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Florida: Trump vs. Clinton (4-Way Race)
Key 2016 Races: Senate | FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-18 | FL-26 | President: 2012: Obama +0.9, 2008: Obama +2.8
RCP Electoral Map | Changes in Electoral Count | Map With No Toss Ups | No Toss Up Changes | Latest Polls
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Trump (R) | Clinton (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 48.6 | 47.4 | Trump +1.2 |
| RCP Average | 10/27 - 11/6 | -- | -- | 47.0 | 46.6 | Trump +0.4 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar Group (R)* | 11/6 - 11/6 | 1100 LV | 2.9 | 50 | 46 | Trump +4 |
| Opinion SavvyOpinion Savvy | 11/5 - 11/6 | 853 LV | 3.4 | 46 | 48 | Clinton +2 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 11/3 - 11/6 | 884 LV | 3.3 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News/YouGov | 11/2 - 11/4 | 1188 LV | 3.6 | 45 | 45 | Tie |
| Remington Research (R)*Remington Research (R)* | 11/1 - 11/2 | 2352 LV | 2.0 | 48 | 45 | Trump +3 |
| Gravis*Gravis* | 11/1 - 11/2 | 1220 RV | 2.8 | 45 | 46 | Clinton +1 |
| CNN/ORCCNN/ORC | 10/27 - 11/1 | 773 LV | 3.5 | 49 | 50 | Clinton +1 |
RCP Poll Average
Florida: Trump vs. Clinton
Florida
47.0 Trump (R)+0.4 |
46.6 Clinton (D) |
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Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Trump (R) | Clinton (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 48.6 | 47.4 | Trump +1.2 |
| RCP Average | 10/27 - 11/6 | -- | -- | 47.0 | 46.6 | Trump +0.4 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar Group (R)* | 11/6 - 11/6 | 1100 LV | 2.9 | 50 | 46 | Trump +4 |
| Opinion SavvyOpinion Savvy | 11/5 - 11/6 | 853 LV | 3.4 | 46 | 48 | Clinton +2 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 11/3 - 11/6 | 884 LV | 3.3 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News/YouGov | 11/2 - 11/4 | 1188 LV | 3.6 | 45 | 45 | Tie |
| Remington Research (R)*Remington Research (R)* | 11/1 - 11/2 | 2352 LV | 2.0 | 48 | 45 | Trump +3 |
| Gravis*Gravis* | 11/1 - 11/2 | 1220 RV | 2.8 | 45 | 46 | Clinton +1 |
| FOX 13/Opinion Savvy*FOX 13/Opinion Savvy* | 11/1 - 11/2 | 603 LV | 4.0 | 45 | 49 | Clinton +4 |
| GravisGravis | 10/31 - 10/31 | 1195 RV | 2.2 | 49 | 51 | Clinton +2 |
| Remington Research (R)*Remington Research (R)* | 10/30 - 10/30 | 989 LV | 3.1 | 48 | 44 | Trump +4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/27 - 11/1 | 626 LV | 3.9 | 45 | 47 | Clinton +2 |
| CNN/ORCCNN/ORC | 10/27 - 11/1 | 773 LV | 3.5 | 49 | 50 | Clinton +1 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar Group (R)* | 10/27 - 10/31 | 1150 LV | 2.9 | 49 | 45 | Trump +4 |
| Emerson*Emerson* | 10/26 - 10/27 | 500 LV | 4.3 | 45 | 46 | Clinton +1 |
| NY Times/SienaNY Times/Siena | 10/25 - 10/27 | 814 LV | 3.4 | 48 | 45 | Trump +3 |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist*NBC/WSJ/Marist* | 10/25 - 10/26 | 779 LV | 3.5 | 44 | 45 | Clinton +1 |
| Dixie Strategies*Dixie Strategies* | 10/25 - 10/26 | 698 LV | 3.7 | 46 | 42 | Trump +4 |
| Gravis*Gravis* | 10/25 - 10/26 | 1301 RV | 2.7 | 47 | 48 | Clinton +1 |
| BloombergBloomberg | 10/21 - 10/24 | 953 LV | 3.2 | 46 | 45 | Trump +1 |
| Florida Atlantic University*Florida Atlantic University* | 10/21 - 10/23 | 500 LV | 4.3 | 43 | 46 | Clinton +3 |
| Univ. of North FloridaUniv. of North Florida | 10/20 - 10/25 | 819 LV | 3.4 | 44 | 46 | Clinton +2 |
| Bay News 9/SurveyUSA*Bay News 9/SurveyUSA* | 10/20 - 10/24 | 1251 LV | 2.8 | 45 | 48 | Clinton +3 |
| Remington Research (R)*Remington Research (R)* | 10/20 - 10/22 | 1646 LV | 2.4 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| CBS News/YouGov*CBS News/YouGov* | 10/20 - 10/21 | 1042 LV | 3.6 | 43 | 46 | Clinton +3 |
| FOX 13/Opinion Savvy*FOX 13/Opinion Savvy* | 10/20 - 10/20 | 538 LV | 4.2 | 45 | 49 | Clinton +4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/10 - 10/16 | 660 LV | 3.8 | 45 | 49 | Clinton +4 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 10/12 - 10/13 | 985 LV | 3.1 | 44 | 49 | Clinton +5 |
| Gravis*Gravis* | 10/11 - 10/13 | 1799 RV | 2.3 | 42 | 46 | Clinton +4 |
| Opinion Savvy*Opinion Savvy* | 10/10 - 10/11 | 533 LV | 4.2 | 44 | 47 | Clinton +3 |
| NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ/Marist | 10/3 - 10/5 | 700 LV | 3.7 | 44 | 46 | Clinton +2 |
| Gravis*Gravis* | 10/4 - 10/4 | 821 RV | 3.4 | 45 | 47 | Clinton +2 |
| Emerson*Emerson* | 10/2 - 10/4 | 600 LV | 3.9 | 45 | 44 | Trump +1 |
| Univ. of North FloridaUniv. of North Florida | 9/27 - 10/4 | 661 LV | 3.8 | 40 | 47 | Clinton +7 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 9/27 - 10/2 | 545 LV | 4.2 | 44 | 49 | Clinton +5 |
| FOX 13/Opinion Savvy*FOX 13/Opinion Savvy* | 9/28 - 9/29 | 619 LV | 4.0 | 46 | 47 | Clinton +1 |
| Mason-Dixon*Mason-Dixon* | 9/27 - 9/29 | 820 LV | 3.5 | 42 | 46 | Clinton +4 |
| Suffolk*Suffolk* | 9/19 - 9/21 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 45 | 44 | Trump +1 |
| FL Chamber*FL Chamber* | 9/15 - 9/20 | 617 LV | 4.0 | 42 | 45 | Clinton +3 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 9/16 - 9/19 | 400 LV | 4.9 | 41 | 46 | Clinton +5 |
| NY Times/SienaNY Times/Siena | 9/10 - 9/14 | 867 LV | 3.3 | 43 | 43 | Tie |
| CNN/ORCCNN/ORC | 9/7 - 9/12 | 788 LV | 3.5 | 50 | 46 | Trump +4 |
| CBS News/YouGov*CBS News/YouGov* | 9/7 - 9/9 | 1193 LV | 3.5 | 42 | 44 | Clinton +2 |
| JMC Analytics*JMC Analytics* | 9/7 - 9/8 | 781 LV | 3.5 | 46 | 42 | Trump +4 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 9/4 - 9/6 | 744 LV | 3.6 | 46 | 47 | Clinton +1 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 8/29 - 9/7 | 761 LV | 3.6 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| Mason-Dixon*Mason-Dixon* | 8/22 - 8/24 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 42 | 44 | Clinton +2 |
| Florida Atlantic University*Florida Atlantic University* | 8/19 - 8/22 | 1200 LV | 2.7 | 43 | 41 | Trump +2 |
| FL ChamberFL Chamber | 8/17 - 8/22 | 608 LV | 4.0 | 44 | 43 | Trump +1 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 8/12 - 8/15 | 402 LV | 4.9 | 39 | 48 | Clinton +9 |
| CBS News/YouGov*CBS News/YouGov* | 8/10 - 8/12 | 1194 LV | 3.6 | 40 | 45 | Clinton +5 |
| FOX 13/Opinion Savvy*FOX 13/Opinion Savvy* | 8/10 - 8/10 | 622 LV | 4.0 | 44 | 45 | Clinton +1 |
| NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ/Marist | 8/4 - 8/10 | 862 RV | 3.3 | 39 | 44 | Clinton +5 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 7/30 - 8/7 | 1056 LV | 3.0 | 45 | 46 | Clinton +1 |
| Suffolk UniversitySuffolk University | 8/1 - 8/3 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 42 | 48 | Clinton +6 |
| JMC Analytics*JMC Analytics* | 7/9 - 7/10 | 700 LV | 3.7 | 47 | 42 | Trump +5 |
| NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ/Marist | 7/5 - 7/11 | 871 RV | 3.3 | 37 | 44 | Clinton +7 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 6/30 - 7/11 | 1015 RV | 3.1 | 42 | 39 | Trump +3 |
| Gravis*Gravis* | 6/27 - 6/28 | 1619 RV | 2.4 | 49 | 49 | Tie |
| Bay News 9/SurveyUSA*Bay News 9/SurveyUSA* | 6/25 - 6/27 | 1678 LV | 2.4 | 42 | 46 | Clinton +4 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News/YouGov | 6/21 - 6/24 | 1192 LV | 3.6 | 41 | 44 | Clinton +3 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 6/8 - 6/19 | 975 RV | 3.1 | 39 | 47 | Clinton +8 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 6/2 - 6/5 | 737 RV | 3.6 | 45 | 44 | Trump +1 |
| Mason-Dixon*Mason-Dixon* | 5/31 - 6/2 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 42 | 45 | Clinton +3 |
| GravisGravis | 5/17 - 5/18 | 2542 RV | 2.0 | 42 | 46 | Clinton +4 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News/YouGov | 5/16 - 5/19 | 995 LV | 4.0 | 42 | 43 | Clinton +1 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 4/27 - 5/8 | 1051 RV | 3.0 | 42 | 43 | Clinton +1 |
| AIF (R)**AIF (R)** | 4/25 - 4/27 | 604 LV | 5.0 | 36 | 49 | Clinton +13 |
| NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ/Marist | 3/4 - 3/10 | 2422 RV | 2.0 | 41 | 49 | Clinton +8 |
| News 13/SurveyUSANews 13/SurveyUSA | 3/4 - 3/6 | 1961 LV | 2.3 | 45 | 44 | Trump +1 |
| CNN/ORCCNN/ORC | 3/2 - 3/6 | 854 RV | 3.5 | 43 | 50 | Clinton +7 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 2/24 - 2/25 | 1012 RV | 3.1 | 46 | 44 | Trump +2 |
| Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University | 1/15 - 1/18 | 1008 RV | 3.0 | 47 | 44 | Trump +3 |
| Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University | 11/15 - 11/16 | 829 RV | 3.3 | 49 | 41 | Trump +8 |
| News 13/SurveyUSANews 13/SurveyUSA | 10/28 - 11/1 | 2400 LV | 2.0 | 47 | 43 | Trump +4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 9/25 - 10/5 | 1173 RV | 2.9 | 41 | 46 | Clinton +5 |
| FL ChamberFL Chamber | 9/16 - 9/20 | 605 LV | 4.0 | 41 | 42 | Clinton +1 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 9/11 - 9/13 | 814 RV | 3.4 | 48 | 42 | Trump +6 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 8/7 - 8/18 | 1093 RV | 3.0 | 43 | 41 | Trump +2 |
