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Idaho Senate - Risch vs. Mitchell

Candidates

Jim Risch

Jim Risch (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Nels Mitchell

Nels Mitchell (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Idaho Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking: Safe GOP
2014 Key Races: Governor

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

2012President
2010Governor | Senate | ID-1
2008: President | Senate | ID-1
2006: Governor | ID-1 
2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoERisch (R)Mitchell (D)Spread
Final Results------65.334.7Risch +30.6
RCP Average5/28 - 10/23----55.030.3Risch +24.7
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/23575 LV6.06130Risch +31
PPP (D)10/9 - 10/12522 LV4.35032Risch +18
Rasmussen Reports5/28 - 5/29750 LV4.05429Risch +25

All Idaho Senate - Risch vs. Mitchell Polling Data

Race Analysis

In 1888, Benjamin Harrison defeated Grover Cleveland for the presidency. In an attempt to create a permanent GOP majority, the Republicans admitted six new states to the Union, carved out of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountains. Like most attempts to build permanent majorities, it failed. Republicans lost Idaho in 1892. While they won in 1896, most of the other newly admitted states voted for the Democrat, as the silver issue came to dominate Western politics.

Idaho swung between the parties from 1900 through 1950, but eventually settled back with the GOP. Republicans overwhelmingly dominate the legislature and have held both Senate seats since liberal Democrat Frank Church was defeated in 1980. Sen. Jim Risch was elected in 2008 to replace Larry Craig, who resigned in the wake of a sex scandal. He’s drawn only nominal opposition, and is a safe bet for re-election.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoERisch (R)Mitchell (D)Spread
Final Results------65.334.7Risch +30.6
RCP Average5/28 - 10/23----55.030.3Risch +24.7
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/23575 LV6.06130Risch +31
PPP (D)10/9 - 10/12522 LV4.35032Risch +18
CBS News/NYT/YouGov9/20 - 10/1594 LV5.06427Risch +37
CBS News/NYT/YouGov8/18 - 9/2844 LV4.05925Risch +34
CBS News/NYT/YouGov7/5 - 7/24LV4.26531Risch +34
Rasmussen Reports5/28 - 5/29750 LV4.05429Risch +25