Wisconsin 2012 Recall
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Florida Governor - Scott vs. Crist vs. Wyllie

Candidates

Charlie Crist

Charlie Crist (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Rick Scott

Rick Scott (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Adrian Wyllie

Adrian Wyllie

Bio | Campaign Site

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoECrist (D)Scott (R)Wyllie (L) Spread
Final Results------47.148.23.8Scott +1.1
RCP Average10/24 - 11/2----40.740.36.3Crist +0.4
PPP (D)11/1 - 11/21198 LV2.844446Tie
Quinnipiac10/28 - 11/2817 LV3.442417Crist +1
TB Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF10/24 - 10/28850 LV3.136366Tie

All Florida Governor - Scott vs. Crist vs. Wyllie Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Florida Governor - Scott vs. Crist vs. Wyllie
40.7Crist (D)+0.4
40.3Scott (R)
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Race Analysis

10/28/14 -- Polling here has been surprisingly light, but what we have is still consistent with a very close race.

10/19/14 -- The race remains close, although after the now-infamous "fan" debate between Crist and Scott, that might not last.

10/7/14 -- Crist has bounced back in recent polling, and now holds a slight edge in the RCP Average. The high number of undecided voters speaks to the opinion of the electorate on the two candidates.

----------Race Preview----------

The 2014 Florida gubernatorial race is possibly the last aftershock of the raucous 2010 Florida elections. When popular Gov. Charlie Crist decided to run for the Senate, it set off a stampede of aspirants for the governor's mansion. Attorney General Bill McCollum was the Republican pick, and he quickly moved out to a lead in the polls over Democratic nominee Alex Sink. But health care executive Rick Scott spent freely in the Republican primary, edging McCollum despite revelations of criminal investigations into Columbia/HCA, the company Scott used to head. Scott then narrowly won the governor’s race over Sink in the fall.

Scott has never been particularly popular, and was initially marked as one of the most vulnerable GOP incumbents in the country. He then drew a top-flight opponent in Crist. Crist had abandoned the Republican Party to run as an Independent when it became clear that he would lose the 2010 Republican Senate primary to Marco Rubio. He subsequently joined the Democrats. But Crist’s initial lead has melted away, and Scott now leads in most polls.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoECrist (D)Scott (R)Wyllie (L) Spread
Final Results------47.148.23.8Scott +1.1
RCP Average10/24 - 11/2----40.740.36.3Crist +0.4
PPP (D)11/1 - 11/21198 LV2.844446Tie
Quinnipiac10/28 - 11/2817 LV3.442417Crist +1
TB Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF10/24 - 10/28850 LV3.136366Tie
Quinnipiac10/22 - 10/27817 LV3.443408Crist +3
Quinnipiac10/14 - 10/20984 LV3.142427Tie
SurveyUSA10/10 - 10/13566 LV4.245417Crist +4
CNN/Opinion Research10/9 - 10/13610 LV4.044449Tie
TB Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF10/7 - 10/12781 LV3.240406Tie
UNF9/29 - 10/8471 LV4.7433810Crist +5
SurveyUSA10/2 - 10/6594 LV4.144426Crist +2
SurveyUSA9/26 - 9/29584 LV4.146408Crist +6
SurveyUSA9/19 - 9/22588 LV4.142434Scott +1
Quinnipiac9/17 - 9/22991 LV3.142448Scott +2
SurveyUSA9/12 - 9/15571 LV4.239447Scott +5
SurveyUSA9/5 - 9/8576 LV4.244453Scott +1
PPP (D)9/4 - 9/7818 LV3.442398Crist +3
Mason-Dixon9/2 - 9/4625 LV4.041434Scott +2
TB Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF8/27 - 8/31814 LV3.436416Scott +5
SurveyUSA8/27 - 8/28580 LV4.245434Crist +2
SurveyUSA8/15 - 8/18564 LV4.241444Scott +3
Quinnipiac7/17 - 7/211251 RV2.839379Crist +2
Mason-Dixon4/15 - 4/22700 LV3.842424Tie