Wisconsin 2012 Recall
News & Election Videos

Illinois Governor - Rauner vs. Quinn

Candidates

Pat Quinn

Pat Quinn (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Bruce Rauner

Bruce Rauner (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Illinois Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking: Toss Up
2014 Key RacesSenateIL-8IL-10 | IL-11 | IL-12 | IL-13 | IL-17

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

2012President | House
2010Governor | Senate | House
2008: President | IL-10 | IL-11
2006: Governor | IL-6 | IL-8
2004: President | Senate

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEQuinn (D)Rauner (R)Spread
Final Results------45.950.7Rauner +4.8
RCP Average10/16 - 11/2----45.644.8Quinn +0.8
PPP (D)11/1 - 11/21064 LV3.04848Tie
Chicago Sun-Times*10/28 - 10/28823 LV3.94542Quinn +3
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/233519 LV3.04541Quinn +4
Rasmussen Reports10/20 - 10/221000 LV3.04748Rauner +1
Chicago Tribune*10/16 - 10/21800 LV3.54345Rauner +2

All Illinois Governor - Rauner vs. Quinn Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Illinois Governor - Rauner vs. Quinn
45.6Quinn (D)+0.8
44.8Rauner (R)
--
--
--
--
--
From: to:

Race Analysis

10/28/14 -- All signs here point to a close race, which probably isn't what Rauner wants. He needs to make the sale to a group of Democratic voters, and so far hasn't done so.

10/19/14 -- Rauner got some welcome news when Southern Illinois University found him with a small lead over Quinn. But that poll had a huge number of undecided voters, and in a state like Illinois, that is probably rough news for Rauner.

10/7/14 -- Quinn has bounced back, and holds a lead. The state might just be too blue for Rauner to win.

----------Race Preview----------

Had you asked a political observer 30 years ago whether a governor’s race in Illinois would be competitive, you’d likely have received a look normally reserved for those claim to have been abducted by aliens. Illinois has historically been one of the more politically competitive states in the United States, and a governor’s race in Illinois was supposed to be close.

But in recent years it has become more surprising to hear that a Republican was competitive in this race. Even while beset by allegations of ethical impropriety, Rod Blagojevich was able to win re-election handily in 2006 against the lone Republican statewide officeholder, and underwhelming Gov. Pat Quinn was able to fend off a game challenge from Republican Bill Brady in 2010. This time, Quinn is receiving generally poor polls against his challenger, businessman Bruce Rauner. But Brady polled well in 2010 as well, but undecided voters ended up breaking overwhelmingly against him at the end. Quinn is hoping that Democrats once again come home for him, big time, in the end.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEQuinn (D)Rauner (R)Spread
Final Results------45.950.7Rauner +4.8
RCP Average10/16 - 11/2----45.644.8Quinn +0.8
PPP (D)11/1 - 11/21064 LV3.04848Tie
Chicago Sun-Times*10/28 - 10/28823 LV3.94542Quinn +3
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/233519 LV3.04541Quinn +4
Rasmussen Reports10/20 - 10/221000 LV3.04748Rauner +1
Chicago Tribune*10/16 - 10/21800 LV3.54345Rauner +2
The Simon Poll/SIU*9/23 - 10/15691 LV3.74142Rauner +1
Sun-Times/WeAskAmerica*10/8 - 10/81051 LV3.04441Quinn +3
CBS News/NYT/YouGov9/20 - 10/13955 LV2.04643Quinn +3
Rasmussen Reports9/24 - 9/25750 LV4.04442Quinn +2
WeAskAmerica*9/18 - 9/191418 LV3.04144Rauner +3
Chicago Tribune*9/3 - 9/12800 RV3.54837Quinn +11
CBS News/NYT/YouGov8/18 - 9/24363 LV3.04044Rauner +4
Sun-Times/WeAskAmerica8/6 - 8/61085 LV3.13851Rauner +13
Rasmussen Reports7/29 - 7/30750 LV4.03944Rauner +5
CBS News/NYT/YouGov7/5 - 7/245298 RV--4346Rauner +3
Rasmussen Reports4/9 - 4/10750 LV4.04043Rauner +3
WeAskAmerica1/30 - 1/301354 LV2.73947Rauner +8
PPP (D)11/22 - 11/25557 RV4.24138Quinn +3