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Nevada 4th District - Tarkanian vs. Horsford


Steven Horsford

Steven Horsford (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Danny Tarkanian

Danny Tarkanian (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Nevada Snapshot

RCP Ranking: Toss Up
2012 Key Races:
President | Senate | NV-3

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

Governor | Senate | NV-3
2008: President | NV-3
2006: Governor | NV-2 | NV-3
2004: President | Senate | NV-3

Polling Data

PollDateSampleHorsford (D)Tarkanian (R)Spread
Final Results----50.142.1Horsford +8.0
LVRJ/SurveyUSA10/26 - 10/28648 LV4247Tarkanian +5
LVRJ/SurveyUSA9/18 - 9/19646 LV4245Tarkanian +3

Race Analysis

Nevada added a seat in redistricting, and Republicans had hoped that, given the solidly Democratic nature of the 1st District, they would end up with a swing district leaning their way.  Instead, the newly created 4th, which encompasses North Las Vegas, the northern suburbs, and a few under-populated rural counties, has a distinct Democratic lean.  It gave 58 percent of the vote to Obama in 2008, although it narrowly went for George W. Bush in 2004.

Republicans nominated Danny Tarkanian, son of the legendary UNLV basketball coach.  Democrats opted for Steve Horsford, the state Senate majority leader.  Horsford has had some problems -- including some serious financial difficulties in the late '90s and early 2000s.  But Tarkanian cuts a less-than-inspiring figure, and polls have shown a surprisingly close race.  Horsford retains an edge, but this could go either way.