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Arizona Senate - McCain vs. Kirkpatrick
RCP Senate Map | Changes in Senate Ratings | Map With No Toss Ups | Race Changes w/No Toss Ups | Latest Polls
Arizona Snapshot
RCP Average: McCain +10.0
RCP Ranking: Leans GOP
2016 Key Races: President 4-Way, 2-Way | AZ-1 | AZ-2
----------PAST KEY RACES----------
2014: Governor | AZ-1 | AZ-2 | AZ-9
2012: President | Senate | AZ-1 | AZ-2 | AZ-9
2010: Gov | Sen | AZ-1 | AZ-3 | AZ-5 | AZ-7 | AZ-8
2008: President | AZ-1 | AZ-3
2006: Senate | AZ-1 | AZ-5 | AZ-8
2004: President | AZ-1
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | McCain (R) | Kirkpatrick (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 53.7 | 40.8 | McCain +12.9 |
| RCP Average | 10/26 - 11/1 | -- | -- | 49.5 | 39.5 | McCain +10.0 |
| NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ/Marist | 10/30 - 11/1 | 719 LV | 3.7 | 55 | 39 | McCain +16 |
| CNN/ORCCNN/ORC | 10/27 - 11/1 | 769 LV | 3.5 | 54 | 41 | McCain +13 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/28 - 10/31 | 700 LV | 3.6 | 46 | 40 | McCain +6 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News/YouGov | 10/26 - 10/28 | 994 LV | 4.3 | 43 | 38 | McCain +5 |
RCP Poll Average
Arizona Senate - McCain vs. Kirkpatrick
Arizona Senate - McCain vs. Kirkpatrick
49.5 McCain (R)+10.0 |
39.5 Kirkpatrick (D) |
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Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | McCain (R) | Kirkpatrick (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 53.7 | 40.8 | McCain +12.9 |
| RCP Average | 10/26 - 11/1 | -- | -- | 49.5 | 39.5 | McCain +10.0 |
| NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ/Marist | 10/30 - 11/1 | 719 LV | 3.7 | 55 | 39 | McCain +16 |
| CNN/ORCCNN/ORC | 10/27 - 11/1 | 769 LV | 3.5 | 54 | 41 | McCain +13 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/28 - 10/31 | 700 LV | 3.6 | 46 | 40 | McCain +6 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News/YouGov | 10/26 - 10/28 | 994 LV | 4.3 | 43 | 38 | McCain +5 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 10/21 - 10/24 | 401 LV | 4.9 | 50 | 40 | McCain +10 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/2 - 10/4 | 600 LV | 3.9 | 52 | 36 | McCain +16 |
| NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ/Marist | 9/6 - 9/8 | 649 LV | 3.8 | 57 | 38 | McCain +19 |
| CNN/ORCCNN/ORC | 8/18 - 8/23 | 809 LV | 3.5 | 52 | 39 | McCain +13 |
| Behavior Research CenterBehavior Research Center | 6/6 - 6/19 | 448 RV | 4.7 | 40 | 31 | McCain +9 |
| PPP (D)*PPP (D)* | 6/22 - 6/23 | 691 RV | 3.7 | 42 | 40 | McCain +2 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 5/13 - 5/15 | 896 RV | 3.3 | 42 | 36 | McCain +6 |
| Behavior Research CenterBehavior Research Center | 4/4 - 4/11 | 564 RV | 4.2 | 42 | 42 | Tie |
| Merrill PollMerrill Poll | 3/7 - 3/11 | 701 LV | 3.7 | 41 | 40 | McCain +1 |
| Behavior Research CenterBehavior Research Center | 1/17 - 1/17 | 590 RV | 4.1 | 38 | 37 | McCain +1 |
| Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing | 8/13 - 8/16 | 1433 RV | 2.6 | 48 | 35 | McCain +13 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 5/1 - 5/3 | 600 RV | 4.0 | 42 | 36 | McCain +6 |
