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New Mexico Governor - Martinez vs. King

Candidates

Gary King

Gary King (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Susana Martinez

Susana Martinez (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

New Mexico Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking: Likely GOP
2014 Key Races: Senate | NM-2

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

2012President | Senate | NM-1
2010: Governor | NM-1 | NM-2 | NM-3
2008: President | Senate | NM-1 | NM-2 
2006: Governor | NM-1
2004: President | NM-1 | NM-2 | NM-3

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEKing (D)Martinez (R)Spread
Final Results------42.757.3Martinez +14.6
RCP Average9/22 - 10/23----37.751.0Martinez +13.3
Albuquerque Journal10/21 - 10/23614 LV4.03853Martinez +15
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/23962 LV6.03850Martinez +12
Rasmussen Reports9/22 - 9/23830 LV4.03750Martinez +13

All New Mexico Governor - Martinez vs. King Polling Data

Race Analysis

In 2002, Democrats replaced libertarian Republican Gary Johnson with Democrat Bill Richardson. Richardson was a fairly popular governor, who won re-election overwhelmingly in 2006. But his approval numbers hit 28 percent by the time of a 2010 elections rolled around, and formed a drag on his lieutenant governor’s bid  to succeed him. As a result, Dona Ana County (Las Cruces) District Attorney Susana Martinez was able to win the governorship by seven points. The Democrats have a more-than-credible nominee in Attorney General Gary King, but Martinez remains popular and has the edge.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEKing (D)Martinez (R)Spread
Final Results------42.757.3Martinez +14.6
RCP Average9/22 - 10/23----37.751.0Martinez +13.3
Albuquerque Journal10/21 - 10/23614 LV4.03853Martinez +15
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/23962 LV6.03850Martinez +12
CBS News/NYT/YouGov9/20 - 10/11093 LV4.04148Martinez +7
Rasmussen Reports9/22 - 9/23830 LV4.03750Martinez +13
Albuquerque Journal9/9 - 9/11603 LV4.03654Martinez +18
CBS News/NYT/YouGov8/18 - 9/21096 LV4.04348Martinez +5
Albuquerque Journal8/12 - 8/14606 LV4.04150Martinez +9
CBS News/NYT/YouGov7/5 - 7/24931 RV--4451Martinez +7
Rasmussen Reports7/21 - 7/22860 LV4.04343Tie
PPP (D)3/20 - 3/23674 RV3.84247Martinez +5