Wisconsin 2012 Recall
News & Election Videos

S.D. Senate - Rounds vs. Weiland vs. Pressler

Candidates

Larry Pressler

Larry Pressler (I)

Bio | Campaign Site

Mike Rounds

Mike Rounds (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Rick Weiland

Rick Weiland (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEPressler (I)Rounds (R)Weiland (D)Spread
Final Results------17.150.429.5Rounds +20.9
RCP Average10/16 - 10/26----17.242.230.0Rounds +12.2
Rasmussen Reports10/22 - 10/26908 LV3.0214531Rounds +14
SurveyUSA*10/21 - 10/26611 LV4.0194332Rounds +11
Argus Leader/Mason-Dixon*10/20 - 10/23800 LV3.5134233Rounds +9
NBC News/Marist*10/19 - 10/23730 LV3.6164329Rounds +14
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/23527 LV8.0173825Rounds +13

All S.D. Senate - Rounds vs. Weiland vs. Pressler Polling Data

Race Analysis

10/28/14 -- Rounds seems to have beaten back Pressler's surge and is at about the 40 percent mark that probably indicates victory in a legitimate three-way race.

10/17/14 -- This race has heated up, but it is worth emphasizing that all of the polling shows Rounds with a lead; the polling doesn't agree on who is in second place; and Larry Pressler – the main beneficiary of the recent surge – is untested and has some seeming gadfly characteristics. Rounds is still the favorite, but this race bears watching.

----------Race Preview----------

Although South Dakota is an overwhelmingly Republican state -- it hasn’t voted for a Democrat for president since 1964 or for governor since 1974, its congressional delegation is much more heterodox. It has sent at least one Democratic to the House or Senate in every election since 1962, and only had an all-Republican Senate delegation for one six-year period in that timeframe.

That streak may end this year. Kristi Noem seems like a reasonably safe bet for re-election, while John Thune is not up for re-election this cycle. When three-term Sen. Tim Johnson retired, popular former Gov. Mike Rounds declared for the seat, and a host of high-profile Democrats took a pass on the race. The only real drama comes in the form of the independent candidacies of former state Sen. Gordon Howie, who is running to Rounds’ right, and former U.S. Sen. Larry Pressler, whom Johnson defeated in 1996. But with four candidates in the race, 40 percent of the vote will probably be sufficient to win, and Rounds is above that threshold.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEPressler (I)Rounds (R)Weiland (D)Spread
Final Results------17.150.429.5Rounds +20.9
RCP Average10/16 - 10/26----17.242.230.0Rounds +12.2
Rasmussen Reports10/22 - 10/26908 LV3.0214531Rounds +14
SurveyUSA*10/21 - 10/26611 LV4.0194332Rounds +11
Argus Leader/Mason-Dixon*10/20 - 10/23800 LV3.5134233Rounds +9
NBC News/Marist*10/19 - 10/23730 LV3.6164329Rounds +14
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/23527 LV8.0173825Rounds +13
Harper (R)*10/9 - 10/11630 LV3.9233733Rounds +4
SurveyUSA*10/1 - 10/5616 LV4.0323528Rounds +3
CBS News/NYT/YouGov9/20 - 10/1382 LV7.0124227Rounds +15
Nielson Brothers*9/21 - 9/25647 LV3.2243926Rounds +13
SurveyUSA*9/3 - 9/7510 LV4.4253928Rounds +11
CBS News/NYT/YouGov8/18 - 9/2526 LV6.064329Rounds +14
Nielson Brothers*7/23 - 7/28578 LV4.0144330Rounds +13
Rasmussen Reports6/4 - 6/5750 LV4.0184429Rounds +15
SurveyUSA*5/6 - 5/10504 LV4.5174430Rounds +14