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Minnesota Senate - Bills vs. Klobuchar

Candidates

Kurt Bills

Kurt Bills (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Minnesota Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2012 Key Races:
President | MN-6 | MN-8

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2010:
Governor | MN-1 | MN-6 | MN-7 | MN-8
2008: President | Senate | MN-3 | MN-6
2006: Senate | Governor | MN-6
2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleBills (R)Klobuchar (D)Spread
Final Results----30.565.2Klobuchar +34.7
RCP Average10/21 - 11/3--29.360.8Klobuchar +31.5
PPP (D)11/2 - 11/31164 LV3262Klobuchar +30
KSTP/SurveyUSA11/1 - 11/3556 LV3060Klobuchar +30
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon10/23 - 10/25800 LV2265Klobuchar +43
Rasmussen Reports10/21 - 10/21500 LV3356Klobuchar +23

All Minnesota Senate - Bills vs. Klobuchar Polling Data

Race Analysis

It is difficult to imagine today, but before the 1940s there was no Democratic Party in Minnesota to speak of.  From the election of Abraham Lincoln through 1948, it had never elected a Democratic senator (though one was appointed for a two-month stint in 1900).  It sent a total of 15 Democrats to Congress during that time.  But the Democratic Party fused with the left-leaning Farmer-Labor Party in 1944 and created a dominant force in state politics.  From 1948 through 1978 the tables were turned: the state elected just one Republican senator.

In the mid-'70s, the DFL began to decline in popularity, and for a time the state had two Republican senators.  Today it is thought of as a swing state, even though it hasn't voted Republican at the presidential level since 1972.

The state's senior senator is Amy Klobuchar, a former Hennepin County (Minneapolis) attorney.  Elected in 2006 by a surprising 21-point margin, she has maintained high levels of popularity despite a voting record that is probably to the left of the state.  Her opponent is state Rep. Kurt Bills.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleBills (R)Klobuchar (D)Spread
Final Results----30.565.2Klobuchar +34.7
RCP Average10/21 - 11/3--29.360.8Klobuchar +31.5
PPP (D)11/2 - 11/31164 LV3262Klobuchar +30
KSTP/SurveyUSA11/1 - 11/3556 LV3060Klobuchar +30
KSTP/SurveyUSA10/26 - 10/28574 LV2960Klobuchar +31
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon10/23 - 10/25800 LV2265Klobuchar +43
Rasmussen Reports10/21 - 10/21500 LV3356Klobuchar +23
St. Cloud State U.10/15 - 10/21600 LV3663Klobuchar +27
KSTP/SurveyUSA10/12 - 10/14550 LV3058Klobuchar +28
PPP (D)10/5 - 10/8937 LV3157Klobuchar +26
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon9/17 - 9/19800 LV2857Klobuchar +29
PPP (D)9/10 - 9/11824 LV3655Klobuchar +19
KSTP/SurveyUSA9/6 - 9/9551 LV3455Klobuchar +21
KSTP/SurveyUSA7/17 - 7/19552 LV3155Klobuchar +24
PPP (D)5/31 - 6/3973 RV2955Klobuchar +26