|Poll||Date||Sample||Cramer (R)||Gulleson (D)||Spread|
|Final Results||--||--||54.9||41.7||Cramer +13.2|
|Mason-Dixon||10/26 - 10/28||625 LV||50||40||Cramer +10|
|Forum/Essman||10/12 - 10/15||500 LV||52||32||Cramer +20|
|Mason-Dixon||10/3 - 10/5||625 LV||49||37||Cramer +12|
|Mason-Dixon||6/4 - 6/6||625 LV||49||35||Cramer +14|
North Dakota has long been an anomaly. It is one of the most heavily Republican states in the country, with a Cook PVI of R+10. At the same time, from 1986 through 2010, it failed to elect a single Republican to statewide office.
Of course, this changed in 2010, when Republicans handily picked up the Senate seat of retiring Byron Dorgan and also defeated Congressman Earl Pomeroy. Republicans hoped to complete the trifecta when Sen. Kent Conrad announced his retirement and newly elected Rep. Rick Berg decided to run for the seat.
But Berg has run into difficulty in that race against a game challenge from former Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp. The state party-anointed candidate for his House seat was defeated in the Republican primary by state Public Service Commissioner Kevin Cramer. That has some Democrats hoping that former Dorgan staffer Pam Gulleson can take the seat, but she has struggled to match Heitkamp's success.