratic Senators Frightnened? - Ed Kilgore, Political Animal
- Is a Franken-Bachmann Showdown on the Horizon? - Scott Conroy, RCP
- GOP Makeover is Purely Cosmetic - Greg Sargent, Plum Line
- Republicans Facing a Grim Reality - Jonathan Chait, New York Magazine
- The Establishment, the Tea Party and Blame - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED
- The Great Gerrymander of 2012 - Sam Wang, New York Times
- New GOP Strategy: Run Subtle, Run Deep - Ed Morrissey, Hot Air
- GOP Doesn't Know It Has a Problem - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog
- GOP Could Be in the Wilderness For Awhile - Daniel Larison, TAC
- The Necessity of Second Inaugurals - Susan Milligan, TJS
- A President Who Has Learned Nothing - Jonathan Tobin, Contentions
- GOP Must Accept Reality of Single Moms - Lori Sanders, Ideas
- What Obama, Romney Spent Per Vote - David Boaz, @Liberty
- To Pick Cabinet, GOP Should Win More - Jamelle Bouie, Plum Line
- The Future of Conservative 'Populism' - Ed Kilgore, Political Animal
- Obama's Vote Total Puts Him in a Small Club - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog
- Conservative Populism Worthy of the Name - Ross Douthat, Evaluations
- Lessons for Both Parties From the 2012 Elections - Albert Hunt, Bloomberg
- Why the Election Polls Missed the Mark - Steven Shepard, National Journal
- In Montana, Dark Money Helped Keep Dem Seat - Kim Barker, ProPublica
- What 2012 Population Estimates Could Mean in 2020 - Sean Trende, RCP
- The GOP Really Hits Bottom - Jonathan Tobin, Contentions
- Pelosi Stalls on the Ethics Committee - Lachlan Markay, The Foundry
- The Real Presidential Election is Today - England & Ross, The Corner
- The Best and Worst of 2012, Part II - Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call
- The Age of GOP Governors - Peter Wehner, Contentions
- Best and Worst of the 2012 Campaigns - Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call
- Big Money Played Destructive Role in 2012 - Albert Hunt, Bloomberg
- Team Obama Tries to Reframe Brutish Win - Jason Zengerle, NY Magazine
- Were Super PACs a Giant Waste of Money? - Robert Schlesinger, TJS
- Ten Encouraging Signs for Republicans - Jennifer Rubin, Right Turn
- A Conservative Purge in the House? - Ed Morrissey, Hot Air
- Whither the Tea Party? - Chris Cillizza, The Fix
- Republicans Get Religion on Campaign Tech - Tim Murphy, Mother Jones
- How Both Parties Borrow From Europe - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED
- Swing Counties Tell Story of Romney's Defeat - Albert Hunt, Bloomberg
- Class Wars of 2012 - Paul Krugman, New York Times
- The Science Behind Those Obama E-Mails - Joshua Green, Bloomberg BW
- The Racializing of American Politics - Daniel Henninger, Wall St. Journal
- GOP Can't Afford to Ignore Health Care - Philip Klein, Beltway Confidential
- How Can the GOP Win? Find a Good Candidate - Noemie Emery, Examiner
- The Coming Liberal Wave - Jamelle Bouie, The American Prospect
- Why the Right's Reaction to Moore Matters - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog
- Why Republicans Should Have Won the Election - Chris Cillizza, The Fix
- Learning From the Election - Victor Davis Hanson, PJ Media
- The GOP's Senate Problem - Ramesh Ponnuru, The Corner
- States Choose Own Paths - Michael Barone, Washington Examiner
- What Do Republicans Want? - Paul Waldman, TAPPED
- The Norquist Rebellion Isn't News - David Dayen, Firedoglake
- Republican Senate Hopes For 2014 Get a Boost - Paul Mirengoff, PowerLine
- Analyst on Young Voters in the 2012 Election - The NewsHour
- 2012: Arrival of Reconfigured America - Ron Brownstein, National Journal
- Republicans' Voter Suppression Strategy - Ari Berman, The Nation
- A Return to Trench Warfare Politics - Michael Barone, DC Examiner
- Shields and Brooks on the Week in Politics - The NewsHour
- The Enduring Threat of GOP Challengers - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog
- The Next Conservatives? - Steven Hayward, PowerLine
- Challengers for Chambliss? - Michael Warren, The Blog
- Analysts on the Campaign Finance in 2012 - The NewsHour
- How Charter Schools Fleece Taxpayers - Timothy Noah, The Plank
- Remember the Provisional Ballot Problem? - Abby Rapoport, TAPPED
- Polarization and Federalism - Ed Kilgore, Political Animal
- Is the White House Ready to Go Over the Cliff? - Greg Sargent, Plum Line
- Sources of Conservative Renewal - Rod Dreher, TAC
- The Fiscal Cliff and Downgrading U.S. Debt - Rebecca Thiess, EPI
- Should Obama Call the GOP's Bluff? - Kevin Drum, Mother Jones
- Democrats' Electoral College Advantage - Jonathan Bernstein, PostPartisan
- The Liberal Gloat - Ross Douthat, New York Times
- Our Suddenly Race-Obsessed Politics - Mark Steyn, National Review
- The Political Landscape After 2012 - Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics
- Feminists for the Win in 2012 - Jessica Valenti, The Nation
- Jackson-Vanik Ends, But Legacy Continues - Seth Mandel, Contentions
