
RCP Average: Northam +3.3
RCP Ranking: Toss Up
----------PAST KEY RACES----------
2016: President | VA-10
2014: Senate | VA-2 | VA-4 | VA-10
2013: Governor
2012: President | Senate | VA-2
2010: VA-2 | VA-5 | VA-9 | VA-11
2009: Governor
2008: President | Senate | VA-11
2006: Senate | VA-2
2004: President
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Northam (D) | Gillespie (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 53.9 | 45.0 | Northam +8.9 |
| RCP Average | 10/29 - 11/5 | -- | -- | 47.7 | 44.4 | Northam +3.3 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 11/2 - 11/5 | 713 LV | 3.7 | 47 | 45 | Northam +2 |
| FOX News*FOX News* | 11/2 - 11/5 | 1239 LV | 2.5 | 48 | 43 | Northam +5 |
| The Polling Company (R)The Polling Company (R) | 11/2 - 11/5 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 46 | Northam +1 |
| Emerson*Emerson* | 11/2 - 11/4 | 810 LV | 3.4 | 49 | 46 | Northam +3 |
| Quinnipiac*Quinnipiac* | 10/30 - 11/5 | 1056 LV | 3.9 | 51 | 42 | Northam +9 |
| Rasmussen Reports*Rasmussen Reports* | 10/31 - 11/3 | 875 LV | 3.5 | 45 | 45 | Tie |
| Christopher Newport Univ.*Christopher Newport Univ.* | 10/29 - 11/4 | 839 LV | 3.5 | 51 | 45 | Northam +6 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar Group (R)* | 10/31 - 11/2 | 1200 LV | 2.8 | 49 | 48 | Northam +1 |
| NY Times/Siena*NY Times/Siena* | 10/29 - 11/2 | 985 LV | 3.0 | 43 | 40 | Northam +3 |
| Gravis*Gravis* | 10/30 - 11/3 | 1143 RV | 2.9 | 48 | 43 | Northam +5 |
| Roanoke College*Roanoke College* | 10/29 - 11/2 | 781 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| Suffolk*Suffolk* | 10/30 - 11/1 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 47 | 43 | Northam +4 |

47.7 Northam (D)+3.3 |
44.4 Gillespie (R) |
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| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Northam (D) | Gillespie (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 53.9 | 45.0 | Northam +8.9 |
| RCP Average | 10/29 - 11/5 | -- | -- | 47.7 | 44.4 | Northam +3.3 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 11/2 - 11/5 | 713 LV | 3.7 | 47 | 45 | Northam +2 |
| FOX News*FOX News* | 11/2 - 11/5 | 1239 LV | 2.5 | 48 | 43 | Northam +5 |
| The Polling Company (R)The Polling Company (R) | 11/2 - 11/5 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 46 | Northam +1 |
| Emerson*Emerson* | 11/2 - 11/4 | 810 LV | 3.4 | 49 | 46 | Northam +3 |
| Quinnipiac*Quinnipiac* | 10/30 - 11/5 | 1056 LV | 3.9 | 51 | 42 | Northam +9 |
| Rasmussen Reports*Rasmussen Reports* | 10/31 - 11/3 | 875 LV | 3.5 | 45 | 45 | Tie |
| Christopher Newport Univ.*Christopher Newport Univ.* | 10/29 - 11/4 | 839 LV | 3.5 | 51 | 45 | Northam +6 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar Group (R)* | 10/31 - 11/2 | 1200 LV | 2.8 | 49 | 48 | Northam +1 |
| NY Times/Siena*NY Times/Siena* | 10/29 - 11/2 | 985 LV | 3.0 | 43 | 40 | Northam +3 |
| Gravis*Gravis* | 10/30 - 11/3 | 1143 RV | 2.9 | 48 | 43 | Northam +5 |
| The Polling Company (R)The Polling Company (R) | 10/30 - 11/2 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 43 | 46 | Gillespie +3 |
| Roanoke College*Roanoke College* | 10/29 - 11/2 | 781 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| Suffolk*Suffolk* | 10/30 - 11/1 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 47 | 43 | Northam +4 |
| Wash Post/Schar*Wash Post/Schar* | 10/26 - 10/29 | 921 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 44 | Northam +5 |
| Quinnipiac*Quinnipiac* | 10/25 - 10/29 | 916 LV | 4.2 | 53 | 36 | Northam +17 |
| The Polling Company (R)The Polling Company (R) | 10/23 - 10/26 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 43 | 45 | Gillespie +2 |
| Christopher Newport Univ.*Christopher Newport Univ.* | 10/20 - 10/25 | 812 LV | 3.8 | 50 | 43 | Northam +7 |
| HamptonHampton | 10/18 - 10/22 | 750 LV | 4.2 | 33 | 41 | Gillespie +8 |
| FOX News*FOX News* | 10/15 - 10/17 | 697 LV | 3.5 | 49 | 42 | Northam +7 |
| Quinnipiac*Quinnipiac* | 10/12 - 10/17 | 1088 LV | 3.7 | 53 | 39 | Northam +14 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 10/12 - 10/16 | 408 LV | 4.9 | 47 | 48 | Gillespie +1 |
| Christopher Newport Univ.*Christopher Newport Univ.* | 10/9 - 10/13 | 642 LV | 4.2 | 48 | 44 | Northam +4 |
| Roanoke College*Roanoke College* | 10/8 - 10/13 | 607 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 44 | Northam +6 |
| Emerson*Emerson* | 10/5 - 10/7 | 318 LV | 5.5 | 49 | 44 | Northam +5 |
| Christopher Newport Univ.*Christopher Newport Univ.* | 10/2 - 10/6 | 928 RV | 4.3 | 49 | 42 | Northam +7 |
| Wash Post/Schar*Wash Post/Schar* | 9/28 - 10/2 | 720 LV | 4.5 | 53 | 40 | Northam +13 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 9/21 - 9/25 | 499 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 44 | Northam +5 |
| Roanoke College*Roanoke College* | 9/16 - 9/23 | 596 LV | 4.0 | 47 | 43 | Northam +4 |
| Christopher Newport Univ.*Christopher Newport Univ.* | 9/12 - 9/22 | 776 LV | 3.7 | 47 | 41 | Northam +6 |
| FOX News*FOX News* | 9/16 - 9/17 | 507 RV | 4.0 | 42 | 38 | Northam +4 |
| Quinnipiac*Quinnipiac* | 9/14 - 9/18 | 850 LV | 4.2 | 51 | 41 | Northam +10 |
| Suffolk*Suffolk* | 9/13 - 9/17 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 42 | 42 | Tie |
| Mason-Dixon*Mason-Dixon* | 9/10 - 9/15 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 44 | 43 | Northam +1 |
| Univ. of Mary Washington*Univ. of Mary Washington* | 9/5 - 9/12 | 562 LV | 5.2 | 44 | 39 | Northam +5 |
| Roanoke College*Roanoke College* | 8/12 - 8/19 | 599 LV | 4.0 | 43 | 36 | Northam +7 |
| Quinnipiac*Quinnipiac* | 8/3 - 8/8 | 1082 RV | 3.8 | 44 | 38 | Northam +6 |
| VCU*VCU* | 7/17 - 7/25 | 538 LV | 5.0 | 42 | 37 | Northam +5 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 7/20 - 7/23 | 502 LV | 4.3 | 44 | 44 | Tie |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 6/15 - 6/20 | 1145 RV | 3.8 | 47 | 39 | Northam +8 |
| Wash Post/ScharWash Post/Schar | 5/9 - 5/14 | 1395 RV | 3.0 | 49 | 38 | Northam +11 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 4/6 - 4/10 | 1115 RV | 2.9 | 44 | 33 | Northam +11 |
| GravisGravis | 3/14 - 3/19 | 3097 RV | 1.6 | 40 | 42 | Gillespie +2 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 2/10 - 2/15 | 989 RV | 3.1 | 41 | 35 | Northam +6 |
| Roanoke CollegeRoanoke College | 1/15 - 1/20 | 484 LV | 4.5 | 32 | 29 | Northam +3 |
| Mason-DixonMason-Dixon | 1/5 - 1/10 | 625 RV | 4.0 | 41 | 44 | Gillespie +3 |