Wisconsin 2012 Recall
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Iowa Governor - Branstad vs. Hatch

Candidates

Terry Branstad

Terry Branstad (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Jack Hatch

Jack Hatch (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Iowa Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking: Safe GOP
2014 Key Races: Senate | IA-1 | IA-2 | IA-3 | IA-4

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

2012President | IA-1IA-2 | IA-3 | IA-4
2010Governor | Senate | IA-1 | IA-2 | IA-3
2008: President
2006: Governor | IA-1 | IA-3
2004: President | Senate | IA-3

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEBranstad (R)Hatch (D)Spread
Final Results------59.137.3Branstad +21.8
RCP Average10/23 - 11/3----53.736.7Branstad +17.0
PPP (D)*11/1 - 11/31265 LV2.85140Branstad +11
Quinnipiac10/28 - 11/2778 LV3.55241Branstad +11
Des Moines Register10/28 - 10/31701 LV3.75935Branstad +24
YouGov10/25 - 10/311112 LV4.44934Branstad +15
Rasmussen Reports10/28 - 10/30990 LV3.05537Branstad +18
FOX News10/28 - 10/30911 LV3.05336Branstad +17
Reuters/Ipsos10/23 - 10/291129 LV3.35734Branstad +23

All Iowa Governor - Branstad vs. Hatch Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Iowa Governor - Branstad vs. Hatch
53.7Branstad (R)+17.0
36.7Hatch (D)
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Race Analysis

In 2006, Chet Culver became only the second Democrat to succeed another Democrat as governor in Iowa’s history. His tenure was rocky, as he sought to govern a largely conservative state in a fairly progressive/liberal manner. He raised the minimum wage, pushed through funding for stem cell research, and raised the state’s cigarette tax. He has also been associated with the state Supreme Court’s ruling that the state’s same-sex marriage ban was unconstitutional.

In the 2010 general election, Culver drew Terry Branstad as his opponent. Branstad was a fairly popular governor of the state from 1983 through 1999, and decided to rejoin the fray that year, winning by 10 points. Branstad is now the second-longest serving governor in United States history. This race had looked competitive earlier in the year, but Branstad seems to have pulled away and seems likely to win re-election, eclipsing George Clinton of New York (1777-1795, 1801-1804).

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEBranstad (R)Hatch (D)Spread
Final Results------59.137.3Branstad +21.8
RCP Average10/23 - 11/3----53.736.7Branstad +17.0
PPP (D)*11/1 - 11/31265 LV2.85140Branstad +11
Quinnipiac10/28 - 11/2778 LV3.55241Branstad +11
Des Moines Register10/28 - 10/31701 LV3.75935Branstad +24
YouGov10/25 - 10/311112 LV4.44934Branstad +15
Rasmussen Reports10/28 - 10/30990 LV3.05537Branstad +18
FOX News10/28 - 10/30911 LV3.05336Branstad +17
Reuters/Ipsos10/23 - 10/291129 LV3.35734Branstad +23
Quinnipiac10/22 - 10/27817 LV3.45637Branstad +19
Loras College10/21 - 10/241121 LV2.95534Branstad +21
CBS News/NYT/YouGov10/16 - 10/232322 LV3.05037Branstad +13
NBC News/Marist10/18 - 10/22772 LV3.55936Branstad +23
Quinnipiac10/15 - 10/21964 LV3.25537Branstad +18
USA Today/Suffolk*10/11 - 10/14500 LV4.45437Branstad +17
Quinnipiac10/8 - 10/13967 LV3.25439Branstad +15
Des Moines Register/Bloomberg10/3 - 10/81000 LV3.15439Branstad +15
Loras College10/1 - 10/3600 LV4.05633Branstad +23
NBC News/Marist9/27 - 10/1778 LV3.55836Branstad +22
CBS News/NYT/YouGov9/20 - 10/12359 LV2.05239Branstad +13
PPP (D)9/25 - 9/281192 LV2.85238Branstad +14
Des Moines Register*9/21 - 9/24546 LV4.24834Branstad +14
Rasmussen Reports9/17 - 9/18750 LV4.04640Branstad +6
FOX News9/14 - 9/16600 LV4.05037Branstad +13
Quinnipiac9/10 - 9/151167 LV2.96037Branstad +23
Loras College9/2 - 9/51200 LV2.85634Branstad +22
CBS News/NYT/YouGov8/18 - 9/21764 LV3.05138Branstad +13
USA Today/Suffolk*8/23 - 8/26500 LV4.44735Branstad +12
PPP (D)8/22 - 8/24915 LV3.25037Branstad +13
Rasmussen Reports8/11 - 8/12750 LV4.05235Branstad +17
CBS News/NYT/YouGov7/5 - 7/242044 RV--5140Branstad +11
NBC News/Marist7/7 - 7/131599 RV2.55338Branstad +15
Quinnipiac6/12 - 6/161277 RV2.74738Branstad +9
Rasmussen Reports6/4 - 6/5750 LV4.04940Branstad +9
Loras College6/4 - 6/5600 LV4.05238Branstad +14
PPP (D)5/15 - 5/19914 RV3.34840Branstad +8
CEA/Hickman Analytics (D)4/24 - 4/30500 LV4.45040Branstad +10
Vox Populi/Daily Caller (R)4/22 - 4/24600 RV--4543Branstad +2
Suffolk4/3 - 4/8800 LV3.54232Branstad +10
Quinnipiac3/5 - 3/101411 RV2.64635Branstad +11
Des Moines Register2/23 - 2/26461 LV4.64429Branstad +15
PPP (D)2/20 - 2/23869 RV3.34836Branstad +12
Quinnipiac12/10 - 12/151617 RV2.44933Branstad +16
Des Moines Register12/8 - 12/11325 LV--5229Branstad +23
PPP (D)7/5 - 7/7668 RV3.84735Branstad +12
Des Moines Register6/2 - 6/5591 LV4.05527Branstad +28
PPP (D)2/1 - 2/3846 RV--4833Branstad +15