Wisconsin 2012 Recall
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South Carolina Governor - Haley vs. Sheheen

Candidates

Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Vincent Sheheen

Vincent Sheheen (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

South Carolina Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking: Likely GOP
2014 Key Races: Senate | Senate (Special)

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

2012: President
2010Governor | SenateSC-5
2008: President | Senate | SC-1
2006: Governor
2004: President | Senate

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEHaley (R)Sheheen (D)Spread
Final Results------56.041.4Haley +14.6
RCP Average8/25 - 10/23----49.033.5Haley +15.5
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/231566 LV4.05033Haley +17
Palmetto Politics Poll/VSS*10/14 - 10/19917 LV3.25131Haley +20
Winthrop*9/21 - 9/281082 LV3.04434Haley +10
Rasmussen Reports8/25 - 8/26750 LV4.05136Haley +15

All South Carolina Governor - Haley vs. Sheheen Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
South Carolina Governor - Haley vs. Sheheen
49.0Haley (R)+15.5
33.5Sheheen (D)
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Race Analysis

2010 witnessed one of the tawdriest races in South Carolina history. A crowded GOP field ran to succeed term-limited Mark Sanford in this heavily Republican state, and as the primary neared, Nikki Haley emerged as the Republican front-runner. But then Haley was hit by allegations by a blogger that she had had an affair with him. A second South Carolina Republican later claimed to have had a one-night stand with Haley at a Republican convention. The race ended up surprisingly close, with Haley emerging victorious by only four points.

This year, her 2010 opponent, Vincent Sheheen, is back for another go-round. Haley’s lead in the polls is now 16 points, and she is well over the crucial 50 percent mark. While she isn’t safe, she’s in better shape than she was in 2010.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEHaley (R)Sheheen (D)Spread
Final Results------56.041.4Haley +14.6
RCP Average8/25 - 10/23----49.033.5Haley +15.5
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/231566 LV4.05033Haley +17
Palmetto Politics Poll/VSS*10/14 - 10/19917 LV3.25131Haley +20
CBS News/NYT/YouGov9/20 - 10/12663 LV2.05336Haley +17
Winthrop*9/21 - 9/281082 LV3.04434Haley +10
CBS News/NYT/YouGov8/18 - 9/2833 LV5.05635Haley +21
Rasmussen Reports8/25 - 8/26750 LV4.05136Haley +15
CBS News/NYT/YouGov7/5 - 7/241186 RV--5538Haley +17
Palmetto Politics Poll/VSS7/7 - 7/131000 LV3.15340Haley +13
Rasmussen Reports4/14 - 4/15750 LV4.05237Haley +15
Harper (R)10/27 - 10/28676 LV3.84839Haley +9