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Pennsylvania Senate - Toomey vs. McGinty

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Candidates

Katie McGinty

Katie McGinty (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Pat Toomey

Pat Toomey (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Pennsylvania Snapshot

RCP Average: McGinty +2.0 
RCP Ranking: Toss Up 
2016 Key Races:
 President 4-Way, 2-Way | PA-6 | PA-8

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

2014PA-6 | PA-8
2012
President | Senate | PA-6 | PA-8 | PA-12
2010: Governor | Senate | House
2008: President | PA-3 | PA-10 | PA-11 
2006: Senate | Governor | PA-4 | PA-6 | PA-7 | PA-8 | PA-10
2004: President | Senate | PA-13

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoE
McGinty (D)
Toomey (R)
Spread
Final Results------47.348.9Toomey +1.6
RCP Average10/29 - 11/4----45.043.0McGinty +2.0
Morning CallMorning Call10/30 - 11/4405 LV5.54243Toomey +1
Harper (R)*Harper (R)*11/2 - 11/3504 LV4.44444Tie
GravisGravis11/1 - 11/21016 RV3.14543McGinty +2
SusquehannaSusquehanna10/31 - 11/1681 LV3.84741McGinty +6
MonmouthMonmouth10/29 - 11/1403 LV4.94744McGinty +3

All Pennsylvania Senate - Toomey vs. McGinty Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Pennsylvania Senate - Toomey vs. McGinty
Pennsylvania Senate - Toomey vs. McGinty
45.0
McGinty (D)+2.0
43.0
Toomey (R)
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Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoE
McGinty (D)
Toomey (R)
Spread
Final Results------47.348.9Toomey +1.6
RCP Average10/29 - 11/4----45.043.0McGinty +2.0
Morning CallMorning Call10/30 - 11/4405 LV5.54243Toomey +1
Harper (R)*Harper (R)*11/2 - 11/3504 LV4.44444Tie
GravisGravis11/1 - 11/21016 RV3.14543McGinty +2
SusquehannaSusquehanna10/31 - 11/1681 LV3.84741McGinty +6
MonmouthMonmouth10/29 - 11/1403 LV4.94744McGinty +3
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac10/27 - 11/1612 LV4.04847McGinty +1
CNN/ORCCNN/ORC10/27 - 11/1799 LV3.55146McGinty +5
Franklin & Marshall*F&M*10/26 - 10/30652 LV5.14735McGinty +12
GravisGravis10/25 - 10/303217 RV1.74541McGinty +4
CBS News/YouGovCBS/YouGov10/26 - 10/281091 LV3.74441McGinty +3
EmersonEmerson10/25 - 10/26550 LV4.14543McGinty +2
NY Times/SienaNY Times/Siena10/23 - 10/25824 LV3.44744McGinty +3
Morning CallMorning Call10/20 - 10/26420 LV5.54141Tie
EmersonEmerson10/17 - 10/19800 LV3.44346Toomey +3
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac10/10 - 10/16660 LV3.84549Toomey +4
BloombergBloomberg10/7 - 10/11806 LV3.54745McGinty +2
Susquehanna*Susquehanna*10/4 - 10/9764 LV3.53842Toomey +4
CBS News/YouGovCBS/YouGov10/5 - 10/7997 LV4.24242Tie
NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ10/3 - 10/6709 LV3.74844McGinty +4
Monmouth*Monmouth*9/30 - 10/3402 LV4.94646Tie
Franklin & Marshall*F&M*9/28 - 10/2496 LV6.14135McGinty +6
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac9/27 - 10/2535 LV4.24250Toomey +8
GravisGravis9/23 - 9/23949 LV3.24339McGinty +4
CNN/ORCCNN/ORC9/20 - 9/25771 LV3.54946McGinty +3
Harper (R)*Harper (R)*9/21 - 9/22500 LV4.44242Tie
Morning CallMorning Call9/19 - 9/23486 LV5.04041Toomey +1
MercyhurstMercyhurst9/12 - 9/23420 LV4.84243Toomey +1
Morning CallMorning Call9/12 - 9/16486 LV5.04138McGinty +3
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac8/31 - 9/7778 LV3.54546Toomey +1
CBS News/YouGovCBS/YouGov8/30 - 9/21091 LV4.13939Tie
Franklin & MarshallF&M8/25 - 8/29496 LV5.64338McGinty +5
Monmouth*Monmouth*8/26 - 8/29402 LV4.94541McGinty +4
EmersonEmerson8/25 - 8/28800 LV3.43946Toomey +7
NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ8/3 - 8/7834 RV3.44844McGinty +4
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac7/30 - 8/7815 RV3.44744McGinty +3
SusquehannaSusquehanna7/31 - 8/4772 LV3.54240McGinty +2
Franklin & MarshallF&M7/29 - 7/29389 LV6.33938McGinty +1
PPP (D)PPP (D)7/29 - 7/311505 LV2.54142Toomey +1
Suffolk UniversitySuffolk7/25 - 7/27500 LV4.44336McGinty +7
NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ7/5 - 7/10829 RV3.44744McGinty +3
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac6/30 - 7/11982 RV3.13949Toomey +10
PPP (D)*PPP (D)*6/22 - 6/23980 RV3.13940Toomey +1
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac6/8 - 6/19950 RV3.24049Toomey +9
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac4/27 - 5/81077 RV3.04445Toomey +1
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac3/30 - 4/41737 RV2.43847Toomey +9
Mercyhurst UniversityMercyhurst University3/16 - 3/18421 RV4.83447Toomey +13
PPP (D)PPP (D)10/8 - 10/111012 RV3.13643Toomey +7
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac9/25 - 10/51049 RV3.03151Toomey +20
Harper (R)Harper (R)9/9 - 9/10700 LV3.73448Toomey +14
Franklin & MarshallF&M8/17 - 8/24605 RV3.92835Toomey +7
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac8/7 - 8/181085 RV3.03248Toomey +16
PPP (D)PPP (D)5/30 - 6/1835 RV3.43842Toomey +4
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