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Montana At-Large - Daines vs. Gillan

Candidates

Steve Daines

Steve Daines (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Kim Gillan

Kim Gillan (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Montana Snapshot

RCP Ranking: Likely GOP
2012 Key Races:
President | Governor | Senate

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2010
: MT-AL
2008: President | Governor | Senate | MT-AL
2006: Senate | MT-AL
2004: President | Governor | MT-AL

Polling Data

PollDateSampleDaines (R)Gillan (D)Spread
Final Results----53.342.7Daines +10.6
PPP (D)11/2 - 11/3836 LV4844Daines +4
Mason-Dixon10/29 - 10/31625 LV5140Daines +11
PPP (D)10/8 - 10/10737 LV4334Daines +9
Montana State U.9/27 - 9/30477 LV3623Daines +13
Mason-Dixon9/17 - 9/19625 LV4638Daines +8
PPP (D)9/10 - 9/11656 LV4037Daines +3
PPP (D)4/26 - 4/29934 RV3327Daines +6
PPP (D)6/16 - 6/19819 RV3527Daines +8

Race Analysis

While Montana is traditionally thought of as solidly red, in truth it is quite competitive at the state level.  So it isn't really that surprising that Republican businessman Steve Daines has a competitive race on his hands against state Sen. Kim Gillan.  But Daines has led in the polls consistently because the presidential race and federal nature of the office being sought work to his advantage.  Gillan hasn't gained traction as of yet, but this race could close at the end.