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2008 Generic Congressional Vote

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Polling Data

PollDateSample
Republicans
Democrats
Spread
Final Results----42.553.2Democrats +10.7
RCP Average10/23 - 11/2--38.647.6Democrats +9.0
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*11/1 - 11/21011 LV3648Democrats +12
GallupGallup10/31 - 11/22472 LV4153Democrats +12
Diageo/HotlineDiageo/Hotline10/31 - 11/2887 LV3944Democrats +5
CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times10/25 - 10/291005 LV3648Democrats +12
GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground10/23 - 10/291000 LV4145Democrats +4

All 2008 Generic Congressional Vote Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
2008 Generic Congressional Vote
38.6
Republicans
47.6
Democrats +9.0

Polling Data

PollDateSample
Republicans
Democrats
Spread
Final Results----42.553.2Democrats +10.7
RCP Average10/23 - 11/2--38.647.6Democrats +9.0
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*11/1 - 11/21011 LV3648Democrats +12
GallupGallup10/31 - 11/22472 LV4153Democrats +12
Diageo/HotlineDiageo/Hotline10/31 - 11/2887 LV3944Democrats +5
CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times10/25 - 10/291005 LV3648Democrats +12
GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground10/23 - 10/291000 LV4145Democrats +4
Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports10/20 - 10/267000 LV4047Democrats +7
CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times10/19 - 10/221146 RV3648Democrats +12
GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground10/16 - 10/221000 LV4048Democrats +8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*10/17 - 10/201159 RV3849Democrats +11
GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground10/9 - 10/151000 LV4049Democrats +9
LA Times/BloombergLA Times/Bloomberg10/10 - 10/131030 LV3945Democrats +6
CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times10/10 - 10/13699 LV3448Democrats +14
USA Today/GallupUSA Today/Gallup10/10 - 10/12LV4551Democrats +6
FOX NewsFOX News10/8 - 10/9900 RV3644Democrats +8
GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground10/6 - 10/9800 LV3849Democrats +11
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*10/4 - 10/5658 RV3649Democrats +13
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)10/1 - 10/51000 LV4154Democrats +13
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)9/28 - 9/301000 LV4351Democrats +8
Associated Press/GfK*Associated Press/GfK*9/27 - 9/30808 LV3649Democrats +13
TimeTime9/26 - 9/291133 LV3646Democrats +10
GWU/BattlegroundGWU/Battleground9/21 - 9/251000 LV4146Democrats +5
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*9/19 - 9/221085 RV3750Democrats +13
LA Times/BloombergLA Times/Bloomberg9/19 - 9/22838 LV4151Democrats +10
CNN/Opinion ResearchCNN/Opinion Research9/19 - 9/21697 LV4256Democrats +14
RasmussenRasmussen9/15 - 9/217000 LV3845Democrats +7
CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times9/12 - 9/161004 RV3151Democrats +20
RasmussenRasmussen9/8 - 9/147000 LV3844Democrats +6
NewsweekNewsweek9/10 - 9/111038 RV4149Democrats +8
BattlegroundBattleground9/7 - 9/111000 LV4048Democrats +8
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)9/8 - 9/101000 LV4550Democrats +5
Associated Press/GfK*Associated Press/GfK*9/5 - 9/10812 LV4146Democrats +5
CNN/OpinionResearchCNN/OpinionResearch9/5 - 9/7942 RV4649Democrats +3
USA Today/GallupUSA Today/Gallup9/5 - 9/7823 LV5045Republicans +5
RasmussenRasmussen9/1 - 9/77000 LV3745Democrats +8
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)9/1 - 9/31000 LV4550Democrats +5
RasmussenRasmussen8/25 - 8/317000 LV3646Democrats +10
USA Today/GallupUSA Today/Gallup8/21 - 8/23765 LV4251Democrats +9
FOX NewsFOX News8/19 - 8/20900 RV3845Democrats +7
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*8/15 - 8/181005 RV3647Democrats +11
BattlegroundBattleground8/10 - 8/141000 LV4047Democrats +7
RasmussenRasmussen8/4 - 8/107000 LV3745Democrats +8
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos7/31 - 8/4833 RV3553Democrats +18
RasmussenRasmussen7/28 - 8/37000 LV3646Democrats +10
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*7/18 - 7/211003 RV3649Democrats +13
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)7/21 - 7/241004 LV4250Democrats +8
RasmussenRasmussen7/14 - 7/207000 LV3447Democrats +13
RasmussenRasmussen7/7 - 7/137000 LV3646Democrats +10
Pew ResearchPew Research6/18 - 6/291574 RV3752Democrats +15
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)6/22 - 6/252000 LV4250Democrats +8
RasmussenRasmussen6/16 - 6/227000 LV3447Democrats +13
USA Today/GallupUSA Today/Gallup6/15 - 6/191310 LV4252Democrats +10
ABC News/Wash PostABC News/Wash Post6/12 - 6/151125 A3853Democrats +15
RasmussenRasmussen6/9 - 6/157000 LV3448Democrats +14
RasmussenRasmussen6/2 - 6/87423 LV3447Democrats +13
RasmussenRasmussen5/21 - 5/22800 LV3947Democrats +8
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)5/13 - 5/151014 LV4252Democrats +10
BattlegroundBattleground5/11 - 5/141018 LV4049Democrats +9
RasmussenRasmussen4/28 - 4/29800 LV4146Democrats +5
CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times4/25 - 4/29956 RV3250Democrats +18
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*4/25 - 4/281006 RV3449Democrats +15
RasmussenRasmussen4/4 - 4/6--3743Democrats +6
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)3/25 - 3/27--4053Democrats +13
RasmussenRasmussen3/12 - 3/13--4044Democrats +4
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*3/7 - 3/10--3549Democrats +14
RasmussenRasmussen1/14 - 1/15--3843Democrats +5
USA Today/GallupUSA Today/Gallup12/14 - 12/16--4053Democrats +13
BattlegroundBattleground12/9 - 12/12--4146Democrats +5
RasmussenRasmussen12/7 - 12/9--3646Democrats +10
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*11/1 - 11/5--3746Democrats +9
RasmussenRasmussen11/2 - 11/4--3546Democrats +11
CNNCNN11/2 - 11/4--4253Democrats +11
RasmussenRasmussen10/4 - 10/4--3648Democrats +12
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl*9/10 - 9/12--3547Democrats +12
RasmussenRasmussen9/4 - 9/4--3250Democrats +18
BattlegroundBattleground7/15 - 7/18--4048Democrats +8
RasmussenRasmussen7/16 - 7/17--3746Democrats +9
CNNCNN6/22 - 6/24--4153Democrats +12

All Commentary & News Stories

- Myth of the Stay-at-Home Republican - Karl Rove, Wall Street Journal

- How White House Learned to Be Liberal - Jonathan Chait, NY Magazine

- Mitt Romney in Denial After 2012 Defeat - Dan Balz, Changing Lanes

- N.C. Finds 35K Incidents of 'Double Voting' in 2012 - Andrew Johnson, NRO

- White House Delayed Policies Ahead of Election - Juliet Eilperin, Wash Post

- Double Down: The War of Umbrage - Michael Kinsley, New York Times

- How Much Does Voter Ignorance Mattter? - Sean Trende, Cato Unbound

- Romney Camp's Own Polls Showed It Would Lose - John Sides, Wash Post

- No Drama Obama's Dramatic 2012 Reelection - Richard Wolffe, Daily Beast

- Can Twitter Predict Elections? Not So Fast - Mark Blumenthal, Huff Post

- How Twitter Can Help Predict an Election - Fabio Rojas, Washington Post

- Yes, the Missing White Voters Matter - Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics

- Case of the Missing White Voters, Revisited - Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics

- Why Republicans Lost the Vote But Kept the House - Sean Trende, RCP

- Sweeping Conclusions From CPS Data Are a Mistake - Sean Trende, RCP

- Black Turnout, GOP Denial Both High - Michael Tomasky, The Daily Beast

- Not Every GOP Approach Will Work Everywhere - Jim Geraghty, The Corner

- Did Dems Get Lucky in the Electoral College? - Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight

- Better Technology Won't Save the GOP - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED

- Why Stuart Stevens is Right - Chris Cillizza, The Fix

- Why Black Voters Are Critical to the GOP - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED

- Republicans Shouldn't Be Too Reasonable - Jonathan Tobin, Commentary

- The Republican Renewal - Yuval Levin, The Corner

- Long Voting Lines & Democratic Cities - Hans von Spakovsky, The Foundry

- A Lot of Cooks in the GOP Kitchen - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog

- Are Democratic Senators Frightnened? - Ed Kilgore, Political Animal

- Is a Franken-Bachmann Showdown on the Horizon? - Scott Conroy, RCP

- GOP Makeover is Purely Cosmetic - Greg Sargent, Plum Line

- Republicans Facing a Grim Reality - Jonathan Chait, New York Magazine

- The Establishment, the Tea Party and Blame - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED

- The Great Gerrymander of 2012 - Sam Wang, New York Times

- New GOP Strategy: Run Subtle, Run Deep - Ed Morrissey, Hot Air

- GOP Doesn't Know It Has a Problem - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog

- GOP Could Be in the Wilderness For Awhile - Daniel Larison, TAC

- The Necessity of Second Inaugurals - Susan Milligan, TJS

- A President Who Has Learned Nothing - Jonathan Tobin, Contentions

- GOP Must Accept Reality of Single Moms - Lori Sanders, Ideas

- What Obama, Romney Spent Per Vote - David Boaz, @Liberty

- To Pick Cabinet, GOP Should Win More - Jamelle Bouie, Plum Line

- The Future of Conservative 'Populism' - Ed Kilgore, Political Animal

- Obama's Vote Total Puts Him in a Small Club - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog

- Conservative Populism Worthy of the Name - Ross Douthat, Evaluations

- Lessons for Both Parties From the 2012 Elections - Albert Hunt, Bloomberg

- Why the Election Polls Missed the Mark - Steven Shepard, National Journal

- In Montana, Dark Money Helped Keep Dem Seat - Kim Barker, ProPublica

- What 2012 Population Estimates Could Mean in 2020 - Sean Trende, RCP

- The GOP Really Hits Bottom - Jonathan Tobin, Contentions

- Pelosi Stalls on the Ethics Committee - Lachlan Markay, The Foundry

- The Real Presidential Election is Today - England & Ross, The Corner

- The Best and Worst of 2012, Part II - Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call

- The Age of GOP Governors - Peter Wehner, Contentions

- Best and Worst of the 2012 Campaigns - Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call

- Big Money Played Destructive Role in 2012 - Albert Hunt, Bloomberg

- Team Obama Tries to Reframe Brutish Win - Jason Zengerle, NY Magazine

- Were Super PACs a Giant Waste of Money? - Robert Schlesinger, TJS

- Ten Encouraging Signs for Republicans - Jennifer Rubin, Right Turn

- A Conservative Purge in the House? - Ed Morrissey, Hot Air

- Whither the Tea Party? - Chris Cillizza, The Fix

- Republicans Get Religion on Campaign Tech - Tim Murphy, Mother Jones

- How Both Parties Borrow From Europe - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED

- Swing Counties Tell Story of Romney's Defeat - Albert Hunt, Bloomberg

- Class Wars of 2012 - Paul Krugman, New York Times

- The Science Behind Those Obama E-Mails - Joshua Green, Bloomberg BW

- The Racializing of American Politics - Daniel Henninger, Wall St. Journal

- GOP Can't Afford to Ignore Health Care - Philip Klein, Beltway Confidential

- How Can the GOP Win? Find a Good Candidate - Noemie Emery, Examiner

- The Coming Liberal Wave - Jamelle Bouie, The American Prospect

- Why the Right's Reaction to Moore Matters - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog

- Why Republicans Should Have Won the Election - Chris Cillizza, The Fix

- Learning From the Election - Victor Davis Hanson, PJ Media

- The GOP's Senate Problem - Ramesh Ponnuru, The Corner

- States Choose Own Paths - Michael Barone, Washington Examiner

- What Do Republicans Want? - Paul Waldman, TAPPED

- The Norquist Rebellion Isn't News - David Dayen, Firedoglake

- Republican Senate Hopes For 2014 Get a Boost - Paul Mirengoff, PowerLine

- Analyst on Young Voters in the 2012 Election - The NewsHour

- 2012: Arrival of Reconfigured America - Ron Brownstein, National Journal

- Republicans' Voter Suppression Strategy - Ari Berman, The Nation

- A Return to Trench Warfare Politics - Michael Barone, DC Examiner

- Shields and Brooks on the Week in Politics - The NewsHour

- The Enduring Threat of GOP Challengers - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog

- The Next Conservatives? - Steven Hayward, PowerLine

- Challengers for Chambliss? - Michael Warren, The Blog

- Analysts on the Campaign Finance in 2012 - The NewsHour

- How Charter Schools Fleece Taxpayers - Timothy Noah, The Plank

- Remember the Provisional Ballot Problem? - Abby Rapoport, TAPPED

- Polarization and Federalism - Ed Kilgore, Political Animal

- Is the White House Ready to Go Over the Cliff? - Greg Sargent, Plum Line

- Sources of Conservative Renewal - Rod Dreher, TAC

- The Fiscal Cliff and Downgrading U.S. Debt - Rebecca Thiess, EPI

- Should Obama Call the GOP's Bluff? - Kevin Drum, Mother Jones

- Democrats' Electoral College Advantage - Jonathan Bernstein, PostPartisan

- The Liberal Gloat - Ross Douthat, New York Times

- Our Suddenly Race-Obsessed Politics - Mark Steyn, National Review

- The Political Landscape After 2012 - Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics

- Feminists for the Win in 2012 - Jessica Valenti, The Nation

- Jackson-Vanik Ends, But Legacy Continues - Seth Mandel, Contentions

- The Coming Democratic Fights - Ed Kilgore, Political Animal

- Social Issues: Should Republicans Re-Calibrate? - Paul Mirengoff, PowerLine

- More Painful, Tax Increases or Spending Cuts? - Veronique de Rugy, TC