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New Hampshire 2nd District - Bass vs. Kuster

Candidates

Charlie Bass

Charlie Bass (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Ann McLane Kuster

Ann McLane Kuster (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

New Hampshire Snapshot

RCP Ranking: Leans Dem
2012 Key Races:
President | Governor | NH-1

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2010
: Governor | Senate | NH-1 | NH-2
2008: President | Senate | NH-1
2006: Governor | NH-2
2004: President | Senate | NH-1 | NH-2

Polling Data

PollDateSampleBass (R)Kuster (D)Spread
Final Results----45.350.2Kuster +4.9
WMUR/UNH11/1 - 11/4423 LV4353Kuster +10
New England College10/29 - 10/31511 LV4147Kuster +6
UNH10/17 - 10/21408 LV3639Kuster +3
WMUR/UNH10/1 - 10/6211 LV3538Kuster +3
WMUR/UNH9/27 - 9/30325 LV4142Kuster +1
WMUR/UNH8/1 - 8/12284 LV4237Bass +5
PPP (D)5/10 - 5/13642 RV4242Tie
WMUR/UNH4/9 - 4/20251 LV3940Kuster +1
PPP (D)6/30 - 7/5363 RV4342Bass +1

Race Analysis

Republican Charlie Bass held this Democratic-leaning district from 1994 until 2006, when he was upset by Paul Hodes.  With Hodes running for the Senate, Bass was considered the favorite to reclaim this district in 2010, especially after Democrats selected a nominee who is probably a touch too liberal for the area.  But Bass was beset with allegations of ethical improprieties stemming from his tenure in Congress, and fell behind in the polls to attorney Ann McLane Kuster.  Bass won by less than a point.

Kuster is back for a second try, in what appears to be a more favorable environment for Democrats.  This is a district that becomes more Democratic every year, as Vermont slowly bleeds into western New Hampshire.