Wisconsin 2012 Recall
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South Dakota Governor - Daugaard vs. Wismer

Candidates

Dennis Daugaard

Dennis Daugaard (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Susan Wismer

Susan Wismer (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

South Dakota Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking: Safe GOP
2014 Key Races: Senate

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

2012President
2010: Governor | SD-AL
2008:
 President | Senate
2006: Governor
2004: President | Senate | SD-AL

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEDaugaard (R)Wismer (D)Spread
Final Results------70.525.4Daugaard +45.1
RCP Average10/16 - 10/26----59.329.0Daugaard +30.3
SurveyUSA*10/21 - 10/26611 LV4.05434Daugaard +20
Argus Leader/Mason-Dixon*10/20 - 10/23800 LV3.56226Daugaard +36
NBC News/Marist10/19 - 10/23730 LV3.66728Daugaard +39
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/23527 LV8.05428Daugaard +26

All South Dakota Governor - Daugaard vs. Wismer Polling Data

Race Analysis

South Dakota is by some historical measures the nation’s most Republican state. From the time of its admission to the union (1889) into the 1930s, it had only a token Democratic presence in its state legislature. Even after the Great Depression gave birth to a competitive Democratic Party, Democrats only occasionally won the gubernatorial race.

The state’s Democrats today suffer from the longest gubernatorial drought in the nation, as they have not won the office since 1974.  In 2010, Republicans nominated Lt. Gov. Dennis Daugaard to succeed popular Mike Rounds, while Democrats nominated state Senate Minority Leader Scott Heidepriem. Though a solid candidate, the latter lost the race by 23 points.  State Rep. Susan Wismer seems unlikely to fare much better this year.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEDaugaard (R)Wismer (D)Spread
Final Results------70.525.4Daugaard +45.1
RCP Average10/16 - 10/26----59.329.0Daugaard +30.3
SurveyUSA*10/21 - 10/26611 LV4.05434Daugaard +20
Argus Leader/Mason-Dixon*10/20 - 10/23800 LV3.56226Daugaard +36
NBC News/Marist10/19 - 10/23730 LV3.66728Daugaard +39
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/23527 LV8.05428Daugaard +26
Harper (R)*10/9 - 10/11630 LV3.95335Daugaard +18
SurveyUSA*10/1 - 10/5616 LV4.05930Daugaard +29
CBS News/NYT/YouGov9/20 - 10/1382 LV7.05731Daugaard +26
Nielson Brothers*9/21 - 9/25607 LV3.45328Daugaard +25
SurveyUSA*9/3 - 9/7510 LV4.45434Daugaard +20
CBS News/NYT/YouGov8/18 - 9/2526 LV6.05528Daugaard +27
Nielson Brothers*7/23 - 7/28572 LV4.15329Daugaard +24
CBS News/NYT/YouGov7/5 - 7/24630 RV--6627Daugaard +39
Rasmussen Reports6/4 - 6/5750 LV4.05535Daugaard +20
SurveyUSA*5/6 - 5/10504 LV4.45623Daugaard +33