|Poll||Date||Sample||Bass (R)||Kuster (D)||Spread|
|Final Results||--||--||45.3||50.2||Kuster +4.9|
|WMUR/UNH||11/1 - 11/4||423 LV||43||53||Kuster +10|
|New England College||10/29 - 10/31||511 LV||41||47||Kuster +6|
|UNH||10/17 - 10/21||408 LV||36||39||Kuster +3|
|WMUR/UNH||10/1 - 10/6||211 LV||35||38||Kuster +3|
|WMUR/UNH||9/27 - 9/30||325 LV||41||42||Kuster +1|
|WMUR/UNH||8/1 - 8/12||284 LV||42||37||Bass +5|
|PPP (D)||5/10 - 5/13||642 RV||42||42||Tie|
|WMUR/UNH||4/9 - 4/20||251 LV||39||40||Kuster +1|
|PPP (D)||6/30 - 7/5||363 RV||43||42||Bass +1|
Republican Charlie Bass held this Democratic-leaning district from 1994 until 2006, when he was upset by Paul Hodes. With Hodes running for the Senate, Bass was considered the favorite to reclaim this district in 2010, especially after Democrats selected a nominee who is probably a touch too liberal for the area. But Bass was beset with allegations of ethical improprieties stemming from his tenure in Congress, and fell behind in the polls to attorney Ann McLane Kuster. Bass won by less than a point.
Kuster is back for a second try, in what appears to be a more favorable environment for Democrats. This is a district that becomes more Democratic every year, as Vermont slowly bleeds into western New Hampshire.