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2004 Generic Congressional Vote

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Polling Data

PollDateSample
Republicans
Democrats
Spread
Final Results----49.246.6Republicans +2.6
RCP Average10/27 - 11/1--45.445.4Tie
GW/BattlegroundGW/Battleground10/31 - 11/1--4744Republicans +3
CNN/USA Today/GallupCNN/USA Today/Gallup10/29 - 10/31--4647Democrats +1
NBC/WSJNBC/WSJ10/29 - 10/31--4344Democrats +1
RasmussenRasmussen10/29 - 10/31--4248Democrats +6
NewsweekNewsweek10/27 - 10/29--4944Republicans +5

All 2004 Generic Congressional Vote Polling Data

Polling Data

PollDateSample
Republicans
Democrats
Spread
Final Results----49.246.6Republicans +2.6
RCP Average10/27 - 11/1--45.445.4Tie
GW/BattlegroundGW/Battleground10/31 - 11/1--4744Republicans +3
CNN/USA Today/GallupCNN/USA Today/Gallup10/29 - 10/31--4647Democrats +1
NBC/WSJNBC/WSJ10/29 - 10/31--4344Democrats +1
RasmussenRasmussen10/29 - 10/31--4248Democrats +6
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)10/29 - 10/31--4648Democrats +2
NewsweekNewsweek10/27 - 10/29--4944Republicans +5
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)10/26 - 10/28--4548Democrats +3
GW/BattlegroundGW/Battleground10/25 - 10/28--4445Democrats +1
RasmussenRasmussen10/25 - 10/27--4344Democrats +1
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)10/24 - 10/25--4251Democrats +9
CNN/USA Today/GallupCNN/USA Today/Gallup10/22 - 10/24--5047Republicans +3
NewsweekNewsweek10/21 - 10/22--4746Republicans +1
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)10/20 - 10/21--4449Democrats +5
GW/BattlegroundGW/Battleground10/18 - 10/21--4346Democrats +3
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos10/18 - 10/20--4647Democrats +1
CBS NewsCBS News10/14 - 10/17--3945Democrats +6
RasmussenRasmussen10/14 - 10/16--4244Democrats +2
NewsweekNewsweek10/14 - 10/15--4346Democrats +3
GW/BattlegroundGW/Battleground10/11 - 10/14--4044Democrats +4
RasmussenRasmussen10/7 - 10/9--4244Democrats +2
GW/BattlegroundGW/Battleground10/4 - 10/7--4243Democrats +1
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos10/4 - 10/6--4448Democrats +4
RasmussenRasmussen10/3 - 10/5--4146Democrats +5
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)10/3 - 10/5--4549Democrats +4
GW/BattlegroundGW/Battleground9/27 - 9/30--4245Democrats +3
RasmussenRasmussen9/26 - 9/28--4143Democrats +2
GW/BattlegroundGW/Battleground9/20 - 9/23--4344Democrats +1
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos9/20 - 9/22--4946Republicans +3
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)9/19 - 9/21--4548Democrats +3
NBC/WSJNBC/WSJ9/17 - 9/19--4246Democrats +4
CBS NewsCBS News9/12 - 9/16--3941Democrats +2
GW/BattlegroundGW/Battleground9/12 - 9/15--4145Democrats +4
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)9/12 - 9/14--4448Democrats +4
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos9/7 - 9/9--4946Republicans +3
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)9/6 - 9/9--4546Democrats +1
CNN/USA Today/GallupCNN/USA Today/Gallup9/3 - 9/5--4846Republicans +2
RasmussenRasmussen9/1 - 9/3--4043Democrats +3
BattlegroundBattleground8/15 - 8/17--4346Democrats +3
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)8/2 - 8/5--4151Democrats +10
CNN/USA Today/GallupCNN/USA Today/Gallup7/30 - 8/1--4747Tie
NewsweekNewsweek7/29 - 7/30--4151Democrats +10
CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times7/11 - 7/15--3746Democrats +9
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)7/10 - 7/13--4249Democrats +7
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos7/5 - 7/7--4347Democrats +4
NBC/WSJNBC/WSJ6/25 - 6/28--4244Democrats +2
RasmussenRasmussen6/28 - 6/30--3643Democrats +7
BattlegroundBattleground6/20 - 6/23--4149Democrats +8
GallupGallup6/9 - 6/30--4348Democrats +5
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)6/14 - 6/17--4448Democrats +4
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos6/7 - 6/9--4247Democrats +5
LA TimesLA Times6/5 - 6/8--3554Democrats +19
RasmussenRasmussen6/4 - 6/6--3744Democrats +7
TimeTime6/2 - 6/4--3749Democrats +12
CNN/TimeCNN/Time5/12 - 5/13--4053Democrats +13
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)5/10 - 5/13--4446Democrats +2
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos5/3 - 5/5--4150Democrats +9
NBC/WSJNBC/WSJ5/1 - 5/3--4144Democrats +3
RasmussenRasmussen4/26 - 4/28--3643Democrats +7
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)4/19 - 4/22--4547Democrats +2
BattlegroundBattleground3/28 - 3/31--3643Democrats +7
Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D)3/16 - 3/21--4547Democrats +2
NewsweekNewsweek3/18 - 3/19--4249Democrats +7
CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times3/10 - 3/14--3842Democrats +4
RasmussenRasmussen3/7 - 3/9--3742Democrats +5
NBC/WSJNBC/WSJ3/6 - 3/8--4145Democrats +4
CNN/USA Today/GallupCNN/USA Today/Gallup3/5 - 3/7--2531Democrats +6
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos3/1 - 3/4--4344Democrats +1
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos2/2 - 2/4--4144Democrats +3
ZogbyZogby1/15 - 1/18--3039Democrats +9
AP-IpsosAP-Ipsos1/5 - 1/7--4442Republicans +2
RasmussenRasmussen1/4 - 1/6--3843Democrats +5
CNN/USA Today/GallupCNN/USA Today/Gallup1/2 - 1/5--5045Republicans +5

All Commentary & News Stories

- Dear Liberals: 4 Yrs Ago, Conservatives Were Just as Depressed - Dennis Prager, IBD

- Clinton-Trump Map Is Nearly Identical to Obama-Romney. How? - Jon Wiener, Nation

- Obama Tries to Rewrite His Despicable Treatment of Romney - Andrew Clark, IJR

- Myth of the Stay-at-Home Republican - Karl Rove, Wall Street Journal

- How White House Learned to Be Liberal - Jonathan Chait, NY Magazine

- Mitt Romney in Denial After 2012 Defeat - Dan Balz, Changing Lanes

- N.C. Finds 35K Incidents of 'Double Voting' in 2012 - Andrew Johnson, NRO

- White House Delayed Policies Ahead of Election - Juliet Eilperin, Wash Post

- Double Down: The War of Umbrage - Michael Kinsley, New York Times

- How Much Does Voter Ignorance Mattter? - Sean Trende, Cato Unbound

- Romney Camp's Own Polls Showed It Would Lose - John Sides, Wash Post

- No Drama Obama's Dramatic 2012 Reelection - Richard Wolffe, Daily Beast

- Can Twitter Predict Elections? Not So Fast - Mark Blumenthal, Huff Post

- How Twitter Can Help Predict an Election - Fabio Rojas, Washington Post

- Yes, the Missing White Voters Matter - Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics

- Case of the Missing White Voters, Revisited - Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics

- Why Republicans Lost the Vote But Kept the House - Sean Trende, RCP

- Sweeping Conclusions From CPS Data Are a Mistake - Sean Trende, RCP

- Black Turnout, GOP Denial Both High - Michael Tomasky, The Daily Beast

- Not Every GOP Approach Will Work Everywhere - Jim Geraghty, The Corner

- Did Dems Get Lucky in the Electoral College? - Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight

- Better Technology Won't Save the GOP - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED

- Why Stuart Stevens is Right - Chris Cillizza, The Fix

- Why Black Voters Are Critical to the GOP - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED

- Republicans Shouldn't Be Too Reasonable - Jonathan Tobin, Commentary

- The Republican Renewal - Yuval Levin, The Corner

- Long Voting Lines & Democratic Cities - Hans von Spakovsky, The Foundry

- A Lot of Cooks in the GOP Kitchen - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog

- Are Democratic Senators Frightnened? - Ed Kilgore, Political Animal

- Is a Franken-Bachmann Showdown on the Horizon? - Scott Conroy, RCP

- GOP Makeover is Purely Cosmetic - Greg Sargent, Plum Line

- Republicans Facing a Grim Reality - Jonathan Chait, New York Magazine

- The Establishment, the Tea Party and Blame - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED

- The Great Gerrymander of 2012 - Sam Wang, New York Times

- New GOP Strategy: Run Subtle, Run Deep - Ed Morrissey, Hot Air

- GOP Doesn't Know It Has a Problem - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog

- GOP Could Be in the Wilderness For Awhile - Daniel Larison, TAC

- The Necessity of Second Inaugurals - Susan Milligan, TJS

- A President Who Has Learned Nothing - Jonathan Tobin, Contentions

- GOP Must Accept Reality of Single Moms - Lori Sanders, Ideas

- What Obama, Romney Spent Per Vote - David Boaz, @Liberty

- To Pick Cabinet, GOP Should Win More - Jamelle Bouie, Plum Line

- The Future of Conservative 'Populism' - Ed Kilgore, Political Animal

- Obama's Vote Total Puts Him in a Small Club - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog

- Conservative Populism Worthy of the Name - Ross Douthat, Evaluations

- Lessons for Both Parties From the 2012 Elections - Albert Hunt, Bloomberg

- Why the Election Polls Missed the Mark - Steven Shepard, National Journal

- In Montana, Dark Money Helped Keep Dem Seat - Kim Barker, ProPublica

- What 2012 Population Estimates Could Mean in 2020 - Sean Trende, RCP

- The GOP Really Hits Bottom - Jonathan Tobin, Contentions

- Pelosi Stalls on the Ethics Committee - Lachlan Markay, The Foundry

- The Real Presidential Election is Today - England & Ross, The Corner

- The Best and Worst of 2012, Part II - Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call

- The Age of GOP Governors - Peter Wehner, Contentions

- Best and Worst of the 2012 Campaigns - Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call

- Big Money Played Destructive Role in 2012 - Albert Hunt, Bloomberg

- Team Obama Tries to Reframe Brutish Win - Jason Zengerle, NY Magazine

- Were Super PACs a Giant Waste of Money? - Robert Schlesinger, TJS

- Ten Encouraging Signs for Republicans - Jennifer Rubin, Right Turn

- A Conservative Purge in the House? - Ed Morrissey, Hot Air

- Whither the Tea Party? - Chris Cillizza, The Fix

- Republicans Get Religion on Campaign Tech - Tim Murphy, Mother Jones

- How Both Parties Borrow From Europe - Jamelle Bouie, TAPPED

- Swing Counties Tell Story of Romney's Defeat - Albert Hunt, Bloomberg

- Class Wars of 2012 - Paul Krugman, New York Times

- The Science Behind Those Obama E-Mails - Joshua Green, Bloomberg BW

- The Racializing of American Politics - Daniel Henninger, Wall St. Journal

- GOP Can't Afford to Ignore Health Care - Philip Klein, Beltway Confidential

- How Can the GOP Win? Find a Good Candidate - Noemie Emery, Examiner

- The Coming Liberal Wave - Jamelle Bouie, The American Prospect

- Why the Right's Reaction to Moore Matters - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog

- Why Republicans Should Have Won the Election - Chris Cillizza, The Fix

- Learning From the Election - Victor Davis Hanson, PJ Media

- The GOP's Senate Problem - Ramesh Ponnuru, The Corner

- States Choose Own Paths - Michael Barone, Washington Examiner

- What Do Republicans Want? - Paul Waldman, TAPPED

- The Norquist Rebellion Isn't News - David Dayen, Firedoglake

- Republican Senate Hopes For 2014 Get a Boost - Paul Mirengoff, PowerLine

- Analyst on Young Voters in the 2012 Election - The NewsHour

- 2012: Arrival of Reconfigured America - Ron Brownstein, National Journal

- Republicans' Voter Suppression Strategy - Ari Berman, The Nation

- A Return to Trench Warfare Politics - Michael Barone, DC Examiner

- Shields and Brooks on the Week in Politics - The NewsHour

- The Enduring Threat of GOP Challengers - Steve Benen, Maddow Blog

- The Next Conservatives? - Steven Hayward, PowerLine

- Challengers for Chambliss? - Michael Warren, The Blog

- Analysts on the Campaign Finance in 2012 - The NewsHour

- How Charter Schools Fleece Taxpayers - Timothy Noah, The Plank

- Remember the Provisional Ballot Problem? - Abby Rapoport, TAPPED

- Polarization and Federalism - Ed Kilgore, Political Animal

- Is the White House Ready to Go Over the Cliff? - Greg Sargent, Plum Line

- Sources of Conservative Renewal - Rod Dreher, TAC

- The Fiscal Cliff and Downgrading U.S. Debt - Rebecca Thiess, EPI

- Should Obama Call the GOP's Bluff? - Kevin Drum, Mother Jones

- Democrats' Electoral College Advantage - Jonathan Bernstein, PostPartisan

- The Liberal Gloat - Ross Douthat, New York Times

- Our Suddenly Race-Obsessed Politics - Mark Steyn, National Review

- The Political Landscape After 2012 - Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics

- Feminists for the Win in 2012 - Jessica Valenti, The Nation

- Jackson-Vanik Ends, But Legacy Continues - Seth Mandel, Contentions

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