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Minnesota 6th District - Bachmann vs. Graves


Michele Bachmann

Michele Bachmann (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Jim Graves

Jim Graves (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Minnesota Snapshot

RCP Ranking: Leans GOP
2012 Key Races:
President | Senate | MN-8

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

Governor | MN-1 | MN-6 | MN-7 | MN-8
2008: President | Senate | MN-3 | MN-6
2006: Senate | Governor | MN-6
2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleBachmann (R)Graves (D)Spread
Final Results----50.549.3Bachmann +1.2
Star Tribune10/16 - 10/161000 LV5145Bachmann +6
KSTP/SurveyUSA10/9 - 10/11598 LV5041Bachmann +9

Race Analysis

The northern Minneapolis suburbs are some of the most conservative areas of the state.  As Dave Wasserman at the Cook Political Report likes to point out, these suburbs are about as conservative as South Dakota.  So it isn't really all that surprising that the 6th District, which encompasses them, has continued to elect a representative as conservative as Michele Bachmann.

That said, the GOP firebrand finds herself in a surprisingly tough race right now.  After a roller coaster presidential campaign, which resulted in her missing several House votes, she faces a strong challenger in businessman Jim Graves.  The district is conservative, but as Bob Dornan proved in 1996, running ill-fated presidential campaigns really can seriously injure a member of Congress at home.